Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->

[Isolated Frost]

it's all to play for and the lamp post still looks the best option.

Thats about spot on. On the day, the NMM, GFS, UKMO won't matter- it's whats happening outside. One thing is for sure, it's going to be bloody cold!

[Isolated Frost]

3/4 of a cm lying on the fence now, which is a very good result considering the situation 6 hrs ago.

No grass visible, but much of the concrete is. Hopefully this is here when I wake up!

[Boro Snow]

heavy now

[snow_mad_09]

Look at Thursdays minimum, yikes.

[Isolated Frost]

Starting with icy stretches on untreated surfaces, followed by snow spreading east this morning, perhaps becoming locally heavy. This afternoon the snow will persist in many places. Accumulations up to10cm are generally expected, but possibly to 15cm over high ground. Maximum Temperature 2 °C.

Met O upgrade!

Currently 0.1c with that band/line coming in... oooooohhhh

[Alex95]

The radar doesn't look that exciting to me, the band looks very narrow!

[Hagler]

The radar doesn't look that exciting to me, the band looks very narrow!

I'm sure High Heaton will get close to 30cms from it.

[CraigUK]

Think I'll just head to bed after I finish work judging by the radar - doesn't look like anything too exciting at all for us

[Isolated Frost]

The band is fragmenting but if f'cast to intensify before midday as it reaches Tyne and Wear by 11am. Very interesting stuff this morning- please be snow!

[Isolated Frost]

Btw, NMM suite gives continuous snow (light, then heavy, then light) from 9am to 10pm in Tyne and Wear today.

[P-M]

Alza why are you always a glass half empty person! Howay man some ok prospects today lets hear a little ramp from you :-)

I have some confidence as Meto are still bullish with an amber warning an hour before the "start" of the event.....suppose only time will tell.

[Isolated Frost]

Precip is expected to fall during the day (negative), but no real mild sector with 850temps staying below -5c all day, popping below -6 and -7c in the evening.

MetO also predicting Tuesday and Wednesday to be very encouraging convection-wise, with snow shrs, whilst they will be more isolated and light by Wednesday evening and Thursday. After that, it could be a big channel low, atlantic storms, calmer SElies or a battleground. All up for grabs.

I'd say if today delivers like MetO warnings signal, and so do Tuesday and Wednesday- I wouldn't mind a clear, cold Thursday with a good 5-6 inches on the ground... oops, getting too far ahead there!

[Penrith Snow]

Good luck with it guys the front just cleared penrith at it was all rain despite temperature near freezing.

Andy

[doggy123]

Got a bad feeling about today temp at 2.0 and dew point at 0.5 on the coast could be a wet one. hopefully this will drop in the heavy precipitation.

[Alex95]

How do the conditions here compare with Cumbria? Since they had rain it would be nice to hear that it was more favourable here! If anything the front seems to be intensifying already rather than fizzle as it usually would when it hits the Pennines, so if it slows down we could get quite a bit.

The NAE has precipitation totals of 5-10mm by midnight, so I guess that would be 5-10cm of snow if it all fell as snow, and it all settled. Time will tell!

Those who have snow in Scotland are reporting impressive accumulations in a short space of time, but a lot seem to have rain at low levels.

Edited January 14, 2013 by Alza

[Hagler]

I take it the talked about mild sector is upon us as I've just been outside and it isn't cold at all.

[NickR]

I take it the talked about mild sector is upon us as I've just been outside and it isn't cold at all.

Eh?? The "mild sector" refers to the 850s - it won't be felt on the ground... where in Durham it's currently -0.1°C.

[Isolated Frost]

Alza, the Cumbrian rain was caused by the mild sector with -3c 850 packets dotted around. That mild sector progresses with the front meaning upper air temps should be 1c colder under the same mild sector, and all our precip will be under sub -5c 850s.

Its a case of watching the lamppost, I've been radar watching instead of exam revising, which is in an hour, damn!

Alza, the Cumbrian rain was caused by the mild sector with -3c 850 packets dotted around. That mild sector progresses with the front meaning upper air temps should be 1c colder under the same mild sector, and all our precip will be under sub -5c 850s.

Its a case of watching the lamppost, I've been radar watching instead of exam revising, which is in an hour, damn!

[Hagler]

Eh?? The "mild sector" refers to the 850s - it won't be felt on the ground... where in Durham it's currently -0.1°C.

I'm only asking, no need to be a idiot about it?

[NickR]

I'm only asking, no need to be a idiot about it?

You didn't ask. You stated. And I was just expressing surprise and tell you what it referred to. If you'd asked I wouldn't have expressed my surprise in that way. Good morning to you too!

[Isolated Frost]

Morning all!

[Hagler]

I said "I take it" and forgot to put a question mark on the end of my sentence, I certainly didn't state anything!

Knowledge wise im in no position to "state" anything about the weather!

[P-M]

Morning IF tell me it's gonna pour with snow....

[Alex95]

Alza, the Cumbrian rain was caused by the mild sector with -3c 850 packets dotted around. That mild sector progresses with the front meaning upper air temps should be 1c colder under the same mild sector, and all our precip will be under sub -5c 850s.

Its a case of watching the lamppost, I've been radar watching instead of exam revising, which is in an hour, damn!

OK thanks, I still have everything crossed then as its obviously going to be a knife edge! Which exam have you got?

[Isolated Frost]

Chemistry GCSE, and Paul, it's gonna pour down, not quite sure where!