The Midlands Regional Discussion 12th February 2013>

[Snowangel-MK]

Please use this thread for your regional discussions about the current weather or what is being forecast for the next few days in the Midlands..

Link to the previous one….

[kmanmx]

Met Office have updated the warnings, but they don't include most of us. They do not extend further south enough.

Wonder if we'll see them change tommorow, or perhaps later today even.

[snowmadchrisuk]

Warnings not following nae thats for sure ... Even the South has a chance on that

[MKN]

Issued at - 12 Feb 2013, 10:42

Valid from - 13 Feb 2013, 06:00

Valid to - 13 Feb 2013, 20:00

Sleet and snow will spread eastwards across many northern and central parts of the UK on Wednesday. Accumulations of 2 to 4 cm could occur at lower elevations, but perhaps more than 10 cm over some hilly areas, where drifting is possible in strong winds. Icy roads may also cause some difficult driving conditions in places.

The snow should ease and revert to rain later in the day, so snow cover at low levels should be temporary

As others have said they don't really include our region. Were to far south atm

[I remember Atlantic 252]

BBC still give me 5 hours snow, then sleet and then misty at 1C, mild air comes in through the night

going to be very quiet on here from thursday, which looks like anticyclonic gloom which could last right through Feb, not complaining though as its a million times better than zonal/rain

[snowangel32]

I think might get an hour of snow then rain but all the latest charts indicate a potential greenland high from around the 21st so i dont know what u mean about the rest of feb been anticylotic gloom dosent look true on the latest charts, lets hope they come true

[kmanmx]

12z NAE broadly the same.

[TonyH]

BBC still give me 5 hours snow, then sleet and then misty at 1C, mild air comes in through the night

going to be very quiet on here from thursday, which looks like anticyclonic gloom which could last right through Feb, not complaining though as its a million times better than zonal/rain

The heck it is!

[Polar Low]

Light snow shower passing through here. Not holding out a great deal of hope for tomorrow.

[MKN]

Gfs looking snowier. Mainly because precip looks much heavier so far anyway

[Staffordshire]

Gfs looking snowier. Mainly because precip looks much heavier so far anyway

also the slightest shift south?

[MKN]

also the slightest shift south?

Yup could do with a fair few more shifts south. It won't stop the inevitable rain coming in but should send more energy beneath the block to give us a better chance of cold returning sooner.

[shaky]

Gfs looking snowier. Mainly because precip looks much heavier so far anyway

Brilliant even the nae looks very slightly better than its 06z

[Staffordshire]

Yup could do with a fair few more shifts south. It won't stop the inevitable rain coming in but should send more energy beneath the block to give us a better chance of cold returning sooner.

yes only a few more runs left though, could be better if it conlmpletely undercut however that is very unlikely now

[Dancerwithwings]

Gfs looking snowier. Mainly because precip looks much heavier so far anyway

Yesterday evening i quoted that D-P and temps are pretty good for tomorrow and snow maybe light

you were going for more rain and only if its colder + snower that things may change! showing today what do you think now for tom.

[syed2878]

well going by the 00z outputs looks like winter could have a sting in it's tail. Tomorrow's met warnings doesn't cover brum, or have i got that wrong? I hope i have.

[Staffordshire]

Buxton should do well tommorow

[MKN]

Yesterday evening i quoted that D-P and temps are pretty good for tomorrow and snow maybe light

you were going for more rain and only if its colder + snower that things may change! showing today what do you think now for tom.

I think now theres a better chance of snow for perhaps a 3 hour period but by no means certain yet. would like to see the 18z before being sure. Some areas I still think could see freezing rain for a time aswell as its more the upper temps rather than ground temps and dew points that are a bit to high for my liking.

[shaky]

I think now theres a better chance of snow for perhaps a 3 hour period but by no means certain yet. would like to see the 18z before being sure. Some areas I still think could see freezing rain for a time aswell as its more the upper temps rather than ground temps and dew points that are a bit to high for my liking.

Well ukmo 12z is a slight upgrade aswell!!for 7pm tomorrow it was showing +1/+2 850hpa temps!!but not its showing 850hpa temps of -2/-3!!and the precipitation is heavier aswell!!

[Staffordshire]

Well ukmo 12z is a slight upgrade aswell!!for 7pm tomorrow it was showing +1/+2 850hpa temps!!but not its showing 850hpa temps of -2/-3!!and the precipitation is heavier aswell!!

the second band will be all rain unless the first band becomes a slider which is looking unlikely

[MKN]

Well ukmo 12z is a slight upgrade aswell!!for 7pm tomorrow it was showing +1/+2 850hpa temps!!but not its showing 850hpa temps of -2/-3!!and the precipitation is heavier aswell!!

Could you post the pics up? Annoying going to all different sites on a mobile. What's the gem say aswell?

[wizgti]

That front seems to me like its moving far more south west then it's supposed to, probably driven by wishful thinking more than facts but I've got a good feeling about this one for us.

[Dancerwithwings]

Yes the 18z nails it home for me you are right about the uppers are slightly a bit to high

lets hope the precipitation is better ! bring on the 18z.

[MKN]

12zs fairly unispiring so far. Hopefully the ecm still goes with its own 00z output later.

[shaky]

12zs fairly unispiring so far. Hopefully the ecm still goes with its own 00z output later.

gfs is horrible a least the ukmo still gives nice frosty nights across england!!