The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion

[Wadey]

Do any of you guys use met check ?

[Skyraker]

Do any of you guys use met check ?

For a laugh yes.

Seriously, a waste of time.

[Staffordshire]

There's some stroking of beards going on over in the model discussion thread and general agreement that this could be modelled further west as we approach T-0, which for everyone in this thread is splendid news.

The SE & East coasters will get their fill from the upcomming easterlies so they'll be sitting pretty in the mid term. Pretty much ALL of our big snow events in this region have been from this type of incursion into a cold block, this is different but still similar.

If it comes off it will be better than Christmas.

yeah, if it does happen even by 50miles the rest if the week could benefit!

[Wadey]

For a laugh yes.

Seriously, a waste of time.

Yeah I thought so lol which models do they use ?

[Wadey]

Raining here, trysull nr Wolverhampton

[Skyraker]

Yeah I thought so lol which models do they use ?

Tea Leaves.

[Shezale coventry]

yeah, if it does happen even by 50miles the rest if the week could benefit!

I think as it stands more eastern sides of england will do well from this event but i rather it was showing this now i mean come sunday or monday it could be a lil further west then bingo whole of our region will be in buisness

[syed2878]

morning guys. Well this snow event i won't get excited until i c it falling out of sky, i mean we were suppose to get some snow on saturday but that's changed so i just won't get excited just yet regarding monday.

[Wadey]

The more west it goes the better for us ! Still think we will get some just don't want rain first

[PolarWarsaw]

The transition zone is literally right over heads. If we get sleet and rain whilst 30 miles east gets 10CM, I'm going to be angry.

[PolarWarsaw]

Damn whilst the 0z looks better for long lasting cold it takes the Snow event east, more marginal and id advise anyone to keep a 'it's going to rain Monday mindset'

[snowangel32]

Yh we could be unlucky here snow line is further east, what are the chances of it shifting west.

Edited January 12, 2013 by snowangel32

[snowangel32]

Yh u are right polar i am in the west midlands, and its not looking gd seems every run its a touch more east we need a big shift west.

[Ian Ballinger]

I predict the usual nothingness on Monday in Telford

[snowangel32]

Yh u are proberbly right Ian, but i pray it will shift west theres still time dont loose hope yet.

[Shezale coventry]

Looks like the nae has shifted further south looking better for the whole of our region!!! But the snow to rain line is so close

[Snowy Easterlies]

if you want to stay happy don't look at the ECM

[Gustywind]

Looks like the short range high res models keep snow for nearly all in the Midlands on Monday, but mostly light stuff. Longer range models produce a stronger feature but with more of a mild sector so rain or sleet more possible the further west you are. Height obviously useful also. Think we're going to have to wait 24 hours to get a clearer picture on this.

[Gustywind]

Morning question for the west mids contingent. Can anyone put a date roughly on the last time we saw a significant 10cms or more accumulation in our region via an overnight feature? Occurred to me last night all decent events in recent years have been daytime ones. Any ideas?

[Barbmac]

We had some sleetiness a little while ago here in Malvern, temp at 1.6^oC.

Hmmm possibly mid December 2010, I remember the snow well as I hurt my back shovelling it away in the morning, Malvern I don't think had as much as 10 cms but I believe other places did better. That's my best guess, I am certain someone here has the definitive answer! Does depend where you live, though.

[Higher Ground]

It's been snowing here for at least the last half hour - settled a bit on car and grass.

EDIT: I see locations not showing, so I'm at Lickey Hills, SW Birmingham, 286m

Edited January 12, 2013 by Higher Ground

[matty40s]

Snowing then raining ghen snowing again in Smethwick west mids. Its a real fine line as this system moves across.

[Turnedoutniceagain]

Here we go - snowing in Hellidon/Priors Marston

[Scoutsy]

Light snow in Edgbaston Birmingham - not settling, but my first glimpse of the white stuff this winter!

[Gustywind]

Hi barb, possibly march 2006 for far western areas of the mids, think Shrewsbury got more than 10cms overnight then. Don't think there are many in last 10 years though. Remember a lot more in the 80s when I was growing up, last really big one was 8th dec 1990 I think, may have been one in 1995/96 though I can't remember any off hand. Used to be great waking up to a blanket of snow first thing in the morning.