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July 2013 CET Forecasts / Competition


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Posted
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry or cold and snowy, but please not mild and rainy!
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia

    Doing my best Roger J smith's impersonation. (as for his request on the june thread)

     

    CET averages and extremes

     

    25.2 ... 29th, 1948, warmest daily mean

     

     

    19.7 ... 2006 (warmest July)

    19.5 ... 1983

    18.8 ... 1783

    18.7 ... 1976

    18.7 ...  1852

     

    16.5 ... average for 2001-2012

    16.7 ... average for 1981-2010,

    16.5 ... average for 1971-2000

    16.1 ... average for 1961-1990, also for 1901-2000 and 1701-1800

    16.0 ... average for all years 1659-2012,

    15.8 ... average for  1801-1900

    15.5 ... 2012 mean

    15.4 ... average for 1659-1700

     

    13.5 ... 1695,1816

    13.4 ... 1816 (coldest July)

     

     8.7  ... 20th (1836)  coldest daily mean

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry or cold and snowy, but please not mild and rainy!
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia

    No of course not. Just did a cut and paste job from June and changed the month.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    15.6c

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    A little unsure but i shall go for 16.2C for now, 0.5C below the 1981-2010 average.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

    Here's the July CET from 1659 to 2012, with the 10 year mean in red and the trend in black.

     

    post-6901-0-44103200-1371913495_thumb.pn

     

    The correlation between June and July CET values is +0.28, which is about average for month to month CET correlations and indicates that a most cooler than average June month and followed by a cooler than average July, and warmer June's followed by warmer July CETs.

    Th correlation between the July of one year and the following is just 0.05, so not significant at all.

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    Posted
  • Location: halifax 125m
  • Weather Preferences: extremes the unusual and interesting facts
  • Location: halifax 125m

    17.3 will be my guess,about time we had something warmer

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    Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

    20C

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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District 290 mts. Wind speed 340 mts
  • Weather Preferences: Rain/snow, fog, gales and cold in every season
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District 290 mts. Wind speed 340 mts

    Sod it, I'll go with what I hope for; 13.7c

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Sod it, I'll go with what I hope for; 13.7c

     

    Frankly i'd love even a sub-15C summer month and i'd say that we are well overdue given that the last instance was i think in 1978.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    I'm going for 16.5C average but wouldn't be surprised to see the temp possibly higher and the first above average month for some time. Unless June manages it.

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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

    14.8c  would be nice ta.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry or cold and snowy, but please not mild and rainy!
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia

    15.7. Warmer than last year, cooler than average.

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    Posted
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands

    I've looked at my magical crystal ball (which is 99.8% accurate) and it shows July's Cet ending up as 16.2*C - so that will be my guess. Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire

    I'm stuck between playing it safe or going for a hot month as the models suggest. I'm going to say 16.8c.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    18.3 please

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