Southwest & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 18th December 2012>

[Lynxus]

Really...Can I come out of my bunker yet?

Nope. You should probably stay there.. I would get a water pump however.

Re: the rain

Still looking nasty for the SW however its looking like South Wales could be in for the worst of it....

Will wait for the next run or two to put the nail in..

[AWD]

Here it comes, a whole load of rain;

[Bobby]

06z NMM shows up to another 2 inches and maybe more in around 24 hours Saturday. More to come after that too, not good.

The rain in Wales will be flowing into the Wye, Severn etc too so could be flood problems there too.

[Andy Bown]

Not even had a dry day today as a line of showers sprung up around midday and moved across the Mendips into West Wiltshire before decaying!

[cerneman]

Learning to read models, With my new found knowledge will take chance and predict, It will rain tomorrow,

[Mapantz]

The drought was back today, a top up is needed!

I hope those who are effected stay safe through this next period of heavy rain.

[Lynxus]

The drought was back today, a top up is needed!

I hope those who are effected stay safe through this next period of heavy rain.

No Shiznit man! The council were round handing out fines for using our hosepipes!!!!

If only there were some rain on the horizon..

[ARTDEMOLE]

Grey .Cloudy..Some drizzle...7.5c.Light SW breeze.

[A.J]

Well, work is finished, the 12 days of christmas starts for me....no french hens, but shed loads of 'speckled hens'....lol......

Fingers crossed tomorrow's rain has been over-cooked, and no folk suffer more flooding

[Mapantz]

Amber warnings have been updated, they include more of Dorset/Bristol and Somerset.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/

[legritter]

take a look on satellite impressive cloud system now showing up . tonights rain will be with us around mid night . the rain could be more intense than last lot ,not looking good ,front just aproaching cornwall . another dose on sunday and again on monday ,and following week, following on with the possibility of slightly lower temperatures .a bottle or two and a mince pie is whats needed ,cheers .

[Lynxus]

Amber warnings have been updated, they include more of Dorset/Bristol and Somerset.

http://www.metoffice...ather/warnings/

Interesting they don't cover south wales.. Yet all the PPN accu charts show HUGE amounts....

Obviously where gets hit the hardest will vary compared to the models.. Radar watching tomorrow... Boat at the ready.

[Mapantz]

Interesting they don't cover south wales.. Yet all the PPN accu charts show HUGE amounts....

Obviously where gets hit the hardest will vary compared to the models.. Radar watching tomorrow... Boat at the ready.

Yeah difficult one that .. NAE and GFS are showing that, the UKMO precip isn't so spectacular compared to those. I suspect there maybe a halfway-house between their MOGREPS model and some of the others.

[Sainsbo]

I've also noticed on the Forcase assessment it's moved into the highest column for impact. 30mm predicted for here overnight and tomorrow. We're in for a wet weekend, stay safe everybody.

[cerneman]

Council about today clearing all the storm drains,

[Mapantz]

Council about today clearing all the storm drains,

We've had that going on in the backroads where i live, it's absolutely pointless!

All they do is suck out the rubbish in the vertical pipe, the horizontal pipes are completely solid with soil and other stuff. In all the years that i lived here, i haven't seen a single drain working as it should.

[AWD]

Latest NAE suggests South Wales & the far SW of England could see the heaviest of the rainfall over the next 48 hours, with as much as 60mm possible.

Elsewhere up to 30mm across a vast swaythe of Southern England;

[Evening thunder]

If the 18Z NAE is correct = yikes:

This is 30 hours from 6pm today so by midnight tomorrow night

[khodds]

Oh god. Its shifted the worst of it from Cornwall to here.. Good for Cornwall but the levels here - well. Wish everyone luck if this verifies.

[Andy Pepler]

Ian Fergusson retweeted a link from Environment Agency on Twitter

Environment Agency @EnvAgency Swathes of southern & south western England, south east Wales & the Midlands are being warned to prepare for flooding. bit.ly/s2oP8G 03:18 PM - 19 Dec 12

[khodds]

Its quiet on here...where is everyone?

[Coast]

Its quiet on here...where is everyone?

[Dorsetbred]

Its quiet on here...where is everyone?

Out Christmas shopping?

[Andy Bown]

Waiting for today's football to be officially postponed!

And hoping the drier conditions for Christmas Day/Boxing Day prevail so we can have a Bank Holiday local derby!

[Nights King]

Flooding already becoming a problem localy round here on roads with my locak lane like a river!

I'll upload a picture later as it isnt often I see flooding to any real extent.

More rain to come...