Winter Model Discussion - 11/01/13 00z Onwards

[weathersupremacy]

Hi guys could someone quickly update me on what the models have shown today, as I've been at school, with no way to keep up! Especially snow risk for Somerset tomorrow?! Thanks

The models show that Ian Brown's blowtorch is smashed!

Models show a big band of PPN to affect large portion of the country between 13:00-19-00 on Monday.

[John Cox]

GFS looks to be following the ECM!

The ECM will be following GFS at this rate.... A much improved run with the low sinking further south and high pressure building much better further west.

[Southender]

There is the Steve Murr "Trivial Pursuit Wedge" trying to build between Iceland and Norway...

[dec10snow]

The models show that Ian Brown's blowtorch is smashed!

Models show a big band of PPN to affect large portion of the country between 13:00-19-00 on Monday.

Thanks, always good to see! Was this an upgrade from the runs from yesterday?

[Harsh Climate]

What's that I see???

More snow coming down from the north monday night, a lovely second helping

Edited January 11, 2013 by Harsh Climate

[weathertoski]

Massive upgrade regarding snow potential on Monday!

[weathersupremacy]

More snow on the 15th!

[SMU]

VERY SNOWY GFS COMING UP-

totals 15CM +++ from the first low monday - which is followed fast by another at 102- plus the upper air cold pool is right in the east-

Cracking run-

WATCH FOR THE SLIDER AT 130/140

[southbank]

12z is known to be progessive with these features , maybe a bit slower but looking like a snow event on monday , hopefully the NMM models from 12z tomorrow will be key

[P-M]

VERY SNOWY GFS COMING UP-

totals 15CM +++ from the first low monday - which is followed fast by another at 102- plus the upper air cold pool is right in the east-

Cracking run-

WATCH FOR THE SLIDER AT 130/140

Hi Steve,

Is that widely across the UK looking at current projections?

[No Balls Like Snow Balls]

2nd band of snow shown following on from Mondays 1st band on this run.

[weathersupremacy]

@t96 stunning snowfall adding to the previous days!

[Summer Sun]

Fantastic GFS so far a major snow event is on the cards for the bulk of England and wales on Monday with significant disruption certain if it comes off

Another spell of heavy snow for the North during the Tuesday morning rush hour spreading south during the day

SNOW FEST COMING TONIGHT I CAN FEEL IT

Edited January 11, 2013 by Gavin.

[jessandjon]

Snow in which areas? I don't know what to look for in the MODEL pictures?

[offerman]

latest frame shows high sinking south, not great as its between azores and euro high which might flatten things out from late wed /thur, but lets see what next frames bring as h.p might builg again north north sea.

[Harsh Climate]

VERY SNOWY GFS COMING UP-

totals 15CM +++ from the first low monday - which is followed fast by another at 102- plus the upper air cold pool is right in the east-

Cracking run-

WATCH FOR THE SLIDER AT 130/140

A bit optimistic lol , more like 6/7 centimetres.

Edited January 11, 2013 by Harsh Climate

[Panayiotis]

Lovely 12z so far upgrade at 78hrs (yes I know Im a little behind) very similar to what the ECM is doing and sending that shortwave S.

My heart is beating a little faster now that I am excited lol!

Edited January 11, 2013 by Panayiotis

[smhouston]

WOw, looking lovely so far! Must admit I thought it was going to be worse than the 6z at first. Amazing differences around T72

[MR EXTREMES]

Heights around Svalbard definitely looking better on this run than on the 6z. I think this will be a run to savour!

LP already heading south at T+72!

no heights what so ever around svalbard my friend.

marginal at t102 for the south.

Edited January 11, 2013 by model rollercoaster

[weathersupremacy]

@102 I need a snowplough

[M1245]

Not sure what i'm looking at here but i see that their could be a major snow event for the majority of England and wales. Can anyone enlighten me on the chances for Eastern Scotland?

[Geordiesnow]

Certainly a better and more progressive run regarding the potential snowfall for Monday is concerned, shame the easterly drift is looking more and more sorry for itself regarding potential snowfall but I'll happily swap a half hearted easterly attempt for Monday's potential fun and games!

Wonder what effect the low pressure system/shortwave to the South of Greenland will have on the rest of the run.

[weathersupremacy]

@108 the SE is covered in snow.

[cooling climate]

VERY SNOWY GFS COMING UP-

totals 15CM +++ from the first low monday - which is followed fast by another at 102- plus the upper air cold pool is right in the east-

Cracking run-

WATCH FOR THE SLIDER AT 130/140

Certainly could not ask for better from the GFS this afternoon.

Edited January 11, 2013 by cooling climate

[Panayiotis]

@SteveMurr is looking more likely that this run we may see the 'wedge' of high pressure over Iceland, like you were hinting earlier on..