South East England & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 7th 2012>

[Swave Snow]

Paul is NW London also in with a shout tomorrow?

[john pike]

Paul is NW London also in with a shout tomorrow?

http://ukasf.co.uk/storm-forecasts/193

area shown is quite a wide area

nw london included

[Paul Sherman]

Yes definately, would expect some really decent Storm chances from Dorset / Hants up through towards Bucks, Bed, Suffolk and from West Sussex through to kent and Essex.

If I was to draw a line from from Southampton to Norwich, anywhere east of this diagonal line has great chances tomorrow.

[Swave Snow]

Fantastic

[Biggin]

Touch !!!

[john pike]

this is how a typical plume event unfolds on the way to the uk

cape builds to our south

cape and heat builds even more and heads closer to the uk

everyone gets excited

its within touching distance of us

we all wait for our storms with excitement

and it buggers off back to france

[Ste L]

Had 3 loud rumbles, no lightning heavyish rain, would love a better stormy performance today

[john pike]

cold until the 17th and very wet

then 17th to the 19th a couple of warmer days and drier

19th to the 21st cooler and wet again

watch the 21st onwards this is when i expect the temperatures to increase

for a while

more to follow on this

[Guest archiesmummy]

Some fab posts there JP! Thanks for those, will watch with interest re end of month!

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Dull and cool here in Ipswich. Very overcast. Looking forward to some action today. Yesterday was just the aperitif....now I want the main course.

[Coast]

Liking the chances for the next 3 days!

But not the rain!!!

It's just not good for us along the South coast:

[Biggin]

Liking the chances for the next 3 days!

Hmmn nice... Coast I beat ya to the gif

[abruzzi spur]

Morning all

Mostly grey, small patches of blue. Potential in the air (but another under 9s cricket match looks like being washed out this evening)

Chris Fawkes on Radio 4 weather at 7:58 this morning said staying unsettled for the rest of this month. Given we are only at the 11th that's some call, but I suppose reflects the rut we seem to be in.. At least when we get to North Pembrokeshire later this month the weather is not likely to be as dramatically different to home as usual. That's the best silver lining I can find!

AS

[Norfolk Sheep]

Oh God it's gone from been sunny and pleasant to default grey again, which will stick til around 7pm when the sun may come out I'm really getting fed up with this. All we ever get is pathetic light showers or grey skies and drizzle these days. And it's got cold.

[Guest archiesmummy]

Morning everyone, was lovely bright sunshine this morning but is getting grey now..Ho hum!

Is Friday still looking bad? I thought so looking at JPs charts but local weather just said Friday should be the driest day of the week! Lol not what the weather warnings say!

[Coast]

Is Friday still looking bad?

just not liking the look of all this rain.

Oh this ruddy rain!!!!!

If you look at the HiRLAM charts we do get some overnight, but they have the worst of Fridays stuff to our South with the French:

[Methuselah]

Well the clouds are moving a fair bit faster, today...A better chance of catching some action - mehopes?

[Paul Sherman]

Seems the further east you are the better atm, lovely sunny skies with a few passing cumulus here in SE Essex, I am expecting the grey soon though from your reports as it does not seem far away!

[Steve C]

Still sunny spells here, near Chelmsford. Lots of ragged cumulus though.

[Paul Sherman]

Still Looking very good for Parts of Sussex or Kent today, Look out for that Structure, could be another "S" Event today, like I said last night with 40knts of Deep Layer Shear this is more than adequate for Supercell Structures.

The Update from Mr Gilbert!

http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/92387-convective-outlook-weds-11th-july-2012/page__view__findpost__p__811811

[dallas]

Showers now popping up in the City

[BB1979]

Sums up what a 'localised' day it could be today. Dry as a bone here in Blackfriars.

[Coast]

Still Looking very good for Parts of Sussex or Kent today, Look out for that Structure, could be another "S" Event today, like I said last night with 40knts of Deep Layer Shear this is more than adequate for Supercell Structures.

GFS certainly had Tony's tornado/higher shear possibility for around here in the late afternoon charts. Still not 100% sure about TStorms here, but ever hopeful!

[Paul Sherman]

Those 2 cells exploded quite nicely, 1 near Heathrow and the other near Harlow!

Good Start!

[snow raven]

Clouding over here at London Southbank. Looks like I have picked a good day to be in the office that actually has a window!