Far North of England Regional Discussion 09/02/13 18z ----->

[Boro Snow]

The one thing I would say is UKMO's only model goes against the update tonight so we are non the wiser GFS shows the Atlantic winning through next week turning things milder again with highs around 14c

yeah but they do have other models or equipment that we dont have access to surely to put an update out like that they must be pritty confident

[Summer Sun]

yeah but they do have other models or equipment that we dont have access to surely to put an update out like that they must be pretty confident

Indeed the difference between UKMO and GFS at such a short range is shocking tonight I don't think anyone has a clue what will happen next week

It will either be cold with snow in the east or just cold and cloudy for a few days before turning milder maybe ECM and the ensembles will shed some light later on

[Boro Snow]

Quite a prolonged cold spell coming looking at the ecm tonight

[Boro Snow]

is that -12 uppers just coming into the northeast, lovely winter goes out with a bang if the ecm is to be believed,

[NickR]

is that -12 uppers just coming into the northeast, lovely winter goes out with a bang if the ecm is to be believed,

Boo! Hiss!... I'm ready for some warmth and time spent getting the garden into shape! Buggar off snow and cold!

Edited March 5, 2013 by NickR

[Summer Sun]

Quite a prolonged cold spell coming looking at the ecm tonight

Are you not going to the Huddersfield game tonight Lee?

Yes tonight again its ECM and GFS v UKMO something has to give shortly 1 or 2 of the models will have egg on its face by Monday but which will it be

[Boro Snow]

Are you not going to the Huddersfield game tonight Lee?

Yes tonight again its ECM and GFS v UKMO something has to give shortly 1 or 2 of the models will have egg on its face by Monday but which will it be

no it fell through gutted, so got the headphones on listening to bbc tees watching the man u madrid match on tv with the laptop on the arm of the chair

[Summer Sun]

no it fell through gutted, so got the headphones on listening to BBC tees watching the man u Madrid match on tv with the laptop on the arm of the chair

Ah sorry to hear that yes I have AB on and I'm also watching the Man U v Real Madrid

Come on Boro and Man U (for one night only)

Edited March 5, 2013 by Gavin.

[Summer Sun]

Finally the Boro have scored thanks to McDonald (Samobi assist) but Huddersfield have just made it 1-1 in the fog typical

Make that 2-1 Huddersfield 2 points off the playoffs we must beat Bristol on Saturday now its a must win

Edited March 5, 2013 by Gavin.

[Snowmaggedon]

Finally the Boro have scored thanks to McDonald (Samobi assist) but Huddersfield have just made it 1-1 in the fog typical

Make that 2-1 Huddersfield 2 points off the playoffs we must beat Bristol on Saturday now its a must win

Every game is now a must win game. Nottingham forest have overtook and so can Leeds with their game in hand

[Alex95]

Some pretty juicy charts knocking about for early next week - will this finally be the clean NE'ly we've been waiting for? well, those who actually still want snow of course

[Alex95]

The 0z GFS would bring heavy snow on Sunday, but then the high slowly sinks so the snow would gradually turn more marginal. The ECM on the other hand is incredibly cold for all of next week really. All the main models show maximum temperatures below freezing by Sunday, with 850s well below -10, which is pretty impressive for mid March.

[Boro Snow]

MUSIC TO MY EARS BY GIBBY

In Summary the weather will take a sharp turn colder early next week as High pressure over Greenland pulls very cold Arctic winds South over the UK. With Low pressure close by to the UK there looks to be plentiful opportunities for snowfall, more especially but not exclusively to Northern and Eastern Britain but maybe in the South and SW too should Low pressure close to the SW push troughs up into the cold air from the South. Frosts will be widespread and sharp so Gardeners beware the last few days of mild Spring weather was a false dawn and we will have to wait quite a while for anything remotely Springlike temperature wise looking at this morning's output and Jet Stream profile.

[Summer Sun]

MUSIC TO MY EARS BY GIBBY

In Summary the weather will take a sharp turn colder early next week as High pressure over Greenland pulls very cold Arctic winds South over the UK. With Low pressure close by to the UK there looks to be plentiful opportunities for snowfall, more especially but not exclusively to Northern and Eastern Britain but maybe in the South and SW too should Low pressure close to the SW push troughs up into the cold air from the South. Frosts will be widespread and sharp so Gardeners beware the last few days of mild Spring weather was a false dawn and we will have to wait quite a while for anything remotely Springlike temperature wise looking at this morning's output and Jet Stream profile.

Its safe to say outdoor planting of veg is on hold till this passes

Edited March 6, 2013 by Gavin.

[Boro Snow]

LOOKS LIKE WE MIGHT BE HEADING FOR THE COLDEST SPELL OF THE WINTER WITH SOME VERY LOW UPPERS AND PLENTY OF SNOW ABOUT COMING IN OFF THE NORTH SEA

[Snowmaggedon]

Latest GFS model output is meant to be insane, we could be in for a cracking cold spell

[Boro Snow]

Its safe to say outdoor planting of vege is on hold till this passes

I no all my lilys and shoots are starting to come through im gunna have to try and cover them up

[Boro Snow]

these could be the max temps for mon brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

[Andy_]

***t the bed

[Snowmaggedon]

How long is this cold weather going to last next week, because it now looks like it's pretty much nailed on

Edited March 6, 2013 by Snowmaggedon

[Summer Sun]

How long is this cold weather going to last next week, because it now looks like it's pretty much nailed on

GFS 06z says 4 days max temps back to around 7c by Wednesday

Tuesday sees temperatures rise into positive territory again after a bitter Monday

Wednesday we see highs of 6 to 8c

By Thursday we again see temperatures ranging from 6 to 8c

[Andy_]

I can't see anything other than snow showers, and a lot of them if the latest GFS and ECM verify for our region, at least in the initial blast.

Please can this not get watered down, just for once?

[Summer Sun]

From Ian fergusson in the MOD thread

The only saving grace is our expectation for daytime RST's in many low-lying areas to rise sufficiently to mitigate against prolonged lying snow, but with threat of substantial nocturnal accumulations. It's knifedge regarding regional/localised potential for disruption and UKMO will hold fire on early warnings until better continuity on coldest solutions and then some understanding of how RST's will respond (and thus how much any snow could accumulate to become troublesome).

So by that some areas could be marginal whilst some others could get pasted its just a case of wait and see now

[NickR]

From Ian fergusson in the MOD thread

So by that some areas could be marginal whilst some others could get pasted its just a case of wait and see now

He's not talking about anything being marginal in terms of snow falling. He's talking about snow lying.

Edited March 6, 2013 by NickR

[Boro Snow]

Yep this time nxt week were gunna be under a foot of snow

One can dream