Ireland regional discussion 21/12/12 and beyond

[ronan]

Looks good for Thursday into Friday if the precip charts are anything to go by! From 87hrs right out to 117hrs. Thats a hell of allot of snow if it happens. Looks to me that the incoming front comes up against the block and eventually the cold winning out. Netweather gives it a 90% chance of happening. Very interesting!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Looks good Ronan - for the love of God please verify

Edited January 14, 2013 by Pomeroysnow

[mountain shadow]

Its hard to believe that those snow charts are only 3 days away yet there is zero confidence in them occuring.

Certainly nothing from they Met Office.

Big big 12z tonight.

[Rocheydub]

In fairness mountain shadow, the lack of solidity is what's scaring most off believing it! Look tomorrow at the hires charts and we'll have a much clearer picture...

I tentatively believe for the moment **kiss of death**

[ronan]

I would do anything for this to verify. Metcheck long range charts for Derry looks epic!! Lol! Working in Omagh this week Pom so hopefully I see some snow on my travels! Lol

[markok]

trends for cold to be pushed further west are continuing with each run so wouldn't be surprised if there was a nice snowfest for midweek and the weekend. east coast most at risk though i'd say.

[ronan]

trends for cold to be pushed further west are continuing with each run so wouldn't be surprised if there was a nice snowfest for midweek and the weekend. east coast most at risk though i'd say.

East coast how Mark? If the cold air pushes further west then all areas are at risk with approaching fronts from the Atlantic! As was said above a big big 12z on the way today and hopefully a nice sober run from the 18's tonight followed by an epic 00z! Lol!

[Neiller22]

East coast because that's were the coldest air will be currently. Of course that could and will change with each westward movement hopefully.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Come on snow you can do it

[mountain shadow]

They are useless, but the Met Office automated forecasts have updated to show a snow symbol for Friday night, along with gale force south easterlies means possible blizzards.

To be taken with a large dose of salt, but that is the first snow symbol ive seen this winter and an indication that the Uk Met Computers have picked it up like the GFS above

[ronan]

Heavy sleet in Derry at the minute and it's bitter cold out!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

With out jinking it I am starting to get the feeling that Friday/Saturday could be interesting snow wise!!

[ronan]

Just caught up on model thread and some are suggesting parts of Ireland could see up to 29cms by Saturday! Pomeroy i hope you have bought in supplies! Have you by any chance got that picture of your car from 2 years ago with all the snow on it? Think it was you anyway!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Aye I must upload that one again!!

[ronan]

Nice!! What exactly would this mean for us if it was to verify which it probably won't! Surely that would be some serious cold?

[ronan]

Look at this for Friday!!!! The precip charts are showing snowfall for all day Friday!! Exellent!

[markok]

that's great if your in the north or east.. hopefully the snow risk grows during the week for everywhere

[ronan]

Snowing on the Glenshane at the minute! Northern Ireland Weather just put on Facebook that we could be seeing 20cms plus on Friday but stressed that the way the models are at the minute this could all be rain. I would give it 24-48 hours before we can nail it but in all honestly I think things are starting to fall into place and thats the last 4 runs that have been suggesting this. I don't think the atlantic will win and god knows what's gonna happen after Friday!!

[The watcher]

Crazy, absolutely crazy charts. A quick look would make you think an Atlantic storm and zonal was on the way, but a second glance shows the HP to the NE Exerting more and more influence. We want it West, but too far West and no precipitation, too far East and no snow. The battle ground hasn't been far away from Ireland the last few days of runs, a little further West and it'd be perfect for ALL IRELAND to catch some. That's my ramp for the day .

Oops, forgot to say that Bangor has seen alot of shallow convection today with sleet and hail showers quite frequent. Pretty good for literally 20 meters from the coast.

Edited January 14, 2013 by The watcher

[BornFromTheVoid]

Certainly looks interesting for parts of the north and east next Friday.

Why did I choose to go to university in Cork...

[BornFromTheVoid]

Perhaps there's still hope for much of the country, just not a lot!

P11 from the 12z GFS

P4 looks good too

[Beaufort12]

Perhaps there's still hope for much of the country, just not a lot!

P11 from the 12z GFS

P4 looks good too

How would you rate inland Donegal's chances?

[mountain shadow]

Couldnt ask for better output tonight. Once in a generation stuff.

[ronan]

I reckon somewhere will hit the 30cm mark on Friday if this comes off! Seriously excited about this!!

[bobbarley]

BBC news line still adamant it's only sleet and hill snow on Friday. What charts are they looking at???