Winter Model Discussion 18Z 12/2/13 onwards.

[SMU]

http://www.meteociel...M1-168.GIF?13-0

Very nearly a BOOM chart that- but not quite cold on the uppers-

EXPECTING A HUUGGGEE UNDERCUT AT 192

S

Edited February 13, 2013 by Steve Murr

[Snowman.]

Hmmm.

Further north on this with only place for that low to go...

South or north?

My bet is south

[Summer Sun]

At t168 its not overly cold but t192 could be

[Cheshire Freeze]

http://www.meteociel...M1-168.GIF?13-0

Very nearly a BOOM chart that- but not quite cold on the uppers-

EXPECTING A HUUGGGEE UNDERCUT AT 192

S

Yep 192 should be the BOOM

[london-snow]

Yet again though we are talking 8+ days away.

[Mucka]

Yep 192 should be the BOOM

I love the way ECM is loading the vortex to the East. If we can get the Atlantic shut out then we could be in for a nice spell when it drops down.

[That ECM]

Yet again though we are talking 8+ days away.

Funny that,t192 always 8 days away!!!!!!

[NickyB]

Hmmm are these BOOOM, HUUUGE charts getting further away?

[Mucka]

Yet again though we are talking 8+ days away.

Yes and no. For the cold to get across us in any meaningful way yeah but for the pattern to develop that loads the dice within the mid range, no.

Edited February 13, 2013 by Mucka

[chionomaniac]

Yet again though we are talking 8+ days away.

How the UKMO that only goes out to day 6 can be 8 days away is beyond me.

[Panayiotis]

http://www.meteociel...M1-168.GIF?13-0

Very nearly a BOOM chart that- but not quite cold on the uppers-

EXPECTING A HUUGGGEE UNDERCUT AT 192

S

..AND -12C UPPERS TO COME OUR WAY!

[Summer Sun]

t192

brrrrr

Edited February 13, 2013 by Gavin.

[Panayiotis]

DAMMMM

[chionomaniac]

Lovely T+192

A great trend and always at this range we can't ask for more.

We can't expect this to be the exact actual weather - but lets hope it is something similar.

Edited February 13, 2013 by chionomaniac

[Tim Bland]

Maybe the 192 hr chart from ECM is the "occasional wintry shower in the east" they were referring to

[SMU]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013021312/ECM1-192.GIF?13-0

That is the boom head shot- Lets save it & see what varifies at day 8!!!!!!!!

[Methuselah]

Yep 192 should be the BOOM

But, by the time it all becomes T+0, it'll be more like a wet fart...

Edited February 13, 2013 by Rybris Ponce

[chris55]

Yet again though we are talking 8+ days away.

Ahhh, but remember ECM picked up Sundays undercutting/sliding low at 168!! Although the finer details were a little out (as you'd expect) the general theme was spot on.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

t192

brrrrr

A know little about models, but guessing the 216 chart will have high sinking over us, cold of course mind you

[Panayiotis]

I dont care if the cold shows on the models at 192hrs, the pattern evolves in 5 days, the cold will then eventually come.

[mountain shadow]

KKKAAABOOOM!!

Notice ECM is getting closer day by day.

[The Post-modern Winter]

And with that, I shall use my first post to say - KA and BOOM.

[ChartViewer]

T216

Edited February 13, 2013 by ChartViewer

[Snowman.]

Remember this??

Now compare.....

[Katiewombat]

t192

brrrrr

Is got to be good if Gavin sees cold potential. :-)