North West Of England Regional Discussion - Part 6

[gearbox1002]

Worst ever meto warnings

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/nw/nw_forecast_warnings.html

Clearly a snow and ice boundary overlapping our region yet no mention of snow or sleet at all.... WTF?

They have put on the warning that its a tricky situation for them to predict. so its just a cover their backs sort of warning in a just incase.

[weatherobsuk]

Peak District mountain area forecast

A cloudy day with outbreaks of rain or snow developing. During the morning especially, rain may fall onto frozen ground, which could lead to a significant ice risk and some very challenging conditions. The rain is most likely over western parts of the Park, with snow more likely in the east. Initially any precipitation is expected to patchy and light, and mainly in the north and west, but will become more widespread and persistent later in the day.

[Oakwell]

Temp at -1.7C little cloud at the mo, its cold! these fuel bills will bankrupt me

[Weather-history]

Lol, just looked at the Manchester 2m temps for GFS 12z, it has one ensmble that dips below -20C around the 12th!

http://www.wetterzen...chester_ens.png

Edited February 8, 2012 by Mr_Data

[MrSunshine]

Don't suppose anyone has any idea why I can't get on chat? It just say that its loading but never actually does!

[Lancashire Lass]

Don't suppose anyone has any idea why I can't get on chat? It just say that its loading but never actually does!

Ahh Dave you aswell? Someone else is having problems also. Try deleting your browsing history and then try logging back in. Let me know how you get on.

[MrSunshine]

Ahh Dave you aswell? Someone else is having problems also. Try deleting your browsing history and then try logging back in. Let me know how you get on.

Thanks, Will do!

[Oakwell]

Lol, just looked at the Manchester 2m temps for GFS 12z, it has one ensmble that dips below -20C around the 12th!

http://www.wetterzen...chester_ens.png

that is some outlier or just lier

[gareth73]

Hi Oakwell, your slightly higher up than I am at Blackrod and I am surprised your only -1.7c as I am below -3c at Kearsley

[Backtrack]

Bang on -2.0C here now, all cloud has cleared. Come on!

[Oakwell]

Hi Oakwell, your slightly higher up than I am at Blackrod and I am surprised your only -1.7c as I am below -3c at Kearsley

Hi Gareth, perhaps the cold air is collecting in the valley

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Bang on -2.0C here now, all cloud has cleared. Come on!

BT these temps are nothing compared to last year. It a coldwave we want -10 and lower

[damianslaw]

Can't say I'm enthused with the prospects of freezing rain - yes it may deliver some interesting scenes on glass surfaces and trees, but conditions could be awful. Rather just have normal rain than freezing rain.

Pity the cold uppers couldn't have dug into the region again as we would be looking a potential snow fest battleground. Southern parts around cheshire/e manchester/peak district may see some snow but I doubt anywhere else in the region will. However, you never know in these situations things could change for the better.

We did exceptionally well on Saturday so I'm not too bothered about the lack of snow prospects - but I would be if we hadn't seen the snow . Also I wasn't expecting a snow event this week - it has come out of the blue.

As on Saturday - east midlands could do very well from this event, warwickshire, leicestershire, notts, up to south and east yorkshire - these regions are being treated at the moment.

[MrSunshine]

Ahh Dave you aswell? Someone else is having problems also. Try deleting your browsing history and then try logging back in. Let me know how you get on.

Still the same, how strange!

[Lancashire Lass]

Paul is on the case Dave. Hopefully all sorted soon.

[gareth73]

Just heard from mate at man airport. Airport puling everyone in for meetings re Thurs/Fri weather

[MrSunshine]

Paul is on the case Dave. Hopefully all sorted soon.

Thank you! Latest GFS isn't doing us any favours for improving the chances of Snow thus far, surprise surprise!!

[The snowman]

Am I missing something here the metro site has a warning for snow covering the Merseyside region !!!

[MrSunshine]

Am I missing something here the metro site has a warning for snow covering the Merseyside region !!!

Its such a marginal situation there is a chance given favourable conditions the Snow risk could extend further West and to lower altitudes, the MetO are just being on the cautious side!!

[swainclubber]

Thank you! Latest GFS isn't doing us any favours for improving the chances of Snow thus far, surprise surprise!!

what's it showing mate. I can't check til tomorrow

[MrSunshine]

what's it showing mate. I can't check til tomorrow

Its only showing up to 3am on Friday morning at the moment and from what I can gather it slowly want to push the T850 uppers from east to west thus by 3am most of the UK are under 0 C and the North West is at roughly -3/-4 C!

[swainclubber]

Its only showing up to 3am on Friday morning at the moment and from what I can gather it slowly want to push the T850 uppers from east to west thus by 3am most of the UK are under 0 C and the North West is at roughly -3/-4 C!

cheers mate but you say tomorrow is worse yeah?

[MrSunshine]

cheers mate but you say tomorrow is worse yeah?

I'm no expert but from earlier runs this provides slighlty more hope as far as Snow goes for the North West of England, the GFS wants to brig that cooler pool of upper air further west than it was wanting to do in earlier runs. However please take in to account that this is "The Pub" Run!! Still all to play for in my opinion though!! Anyone elses thoughts would be greatly appreciated!

[swainclubber]

I'm no expert but from earlier runs this provides slighlty more hope as far as Snow goes for the North West of England, the GFS wants to brig that cooler pool of upper air further west than it was wanting to do in earlier runs. However please take in to account that this is "The Pub" Run!! Still all to play for in my opinion though!! Anyone elses thoughts would be greatly appreciated!

really appreciated many thanks.

[I Cumbria Marra I]

Yep the T850's have shifted west again, if i lived around the Manchester area i would be very excited