South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 19th February 2013

[john pike]

What does a negative NAO mean anyway, I've heard I think somewhere that it's a blocked senario. Is that right?

hi alexis

correct

it also will either weaken the jet or make it go a long way south

should make for some interesting charts over the next few days

while hopefully watching our snowfall

[london-snow]

heres a selection of ramp charts

theres a few tonight

John one out of five are ramp charts (Bottom). The others will only produce hp over us a cool and sunny spell.

Let's see what the rest of the week & weekend holds for us. We have the temps & DP'S on our side we only need the convection.

Edited February 21, 2013 by london-snow

[john pike]

John one out of four are ramp charts (Bottom). The others will only produce hp over us a cool and sunny spell.

Let's see what the rest of the week & weekend holds for us. We have the temps & DP'S on our side we only need the convection.

hi london

they were the 12z when posted

changed to 18z now

check my ramp charts above for 18 z ramp charts

[london-snow]

hi london

they were the 12z when posted

changed to 18z now

check my ramp charts above for 18 z ramp charts

I like the way he calls me London (If anyone remembers auf widershen pet you will understand).

Pub run is good and a better improvement on the 12z Mr Pike let's hope it remains that way however before their is some interest for this week & into the weekend.

Radars at the ready!

[john pike]

I like the way he calls me London (If anyone remembers auf widershen pet you will understand).

Pub run is good and a better improvement on the 12z Mr Pike let's hope it remains that way however before their is some interest for this week & into the weekend.

Radars at the ready!

hi london

plenty of interest from tomorrow on

just watched the weather on bbc and said

potential for heavy snow on saturday but did not say where

i am sure we will see snow

not sure how much

glad we are not paid to do this

[ZONE 51]

Looking through the models/fax charts with rather increasing excitement! The cold is now setting in from the east, everything snow from now on. I have map a small snow warning map for our area (approx), the map is correct on where the snow is expected to be and the risk level but i have upgraded in advance to the areas i expect the heavier snow to develop, this is based on my experience of these situations, so although at this stage a light covering is possible across Kent/Essex/parts of London/Surrey(east most likely/Sussex(east most likely)there is the risk that larger falls of snow do develop, this is most likely Thursday night and Friday. These snow showers moving in from the North sea. Some areas are in for a lot of persistent snow showers or streamers. What about a Thames Streamer? depending on the angle of the wind fields and how much convection gets going over the Estuary, ENE/E flow would bring these snow shws toward the west of the area, the Kent streamer most likely though.

The weekend i will let you know my thoughts nearer the time, all i can say now is 3 main snow events between now and Monday are possible.

Map below:

(very low file size map.)

ESS

Edited February 21, 2013 by ElectricSnowStorm

[john pike]

What does a negative NAO mean anyway, I've heard I think somewhere that it's a blocked senario. Is that right?

hi alexi

sorry should have popped these on here

hope these help

[london-snow]

hi london

plenty of interest from tomorrow on

just watched the weather on bbc and said

potential for heavy snow on saturday but did not say where

i am sure we will see snow

not sure how much

glad we are not paid to do this

Even if we both did get paid I feel we would both fair better than them dopes at the bbc.

We will see john what happens with this weekend but im working west of london so let's hope whatever happens spreads west.

By the way mate my sincere condolences to your father & may you find some grievance by continuing to chat on this forum which is close to your heart.

All the best.

L~S

[john pike]

Even if we both did get paid I feel we would both fair better than them dopes at the bbc.

We will see john what happens with this weekend but im working west of london so let's hope whatever happens spreads west.

By the way mate my sincere condolences to your father & may you find some grievance by continuing to chat on this forum which is close to your heart.

All the best.

L~S

hi london snow

thankyou for your kind words

it is appreciated and talking here really has helped

fingers crossed for you while working west

time for my bed goodnight mate and all

why do i have a feeling a few late nights coming up

[london-snow]

hi london snow

thankyou for your kind words

it is appreciated and talking here really has helped

fingers crossed for you while working west

time for my bed goodnight mate and all

why do i have a feeling a few late nights coming up

Cheers John & all the very best.

Don't know about late nights though as i am on 4am early starts so will be cream crackered come evening lol.

Night mate & all.

[ZONE 51]

You have no chance, outside of Alaska, and a couple of towns in Siberia, Croydon is well known as being the snowiest place in the world

image editing by ESS

Edited February 21, 2013 by ElectricSnowStorm

[blackprince]

I see your watershed starts after midnight

When the other SE crew wake up in a few hours time, they will say WOW

that last one....-18C cold not that far into France etc...must go to work now Edited February 21, 2013 by blackprince

[fluid dynamic]

Wow

[blackprince]

Good morning All Dry trip to London,lowest temp was 1C winds lighter than last nights drive home.

[Amanzi]

Posted 21 minutes ago

UK4 indicative of circa 10cm snow parts of Kent by end of Friday but this is almost certainly overestimated: 3-6cm more likely. The backing flow into Friday means we will see 2 or 3 discrete shower bands: one through Lincs; another through Thames Estuary to S parts of London; and a third probable into E Kent. Meanwhile, the Channel shower stream focussed into Dartmoor/S Devon/SE Cornwall remains a very consistent feature through Friday.

1-2cm accumulations fairly commonplace under any such convergence areas through Friday, with scope for 3-6 as previously mentioned. However, given lateness in the season, there's likely to be a marked diurnal bias governing longevity of settling: i.e. generally only from late afternoon to mid-morning at low levels wherever amounts of snow are 3cm or less (the majority).

Edited by fergieweather, 21 minutes ago.

Copied from the mod thread. That should put a smile on your Kentish dials. Rather nippy this am. Have a great day all.

[CWT2012]

The snow potential from Ian F is upgrading all the time, couple of days ago nothing, then flurries, then 1-2cm now up to 10cm with 3-6 widespread

Given the fact Ian F is talking up the snow levels with each update I think he will upgrade the totals again too

He also said there will be a S London Thames streamer which will be good for Croydon, Epsom Downs, Banstead, north downs like Woldingham etc for deep snow potential

Good times ahead

[TheGate]

Out with the dog now and we have snow grains on the wind. It would take until Christmas to get a dusting

[Coast]

Morning all!

Starting to get light now by the time I get to work and it's quite uplifting TBH.

Bone dry out there and 1°C widely across Sussex this morning. Here are the temps and dewpoints to check while I go and see what the current thoughts and charts have for us this weekend:

[nanu]

The snow potential from Ian F is upgrading all the time, couple of days ago nothing, then flurries, then 1-2cm now up to 10cm with 3-6 widespread

Given the fact Ian F is talking up the snow levels with each update I think he will upgrade the totals again too

He also said there will be a S London Thames streamer which will be good for Croydon, Epsom Downs, Banstead, north downs like Woldingham etc for deep snow potential

Good times ahead

unbelievable.. looks like i might have to put my sock in my mouth if this does come off!! creds to you if this does!!

[whitespike]

Few snow grains blowing in the wind in Bexhill this very cold morning

Won't be enjoying landscaping today I don't think

[Methuselah]

Defo, a bitter feel out there...Only the odd bit of graupel in the wind...

[Jimmyh]

Interesting bit of graupel this morning at Bromley saaf station quite a lot of it hitting me in the face.

[Jason T]

Defo, a bitter feel out there...Only the odd bit of graupel in the wind...

Brrrrrrrrrrr. -10c windchill

[throwoff]

Coming along nicely now. Bitter wind in gillingham. Overcast but nothing in the wind yet

[whitespike]

Heavy snow grains now