East Anglia & Three Counties Regional Discussion

[claret047]

Good morning everyone,

It is nice and bright here in Chelmsford this morning. I thought I would join the EA thread along with the rest of the Chelmsford posters. Also good to see Steve on here. Good luck to Steve on the A12 this coming week if the forecaste holds true!. I used to work in Colchester and I agree with another poster there are often idiots driving along there. Now I work in :London and have to commute by train each day to NW1 so it will be tough and go as to whether i will see any of the white stuff.

It is also good to see TEITS posting on here as i always value his opinions and comments as well as John Pyke promising to provide details for our neck of the woods.

With Saint being on board (in spite of supporting a lesser Football team than the mighty Clarets (only joking)) is another welcome addition.

I am really looking forward to the upcoming cold spell.

Kind Regards

Dave

[Floatylight]

Matt Taylor just now on news24:

"Southern England and The west will see very little snow over the next few days"

He kept mentioning southern counties just seeing rain. Does not look good for southern parts if this region including me.

Looks like my best chance is Wednesday in Essex with possible heavy snow showers

I think he means southern counties??we arnt down south .imo we will do well here as from 6 am tommorow onwards!

[TEITS]

Little change from the NAE. Still suggests snowfall for the majority with the heaviest falls being predicted for the N of this region.

I expect alot of moaning from the London/SE thread though!

[Ben_Cambs]

GFS 06z update: better for our region for tomorrow with the mild sector further west!

http://modeles.meteo.../gfs-2-30.png?6

http://modeles.meteo.../gfs-2-36.png?6

http://modeles.meteo.../gfs-2-42.png?6

Will wait for GFS 0.5 to update to confirm..

Edited January 13, 2013 by Ben_Cambs

[essex coast matt]

Light sleet shower at mo here.

[Coast]

I expect a lot of moaning from the London/SE thread though!

Oh boy have we got that! Not sure why though:

[Keraunic]

And here is the handsome boy complete with thick winter coat all ready for snow............

[Grinzzz]

400+ bhp!,what are you driving

A C1 for the next few days weeks with any luck!

[Dexter29]

I think he means southern counties??we arnt down south .imo we will do well here as from 6 am tommorow onwards!

Oh that's good. Fingers and toes crossed.

I think I'll be just about ok in Epping

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

I'm seeing snow in Peterborough as I speak just a light flurry, but the first snow of winter for me has made its debut at least !

[daza07]

Few light flakes blowing around now

[TEITS]

Oh boy have we got that! Not sure why though:

Made my post before seeing the 06Z GFS run and thats much better with a shift W. The NAE is still rather poor for the SE though which is what I based my comments on.

[TheBigFreeze]

read in the model forum that the front could be moving faster than expected so that snow could be here sooner than expected!

[snowking]

Anyone viewing on meteociel, view the 0.5deg high res GFS. The problem with the standard operational GFS is the low resolution pixelation.

That said, in my experience, the GFS always tends to overdo the dew points (and therefore NMM is likely to do the same, given its initialised from the same data set)

Some light snow flurries here in the last 30 mins

SK

[daza07]

TEITS how do you think things will pan out for peterborough ?

[Steve C]

Good morning everyone,

It is nice and bright here in Chelmsford this morning. I thought I would join the EA thread along with the rest of the Chelmsford posters. Also good to see Steve on here. Good luck to Steve on the A12 this coming week if the forecaste holds true!. I used to work in Colchester and I agree with another poster there are often idiots driving along there. Now I work in :London and have to commute by train each day to NW1 so it will be tough and go as to whether i will see any of the white stuff.

Kind Regards

Dave

I'm thinking of taking last minute holiday; maybe Wednesday to Friday. If we get anything significant, I'd like to be out in it.

(and maybe leaving work early tomorrow and working from home on Tuesday )

[Coast]

Nice!

[Long haul to mild]

Oh boy have we got that! Not sure why though:

Precipitation showing as rain in the 18:00 hours chart though? The GFS precipitation type charts show everything as very marginal in the East of the region too. I don't really understand that though; if the mild sector is further West, I thought that would be better?

[Iceni]

I think because it changes so much, they are not very consistent during cold spells with projected paths for snowfall - this proves how difficult it is to predict snow.

Even when the BBC forecast comes on with family in the house (non weather enthusiasts) I've had them saying to me, didn't that forecast show different this morning!

It's difficult to predict precipitation, but once the conditions are right dew points etc, it's not so hard to predict snow and surely there must be some people at the BBC or MetO who can have a stab at it.

I think it's more reluctance. Goes against their pension fund investments.

[fatyido]

Totally unexpected grapual shower here in St Neots. Infact enough to make everywhere nice and white..!

[TheBigFreeze]

Take a look at post 569 in the SW regional thread, Ian F has very kindly given us a chart from Exeter regarding Thursday.

just grabbed this from the main model thread.....i'm no expert, but this is looking good for our region isn't it? That is a chart that Ian Ferguson posted in the SW thread

Edited January 13, 2013 by TheBigFreeze

[angel23]

Light snow here in Luton now

[Long haul to mild]

The snow that people are reporting seems to be radar proof; nothing showing up at all!

[Ben_Cambs]

Expecting amber warnings to be issued for most in the region by the Met office later for tomorrow, would be very suprised if they didn't.

[icy toes]

Morning everyone - we've got a few snowflakes blowing in the wind at the moment. Very light - could be someone going for a walk with dandruff, mind 😄