West Midlands Regional Discussion

[Staffordshire]

My verdict... not a cat in hells chance! i refuse to get excited till thursday evening, although if the front does make it here it is likely to stall against that block, regarding thursdays snowfall... i dont see where this will come from? if someone could give me a breif description so i could pop back on when i have 5 minutes? very busy atm so cant really be on here

Edited January 15, 2013 by Staffordshire

[Stour7]

Just clicked on my just updated netweather local forecast, Friday in to Saturdays all snow 20mm rain = 20cm of snow, I'm not being greedy just half would do........

[Chess01]

Well i have got a flight early sunday hope i can get to finland

[mozza81]

If some of the latest data is to be believed, then it looks good for the west mids come the weekend but early doors yet.

The best snowfalls in our area always happen like this......rather have 20cms of snow and then it get milder after a couple of days than have 2 weeks of 2-3 cms of snow showers and sub zero temps.

[Ian Ballinger]

Yep 3 days away is still a long time and a lot could change

[cold stoke]

At the weekend does the mild weather win over the cold.

[MKN]

My verdict... not a cat in hells chance! i refuse to get excited till thursday evening, although if the front does make it here it is likely to stall against that block, regarding thursdays snowfall... i dont see where this will come from? if someone could give me a breif description so i could pop back on when i have 5 minutes? very busy atm so cant really be on here

posts saying along the lines of your first statement I've seen many times but considering its at the +72 stage along with a reasonable amount of agreement if It was anything but snow we'd all be confident now of it happening. Really hope it does as could be one to remember

[PolarWarsaw]

This place becomes frustrating with charts like tonight.

[Adzyy]

Everywhere still frozen here today and in for another harsh frost tonight,

[I remember Atlantic 252]

very long way off, but I think that GFS is the best run I have ever seen! not saying it will verify of course! bbc pressure charts good, front seen over midlands north

[German John]

Local Central news at 6-30 saying yellow warning for snow but showing a sleet shower symbol for Friday ???? Here we go again !!!

[PolarWarsaw]

Central tonight and chocolate fireguards come to mine.

[Gord]

Brilliantly sunny day today. Some snow melt where I work down near Rowley Regis but return home to Gornal to find it looking exactly the same as I left it this morning!

Here we go again for Friday then...not getting swept along this time. At least there isn't a weekend building up to it this time so I can suitably distracted by work. The forecasts were very good for last Monday here in the end, see if they can get it right a second time running.

[Stour7]

Brilliantly sunny day today. Some snow melt where I work down near Rowley Regis but return home to Gornal to find it looking exactly the same as I left it this morning!

Here we go again for Friday then...not getting swept along this time. At least there isn't a weekend building up to it this time so I can suitably distracted by work. The forecasts were very good for last Monday here in the end, see if they can get it right a second time running.

The nw forecast for my area was pretty much spot on, if it's still saying the same this time tommorow I will be taking more notice.......

[camperstron]

Today has been a beautiful wintry day/evening! I'm not holding out any hope for the weekend tbh, it would be nice but our geography always throws in a curve ball.

[The Wolf]

Please let this event come off for Friday and the weekend. We deserve a good dumping of snow

in the West Midlands.

[i love snow]

Please let this event come off for Friday and the weekend. We deserve a good dumping of snow

in the West Midlands.

I have to agree! And if it does happen we deserve to have it stick around for more than a day

[Staffordshire]

Okay finally got a break and had a look at some charts etc... Id say 20% chance it coming off atm and us receiving 10cm+, need more models and runs to show it though

[Hoofhearted]

Keeping fingers crossed, our sledges are waiting very patiently!! ;-)

[ARB]

It is amazing how people are torturing themselves trying to discern what will happen. I suspect the worst\best snow will be south of watling street (A5) or at least that is what i am telling myself so if we do get anything i will be pleasantly surprised!

[Gord]

It is amazing how people are torturing themselves trying to discern what will happen. I suspect the worst\best snow will be south of watling street (A5) or at least that is what i am telling myself so if we do get anything i will be pleasantly surprised!

South of the A5, I like it! That's a new one! Personally, I think it'll be west of the A449!

Seriously though, it is just another wait and see event...just like every snow event is. Before then, some lovely winter weather in the form of sun, frost and maybe some freezing fog. Hopefully some stunning sunrises and sunsets.

[ARB]

It was my Dad who came up with the saying that it snowed either north of the A5 or south of it, but rarely across it! In 2009 it was true at times when Birmingham had snow and we had little,but of course it is just a quirk of the weather.

Saying that there are a few zones more prone to snow than others, the North Norfolk coast for instance in a northerly outbreak, or indeed closer to home the Cheshire gap.

[shep]

It's hard - I like Hinckley - so literally on the east midlands and west midlands boarder! - and ARB - I live right by the A5 on the watling street @ Hinckley - Here's hoping to a dumping of snow!! ;-)

Edited January 15, 2013 by shep

[fiftytwodegreesnorth]

I would say that if we see consistency in the model runs this time tomorrow re. Friday and wkend, then we could start to get excited. The W Midlands could be in the sweet spot if the system moves north enough.

A few agreed in the model output thread that its quite similar to 7/8th Feb 96, which if you are old enough to remember delivered up to 8 inches or more in the Midlands and western areas. Not saying we will get the same, but with cold embedded, any snow that does fall wont struggle to settle like it did on Monday.

Watch this space.....

I will post some charts if i can find

[Gustywind]

Think I'll give it another 24 hours before taking real note of Fridays charts + weekend, but fingers crossed its looking good currently. This really is an unusual set of Synoptics and one which gives the west mids a real chance of hitting the jackpot snow wise. Best location for me would be malverns up to the lickey hills in terms of depth of snow, but really much of the region has a real shot at a substantial fall between Friday and Sunday.