July 2013 CET Forecasts / Competition

[Roger J Smith]

I am revising to 18.4 after taking a long, hard look at the evidence and ordering the same beer as Craig Evans.

[DR Hosking]

my guess 16.8c

[J10]

I'll go for a wildly optimistic month of 16.8c.

 

They said we would never have a winter month below 3.0c again whihch happened,

 

So on that basis, an above average summer month must be possible.

Edited June 29, 2013 by Jackone

[Midlands Ice Age]

17.0C for me please

 

MIA

[Norrance]

16.7C for me please.

[godber]

16.8c for me please. Above the most recent average, but only just.

Edited June 30, 2013 by godber

[coram]

16.9 please.

[easy-oasy]

17.2°C for me please

[sundog]

17.4c for me please.

[Don]

Ok, fairly confident that July will be above average, but as always it's a question by how much?

 

I will go for 17.4c please and dryer than average.

[Summer Sun]

The first few weeks of July are looking warm and very dry but I'll stick with my guess of 16.8c allowing for any unsettled spells which will probably arrive at some point

[BornFromTheVoid]

Analogues mean suggest a 17.225C, but includes 2011 (15.2) which is beginning to drift further from this year based on teleconnections.

The similarities with 2006 are looking very strong, though its very unlikely we'd get a repeat of that month, and the lower SSTs should hold temperatures back a little too.

 

So on that basis, I'm going to go with 17.8C

Edited June 30, 2013 by BornFromTheVoid

[Summer Sun]

Tell you what lets go higher why not my final guess for July is 17.6c

[Gael_Force]

I was quite confident about going for something in the 17  to 18 range but now the NOAA analogues are backing away from these good years. Much more mixed in the last couple of days.

 

Hedging, I'll go for 16.7c.

[mulzy]

17.1c please

Edited June 30, 2013 by mulzy

[phil nw.]

17.3C for me please.

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

18.1 C

[summer blizzard]

Being on the cooler end of predictions i could gain a lot of points if there's a good correction towards the end of the month.

[Norrance]

16.7C for me please.

Last day upwards correction for me please. 17.5C.Thanks. Nor.

[summer blizzard]

I will however increase my prediction to 16.7C which is bang on average.

[Great Plum]

17.6c please

[DAVID SNOW]

16.4, poor last 10 days,ta.

[Robbie Garrett]

19.7 - runs and hides.....

[I remember Atlantic 252]

18.1C, but hopefully cooling off for summer hols (july 22nd)

[davehsug]

17.6c please