Southwest & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 18th December 2012>

[Evening thunder]

Hmm this rain is much lighter than the radar shows it at the moment, my station isn't even registering any rain rate!

I kind of wanted to make a time lapse of the local river rising/flooding but beginning to think it won't even reach the height it did on Thursday..

in fact according to the EA gauges many rivers in the area are dropping already.. so much for the 40-80mm the BBC said

Edited December 22, 2012 by Stormmad26

[sherrie]

But isnt it a good thing that its less rain than predicted? apart from the fact you wanted to make a film of the river flooding that is.

[Herefordweather]

Up here in the midlands I've recorded 15mm since midnight. Not a huge amount but its still raining heavily and the ground just can't take it. Rivers rising rapidly once again.

Hope it clears soon for you guys.

[Nights King]

I think there will be more rain to come yet, they said it would be in pulses with the occasional lighter ppn. probably find radar peps up again later.

But isnt it a good thing that its less rain than predicted? apart from the fact you wanted to make a film of the river flooding that is.

Depends on your perspective just as it does with snow... many people including myself understand its bad for low lying areas but at the same time we find it interesting to witness.

[wormster33]

Serious flooding in my area of south west Isle of Wight. Can't get out, too deep for (2WD) car.

[Evening thunder]

yeah it is a good thing I guess although thankfully the flood plain is mainly just fields, but I did want to witness the river in full flood in day time which I haven't done for donkeys years and can't even remember seeing, as I have been away both times it happened in the day time this year. Still I'm also glad for anyone in this area that may have been affected, many other areas in the SW have had it far worse that don't need it though unfortunately.

[Evie]

Rained heavy here in Exeter up until about 8:30am then nothing since apart from a few light spots, reading of 13c.

[latitude]

More rain, this is just becoming more and more of a problem.

Im sure even the mild winter members would be desperate for some high pressure, cold nights and dry days!

It seems the zonal train is here until the end of the month at least, not good for flooding.

The South West NEEDS a blocked Atlantic ,not just to appease the coldies, but help those suffering again right now in our region!!

Edited December 22, 2012 by latitude

[Lynxus]

Its barely rained here.

Might go get the BBQ out.

[AWD]

This is the latest NAE for midday today;

Yet, from what I can see on the radar, the rainband already looks further east, clearing most of the South West within the next hour, and aside from some showery bursts of rain, the looks to be a dry lull coming up as the secondary wave associated with the rainband doesn't look as formed as what the above NAE suggests.

Maybe it won't be quite as bad?

[Nights King]

This is the latest NAE for midday today;

Yet, from what I can see on the radar, the rainband already looks further east, clearing most of the South West within the next hour, and aside from some showery bursts of rain, the looks to be a dry lull coming up as the secondary wave associated with the rainband doesn't look as formed as what the above NAE suggests.

Maybe it won't be quite as bad?

Not so sure about that it is building now as it is coming into view and although main band has passed the shower activity just keeps pepping up.

[AWD]

Not so sure about that it is building now as it is coming into view and although main band has passed the shower activity just keeps pepping up.

Yes, just started building into view after i posted that post. More masses of rainfall building south of Ireland now, although not too heavy, YET.

[gottolovethisweather]

Well its now reached double-digit Fahrenheit here in Newbury, Berkshire. It is in fact the first time to have done so, since the early hours of 25th November.

Currently dull, gloomy, wet and pretty much like the rest of the UK. 9.4mm and counting, but thankfully currently under a lull in the action.

At least, the 27th and 28th December are currently looking dry and frosty by night. Furthermore, the GFS 6z showed something much colder at times too.

[wormster33]

Just been out with the Go-Pro -

[ARTDEMOLE]

12c SSW breeze 7mph.Ordinary rain now...

[legritter]

Certainly looks like another spell of persistant mod / hvy rain moving n east soon ,this looks like arriving across our area mid late afternoon . dryer over night but then a bit of a problem with next system tomorrow in how far north this comes but looking game on for our area .over Christmas we could see some very potent showers Merging at times . modells and data starting to show higher pressure for after next weekend with possible colder conditions arriving . but i would want to see this shown in future modell runs of all main modells especially UK Met and ECM and an update on met office further outlook pointing us in this direction .so flooding a big issue especially after this afternoon and evenings rain anything tomorrow would be an insult .keep safe and i wish all of you a merry christmas .

[gottolovethisweather]

Further bands of heavy rain accompanied by strong winds are expected to move north and east across the southwest and southern England and south Wales through Saturday and early Sunday. Given that the ground is already saturated, the public should be prepared for the risk of localised flooding from both rivers and surface water. This could well lead to disruption to travel, with a low likelihood of severe disruption, particularly in parts of Devon and Cornwall.

This warning has been updated to include southern counties of England.

Issued at: 1046 on Sat 22 Dec 2012

Please also refer to the amber warnings where the risk of disruption is greater.

http://www.metoffice...Time=1356091260

And the most worrying aspect of that latest update is the use of the word severe, for parts of Devon and Cornwall. I'll copy this into the SW thread MK, if you don't mind.

There will be light at the end of the tunnel but it needs to arrive more quickly than anticipated I feel.

If I could be the bearer of good news I would but........................

Edited December 22, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[Mapantz]

This was the Corfe/Wareham/Studland junction, Corfe river burst it's banks.

The stream running parallel to the Castle also burst..

27.8mm so far today.

Edited December 22, 2012 by Mapantz

[gottolovethisweather]

I'm liking the input from you guys n gals and whilst I'm literally ticking like against your posts, I so wish those who are and will be effected by these deluges stay safe and dry where at all possible.

Edited December 22, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[khodds]

Oh my god! We go camping at Corfe! Those pics are amazing!

[Freddie123]

Just done a journey from BANES to S.Glos. You can literally see the standing water in the verges and the roads are quite flooded in places, at the moment some of the usual places but maybe slightly deeper than normal. Still raining quite heavy here on and off with more to come I can see on the radar.

[cerneman]

Rain eased for now,but some sharp showers, We here doing OK at moment,but bit of knife edge for us people close to river, Really now depends how much more rain we get, The clearing of debris from river over last few days have helped situation and water flowing under bridges is not being blocked, Been some landslip on hillside but not much and not reached river, In summary not too bad,

[mcweather]

30mm here overnight and some road flooding here earlier this morningin the village

[gottolovethisweather]

This says it all really as yet more rain is moving through the SW region.

72 hour totals up to 6am this morning.

http://www.weatheron...k&SORT=2&INT=72

Edited December 22, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[MP-R]

Yet another morning of persistent drizzle, and disgustingly mild - more like March weather than December!