South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 4th March 2013

[lottiekent]

Those replays for the Snow Depth Cup then. Lottie of Folkestone is the only qualifier from the last round then and has to patiently wait for you other lot!

Leigh-on-Sea (E) (PAUL SHERMAN) v. South Ockenden (E) (CRAZY DIAMOND)

Little Wakering (E) (ESSEXGOONER) v. Rayleigh (E) (VESUVIUS)

Dartford (K) (CHARLTON KERRY) v. Addington (Sur) (SNOWBOB)

Barnet (H) (SUBURBAN STREAMER) v. Wimbledon (L) (LONDON SNOW)

Bromley (K) (JAN_BROMLEY) v. Uckfield (Sus) (TOM JARVIS)

Ongar (E) (JO S) v. Bushey (H) (SVALIJI)

Waltham Abbey (E) (JOHN MAC) v. N.W.Kent ? (KENTSPUR)

S.W.London (FLUID DYNAMIC) v. Northwood (L) (BLUEBREEZER54)

Swanley (K) (SNOWBLUES) v. Crayford (K) (MIKE STORM)

N.W.Kent (LAUREN) v. Welwyn (H) (PIXEL)

Bexleyheath (K) (SNOW RAVEN) v. Chigwell (E) (ARCHIESMUMMY)

FRIENDLY

West Ipswich (Suf) (CHRIS101) v. Rochester (K) (STEVIERAY1)

Regards,

Tom.

Can't believe I won that last round with my paltry amount of snow! Looking forward to this weekend's anticipation

[Eskimo]

Was driving through some of the thickest fog I can remember, I couldn't see the cats eyes on either side nor could I see 5 - 10 metres in front of me. Reminded me a lot of the smogs in London my dad always told me about. Cars had to follow me for a few miles doing 40mph on a dual carriageway it was that bad. My advice would be to drive safely tonight, in some places it's almost blind.

[Guest bjaykent]

Ian F just posted this in Mad thread

12z UKMO-GM at t+84 has now been modified to ECMWF solution. Snow effectively Bristol to Essex and anywhere south. More to follow if I get time later

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76069-spring-model-discussion-18z-6313-onwards/page__st__580

[john pike]

not going to comment on this

not warm though

more on this tomorrow

[Nick F]

SOUTH OF THE M4 CORRIDOR?!! We never see South, always bloody North! Yay! I am getting a bit excited again now, I was all about Spring/Summer after Tuesday's little tease but one last blast wud be fun - as long as it promises to go back to Spring the following week!x

Signs are that it may turn less cold next weekend as the Atlantic tries to breakdown the cold air from the SW, but don't think it will be spring-like like earlier this week, more like cool, wet and windy.

Wrt, Monday-Tuesday, HIRLAM keeps precip offshore, so need to remain cautious still, but even these charts show potential for snow showers across the SE:

http://www.aemet.es/...pc2=sup&opc3=pr

So confident many will see some snow, but amounts could vary quite widely over the SE.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Can't believe I won that last round with my paltry amount of snow! Looking forward to this weekend's anticipation

Yes,

Sorry Lottie, you'll have to sit and twiddle your thumbs and wait for a few thunderstorms, I think!

Regards,

Tom.

[chionomaniac]

Signs are that it may turn less cold next weekend as the Atlantic tries to breakdown the cold air from the SW, but don't think it will be spring-like like earlier this week, more like cool, wet and windy.

Wrt, Monday-Tuesday, HIRLAM keeps precip offshore, so need to remain cautious still, but even these charts show potential for snow showers across the SE:

http://www.aemet.es/...pc2=sup&opc3=pr

So confident many will see some snow, but amounts could vary quite widely over the SE.

Even without dynamic snowfall, Nick, those Hirlam precip charts are excellent for the majority of the SE!

[> mark]

After Tuesday's teaser of Spring, I have to say i'm pretty disappointed with the cold returning!

[Eskimo]

After Tuesday's teaser of Spring, I have to say i'm pretty disappointed with the cold returning!

It made things pleasant but it's far too early to think of Spring, to most peoples minds, Spring doesn't start until the 21st anyway

[Tamara]

Can't believe I won that last round with my paltry amount of snow! Looking forward to this weekend's anticipation

Its fixed really

Some good summaries of the prospects this evening. I think we can be encouraged by the ECM ppn predictions which lend more support to the GFS. Lets see if we can get just a fraction further northward movement and then we can all share the fun. On the other hand, we don't want to see any trend back south otherwise we will need to hire a large SE regional vessel to see accumulating snow

[Tom Quintavalle]

"Its fixed really "

You'll be sleeping with the fishes before you know it! Only joking!

Tom.

[john pike]

some pretty cold ensembles around as well

[chionomaniac]

Its fixed really

Some good summaries of the prospects this evening. I think we can be encouraged by the ECM ppn predictions which lend more support to the GFS. Lets see if we can get just a fraction further northward movement and then we can all share the fun. On the other hand, we don't want to see any trend back south otherwise we will need to hire a large SE regional vessel to see accumulating snow

I would volunteer to row if it wasn't for the strong easterly winds - may get pushed out into the Atlantic. Building a snowman on a boat must be fun!

[john pike]

It made things pleasant but it's far too early to think of Spring, to most peoples minds, Spring doesn't start until the 21st anyway

of april

[Guest bjaykent]

'elucidate' - that must be word of the day! Wonder if the METO ever would use it in their public text and/or spoken bulletins

Going to show my age this time (rather than yours), elucidate used to be the favourite word of O & A level examiners when I was at school, particularly in History and Economics papers I seem to recall

[snow raven]

Incorrigible - another competing word of the day Amidst the SE Regional bar being in full swing as well

We ain't as fick as evry 1 wood ' av us daaan to be

[Nick F]

Even without dynamic snowfall, Nick, those Hirlam precip charts are excellent for the majority of the SE!

Yes, not all's lost if France hogs the dynamic snow perhaps.

As I mentioned in MOD, nor'easter on Monday touching gale force towards south coast and with temps struggling to get above 0C, wind chill will be exceptional - looking at -6 to -8C?

[snowbob]

Yes,

Sorry Lottie, you'll have to sit and twiddle your thumbs and wait for a few thunderstorms, I think!

Regards,

Tom.

hey Tom

Think I might loose in my draw

This time round mate

[lottiekent]

Its fixed really

Some good summaries of the prospects this evening. I think we can be encouraged by the ECM ppn predictions which lend more support to the GFS. Lets see if we can get just a fraction further northward movement and then we can all share the fun. On the other hand, we don't want to see any trend back south otherwise we will need to hire a large SE regional vessel to see accumulating snow

Saw this on the model thread..

[snowbob]

Saw this on the model thread..

that looks very nice to my eye lottie

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=321&y=148&run=18&runpara=0&type=0&ext=1

very cold

gfs at the top end of the ensembles on the 15th

[Eskimo]

Saw this on the model thread..

Getting pushes further and further North!

[snowbob]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=321&y=148&run=18&runpara=0&type=0&ext=1

very cold

gfs at the top end of the ensembles on the 15th

and in lay mans terms that is what jp

Sorry for ignorance mate

[Tamara]

We ain't as fick as evry 1 wood ' av us daaan to be

Liking the trend to inch a fraction north with the snow

[snow raven]

not going to comment on this

not warm though

more on this tomorrow

Why not comment on it though John? There are many of us that don't actually understand the charts, and would welcome some explanation.