North West England Regional Discussion - January 17th 2013. 12z onwards

[cfallon]

Does it?

Not for all but some yes

[SnowObsessor90]

I really fear for my laptop at the minute, if the GFS 12z shows yet another downgrade then I'm not sure how much they'll be left of it.

Edited January 17, 2013 by SnowObsessor90

[wysiwyg]

12Z GFS Just starting on WetNether!

Edited January 17, 2013 by wysiwyg

[Joe Bloggs]

Does it?

The snow accumulation chart is just awful. Shows no snow accumulating in Manchester whatsoever really.

I guess what Tom C told me yesterday could be right really - SE'lies are no good for Manchester due to the Peak District. He gave me a perfectly valid physical explanation yesterday (he's a physicist at Manchester Uni) and it looks like he could be spot on

[HotCuppa]

No chance. Temp - 1.9C, DP 0.0C, although the wet bulb is worrying @ 1.2C.

are you sure your dp is 0.0? it should be a lot lower than that. mine is -1.7C

temp 0.8C

[spikyrunner]

Very light snow falling near Chester, nothing significant though.

[HotCuppa]

Not for all but some yes

I don't really see how..1/2cm at most? it looks unrealistic anyway

[Rnewbs]

Giving up on the RainToday radar, that stuff to the west is moving west whilst that chunk to the east is expanding and going northwest.

Very odd.

[wysiwyg]

The snow accumulation chart is just awful. Shows no snow accumulating in Manchester whatsoever really.

I guess what Tom C told me yesterday could be right really - SE'lies are no good for Manchester due to the Peak District. He gave me a perfectly valid physical explanation yesterday (he's a physicist at Manchester Uni) and it looks like he could be spot on

SEly is no good for convective snow coming from the East.

This set up brings the snow from the west and creates SEly winds where the warm and cold mix

Th big question is how far east this mixing will progress!

[Backtrack]

are you sure your dp is 0.0? it should be a lot lower than that. mine is -1.7C

temp 0.8C

88% humidity so yep. 0.0C

[chris78]

Just had a walk to tesco and got well and truly bombarded by several sharp grains of snow lucky to get back really !!!

...christ are your ok...thats sounds awful.....hope you get over it soon...goodlluck!

[HotCuppa]

Giving up on the RainToday radar, that stuff to the west is moving west whilst that chunk to the east is expanding and going northwest.

Very odd.

dont use the advanced forecast on rain today,

[Bartlett Low]

Warmer air moving east, colder air moving west.

[MrSunshine]

12Z GFS Just starting on WetNether!

Eyes down for another downgrade! I hope I'm wrong!

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Im not bothering to look outside to see whats falling. Cant stand the heartbreak if its rain

[HotCuppa]

88% humidity so yep. 0.0C

why is it at 0.0? this side of the mersey is a lot colder dp

[SparkleS]

For the second time today lol

I predict!!

:lol: shame the feathers arent snow.

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

12z leaves whole nw pasted

[Joe Bloggs]

SEly is no good for convective snow coming from the East.

This set up brings the snow from the west and creates SEly winds where the warm and cold mix

Th big question is how far east this mixing will progress!

I know what you mean, but Tom was referring to the setup we have tomorrow, not convection from the east.

[SparkleS]

East verses west

[Snow free zone]

Here's the final NAE chart - looks good.

No it doesn't

[wysiwyg]

For the second time today lol

I predict!!

.....

shame the feathers arent snow.

Hence the newly purchased sledges to be used as riot shields to protect against spat out dummies and toys being hurled out of prams!!!

[Osamasbinsledgin]

Light snow, small grains getting heavier

[SparkleS]

12z leaves whole nw pasted

Does it?

[paul12345]

Never getting my hopes up over snowfall ever again.