Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 14th June 2013 onwards

[philglossop]

Come to Plymouth storm.... you know you wanna       

[Evening thunder]

That's an interesting storm in the channel, also sky quite grey from mid level cloud down to the south, but just noticed a W-E line of Ac cas towers have now formed, interesting.

 

Interesting that you can hear it from Plymouth now, wonder if it will get close enough to here. I remember seeing distant flashes and rumbles from storms in the middle of the channel one evening at the end of April 2011!

[Ben Sainsbury]

That's an interesting storm in the channel, also sky quite grey from mid level cloud down to the south, but just noticed a W-E line of Ac cas towers have now formed, interesting.

 

Interesting that you can hear it from Plymouth now, wonder if it will get close enough to here. I remember seeing distant flashes and rumbles from storms in the middle of the channel one evening at the end of April 2011!

Certainly if it stays alive and when the skys go dark and reaches land everywhere south of Bristol may see flashes

Edited June 17, 2013 by interestingweather

[Ben Sainsbury]

Has anyone noticed that the storm is moving slightly westwards?

[paul m]

Hi guys, i dont know as much about the storm side of things but was just wondering with such high amounts of cape and LI on wednesday - what is the chances of any storms going Supercellular?

 

Mid level convection kicking of nicely around here already - will be posting on twitter @ukstormlover if i see any decent action.

 

Temp 18.2

I take it portsdown hill maybe busy tonight... Micks monster burger bar (if its still going) will be busy  

[Ben Sainsbury]

Is it me or is the storm decaying a little:(

[Panayiotis]

Has anyone noticed that the storm is moving slightly westwards?

Yes you would expect that as the low centre is just to the north of Spain, and as winds move anticlockwise, the wind near the Channel will have an easterly component pushing the storms slightly westwards.

Edited June 17, 2013 by Panayiotis

[Keraunic]

Could it be my very vivid imagination, or is it possible i just heard a couple of distant rumbles. Hmmm, could've been a plane of course.........or tinitus.

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[MrSunshine]

I take it portsdown hill maybe busy tonight... Micks monster burger bar (if its still going) will be busy  

 

It's still going alright!

[paul m]

Could it be my very vivid imagination, or is it possible i just heard a couple of distant rumbles. Hmmm, could've been a plane of course.........or tinitus.

âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡

I've heard of people hearing voices but this must be new lol

[viking_smb]

has something formed ahead of it like a line of very intense precip

[Keraunic]

I've heard of people hearing voices but this must be new lol

I've heard York Minster bells before today...........200+ miles away. In my head of course.

[Cheshire Freeze]

Looks to me that the 12z runs have dashed hopes for further N. Looks like a stronger ridge across the middle of the country ahead of the LP than was previously shown.

 

[A.J]

Yes you would expect that as the low centre is just to the north of Spain, and as winds move anticlockwise, the wind near the Channel will have an easterly component pushing the storms slightly westwards.

as mentioned earlier, the surface winds are actually irrelevant, check the modelled 500hpa wind speeds and directions, it's the winds at the 500hpa boundary that better dictate the direction of storm travel

[NO LONGER POSTING]

France lightning up like a Christmas tree.. All heading North

 

http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php

[Convective]

There she goes again! That storm is putting out sferics again at a fairly good rate.

[Wet'n'Dry]

Something forming here in Essex ..... .Oh sorry, it's a blackhead

[Ben Sainsbury]

A cell possibly trying to disconnect to the main band of rain; maybe this could intensify?

[West Sussex Kate]

Spied some funky looking clouds on my run in W Sussex tonight, pretty quiet and still at the moment though.

feeling very Mild here.

[gottolovethisweather]

Mugginess has definitely increased and I have ACcas or whatever you call it, in the skies above Newbury. Temp 17.4c, 71% humidity meaning a DP of 12.1c. I am just hoping the milky skies don't diminish my chances of getting a storm. Looking good for Devon and Cornwall, hell yes!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Pretty high cloud tops out over France.. the higher the better.. will it make it or not? 

 

[Panayiotis]

as mentioned earlier, the surface winds are actually irrelevant, check the modelled 500hpa wind speeds and directions, it's the winds at the 500hpa boundary that better dictate the direction of storm travel

Oh sorry my bad, thanks for correcting me

[A.J]

thunder heard in Brixham, from those cells to the south of st mary's bay, as my sister reports..........

Edited June 17, 2013 by ajpoolshark

[NO LONGER POSTING]

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77025-south-east-east-anglia-regional-discussion-17th-june-2013-onwards/?p=2716213

[Ben Sainsbury]

Storm definitely decaying slightly now!