Winter Model Discussion - Cold Hunting 08/01/13 00z Onwards

[Isolated Frost]

Bloody hell! EC definitely joins the consensus with a peach... this chart would provide us with a very cold NE flow with snow shrs across eastern and southern parts, some in the far north as well- note the atlantic profile, very.... disrupted!

[Duane S.]

Lovely at +120. HP so much better tilted. You would think we are heading for a stellar run here. But who cares, we have cross-major-model agreement. Now what could possibly go wrong!

[SMU]

People saying messy at 120-

With the embedded cold air over england- the energy over eastern greenland is going to move SSE over the UK at 144- very similar to the GFS- will be a band of heavy snow especially on the eastern flank....

S

[Isolated Frost]

Seen enough at +144hrs to convince me we are heading into the freezer. Fantastic days model viewing, what could possibly go wrong from here.

Ha! No chance senor

[bluearmy]

T144 could be better than the other models if the shortwave dives far enough down the western uk and re inforces the euro trough. big difference on the eastern seaboad wrt to yesterday's run. no idea if this is going to be better mid range but its as good for the weekend and i wonder if exteter are going to start talking the 'S' word for the weekend now?

[EML Network]

the UKMO looks great..Even the FAX charts look good, the JMA looks OK so far, the ECM looks good, the GFS looks good the GEM looks good the NOCAPS ..well it looks good for the weekend....can we start to get excited now please :-)

It might snow this weekend everybody ...YEEE-HAAAAAA :-)

Edited January 8, 2013 by EML Network

[SparkleS]

There is a north and western side of great Britain you know! Snow for the east and south then lol

[Panayiotis]

the UKMO looks great..Even the FAX charts look good, the JMA looks OK so far, the ECM looks good, the GFS looks good the GEM looks good the NOCAPS ..well it looks good for the weekend....can we start to get excited now please :-)

It might snow this weekend everybody ...YEEE-HAAAAAA :-)

Woooooohooooooo no im not excited!

ECM good at 120hrs..

Edited January 8, 2013 by Panayiotis

[Tim Bland]

Where is Ian B... Gone quiet now time for the met office to sit up and start issuing warnings for the weekend... We are only talking about 3 days away !

[Paul Sherman]

Would like to hear Ian Browns thoughts on this bactrack from the ECMWF ?

Was you expecting this tonight ? And what do you think has been the reason for this change in tonights output ?

Edited January 8, 2013 by Paul Sherman

[SMU]

ECM greenland high is going to be coming-

Split flow is already evident at 120-

S

[DanDorsetUK]

Meto are you watching!? meto are you watching!? lol

[ChartViewer]

wow 144...GH!!!

Edited January 8, 2013 by ChartViewer

[Zenarcher]

ECM 144 much better,

[TEITS]

People saying messy at 120-

With the embedded cold air over england- the energy over eastern greenland is going to move SSE over the UK at 144- very similar to the GFS- will be a band of heavy snow especially on the eastern flank....

S

Yep pretty much what the 06Z was suggesting.

So at the moment based on all of the output Saturday could see an area of snow which will be followed by snow showers on Sunday. During Monday another band of snow moving SE.

I've known worse outlooks and at the moment the Met O outlook looks like it could need to be adjusted.

[Snowmaggedon]

Let's get this party started!!!

[snowking]

144 after an agonisingly long wait...

Game on

SK

[SMU]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013010812/ECH1-144.GIF?08-0

BOOMAGE

heavy snow & greenland high-

Stress OVER.

S

[cold snap]

Wow wow just wow ECM at 144 blizzards my word

[jessandjon]

I am not wearing glasses on phone at mo and can't see the pics!!!!! Do they MODELS show any snow or really really cold for south east cornwall?

[Roadrunner]

Wow. Fantastic output so far today.

Just waiting for a Steve Murr BOOM! and I'll be even more happy!

Edit: Steve beat me to it!

Edited January 8, 2013 by Roadrunner

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

Welcome to hell my friends

And you will stay there...

And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was JACK FROST, and Hell followed with him.

BFTP

Edited January 8, 2013 by BLAST FROM THE PAST

[Panayiotis]

Heights heading to Greenland, low coming in from the west hitting into -8C uppers, snow anyone?

Edited January 8, 2013 by Panayiotis

[on the coast]

OMG ECM at 144!!! This is fantastic. 3 Major players all going the same way. What can go wrong....Yep the 0zs. Seriously these are great runs tonight..

[MR EXTREMES]

http://www.meteociel...H1-120.GIF?08-0

STUNNER

http://www.meteociel...F0-120.GIF?08-0

Slow moving snow showers in -9c air....

S

haha do i sense a lil ramp steve ecm anom look good aswell.