South East England & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 7th 2012>

[john pike]

warnings out as per faxes last night

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_latest_radar.html

however be aware of any charts a week away at present

thursdays fax last night showed this

showed a ridge of high pressure over the south east which would have been a nice day

now thursday shows this

heavy rain and a weather warning from the met office

wednesday to me looks like the best day for any storms

will update the faxes later

[Upgrade]

Crikey, downgrade from very poor to awful! What a dreadful outlook for the rest of the week. This summer is turning out every bit as bad as 2007.

[terryall]

My wife and I are due to fly out of Gatwick Wednesday at 5.30pm. She is a nervous flyer anyway so how bad do you think it will be?

(Of course I am completely oblivious to thunder, lightning, high wind, heavy rain, storms, doom, gloom etc when flying). Not.

[Upgrade]

It might be a bit bumpy going up if there's convection but i wouldnt worry - planes can cope with that!

[terryall]

Thanks for that. It's not the going up she is worried about!

Seriously though there could/will be some bad flooding in certain areas in the next few days if just about any more rain falls and it is forecast to do just that. You have to feel for those affected and also the shop retailers/tourist businesses who have no trade. It's all beyond a joke now.

[Steve C]

Thanks for that. It's not the going up she is worried about!

Seriously though there could/will be some bad flooding in certain areas in the next few days if just about any more rain falls and it is forecast to do just that. You have to feel for those affected and also the shop retailers/tourist businesses who have no trade. It's all beyond a joke now.

Yes, Hebden Bridge. Jeez.

[Upgrade]

i was up in W Yorks this weekend. Never seen it so lush ( and soggy). All the rivers are in winter spate. Each rain event now will bring levels up and up, the hills are so saturated, it just runs straight off.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Word of warning, anyone using weatheronline..It has a lovely virus that trys to get in your computer!

[Steve C]

Word of warning, anyone using weatheronline..It has a lovely virus that trys to get in your computer!

Is that generally or recently? My work computer had a couple of spyware items on it, when I ran a virus checker this morning.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Is that generally or recently? My work computer had a couple of spyware items on it, when I ran a virus checker this morning.

Recently...My virus scanner just flagged it up not good :/

[john pike]

if i were doing a forecast at present

i would say same as we have got used to to the 22nd

however i do expect the jet to shift north of us around the 22nd

this will start increasing temperatures to say 25 degrees on the 25th

possibly near 30 by 30th

i then expect a proper plume which will give us some proper storms

right at the end of the month.

however the bad news is i expect the jet to go south of us again very early august

please note these are only my thoughts

i do expect the jet to do this though

tuesday heavy rain pm

wednesday some sunshine and heavy thunderstorms being triggered off throughout the day

thursday changed again

dry to mid afternoon then heavy showers

very heavy rain and persistant a blustery wind as well--flooding a real issue now

saturday looks similar to wednesday sunshine and thunderstorm potential

temperatures mid teens in rain poss high teens in any sunshine

Edited July 9, 2012 by john pike

[Biggin]

Wasnt there some over large rainfall amount predictions for Friday John ??

Edit I refer to a few posts on this page http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/73806-uk-convective-general-discussion-forecasts-7th-july-2012/page__st__380

Edited July 10, 2012 by Biggin

[john pike]

Wasnt there some over large rainfall amount predictions for Friday John ??

Edit I refer to a few posts on this page http://forum.netweat...2/page__st__380

hi biggin

i posted the warning last night as the main problem i can see is the

volume of rain before this event

the fax chart has kept this for 2 nights now

there is a possibility it may shift the low around between

now and then but really needs a close eye on it.

would prefer this moved away somewhere else to be honest

an idea of rainfall from gfs

not sure how much rain totals are there but to me it looks a problem if these

charts are correct

Edited July 10, 2012 by john pike

[john pike]

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2012/07/09/sw_n_1658957.html?utm_hp_ref=uk-weird-news#slide=1200571

this is what the olympic football will look like if the rain continues

looks fun

[Steve C]

Morning all.

The gathering daylight shows it's mostly cloudy, but a bit of blue sky here and dry. There's a half moon too.

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Cloudy, dull and judging by the chill from my open window- a little on the cool side.

[Will Padz]

14c and drizzling....lovely..... Was sunny half an hour ago.....

[Coast]

Convection chances dropping off slightly for us according to GFS:

Maybe something at the weekend.

But jeez, there's a whole load more rain on its way!

and it's heavy on Thursday night into Friday:

[Snowangel-MK]

Just what we need....more rain

At least I've found some suitable footwear for webbed feet...

...I hope they are available in pink

[Biggin]

/\ Friday the thirteenth

[Coast]

Come on storms!!

[Biggin]

What direction they likely to come from Coast ?? SW ??

[Steve C]

The sky

Quite heavy rain here, near Chelmsford. Quelle surprise!

Edited July 10, 2012 by Coast

[Coast]

What direction they likely to come from Coast ?? SW ??

The sky

You got it!!!! I'm not sure at this point, need to look closer at the end of the week if it still looks good!

[Steve C]

I see there's lightning in Lincolnshire AGAIN! I'm sure I read a post a few days ago, on one of the forums saying that Lincs isn't favoured.

If I was Keraunophile, I'd start radar watching now too...