Hot and settled spell discussion and temperature reports July 2013

[Costa Del Fal]

25c the last 2 days in Falmouth, Kernow.

[nitro_deluxe]

25.1C in Stourbridge 

[cheese]

Another belter of a run this morning - better than the 18z in fact!

 

Friday

 

Saturday

 

Sunday

 

Monday

 

Tuesday

 

Wednesday

 

Thursday

[Bottesford]

Fantastic looking runs with great synoptics. Just hoping we (and the rest of us poor buggers in the east) now start getting what everyone else has been getting heat wise!

 

My max figures:

 

Thu: 23.9c

Fri: 22.7c

Sat: 25.3c

Sun: 27.1c

Mon: 21.6c

Tue: 25.3c

Wed: 20.7c

 

So (contrary to my earlier figures which I did from memory):

>25c 3 days (Sat,Sun,Tue)

>27c 1 day (Sun)

 

Nice & warm yes - but not really 'heatwave' category here.

[Scorcher]

What's it like there this morning Bottesford? Just thinking about the cricket at Trent Bridge!

Edited July 11, 2013 by Scorcher

[Bottesford]

Currently low cloud trying to thin with odd glimmer of sun. 14.6c so feeling chilly after 13.5c min (gladly no 11c as predicted!).

Working from home today and the damn place has fallen back into the teens again. Hopefully this fleeting sun will warm it up a bit.

[Coast]

Cloudy here too but it looks like it could be departing stage right later today leaving us with a few more nice days.

[Evening thunder]

13c min is average here I believe. It isn't unusual but pepper plants don't like it below 15c - they just drop flowers & hardly fruit if at all. Keeping my eye on it this year and heating the greenhouse on chilly nights.

 

This spell here:

>25c - 4 days (Fri, Sat, Sun, Tues)

>27c - 1 day (Sun 27.1c)

 

Fair play, I just thought it would be expected at some point even in a good summer but that wouldn't matter if you have a greenhouse or somewhere to keep then.

 

Max's here:

 

Thu: 22.9c

Fri 22.3c

Sat: 22.2c

Sun 27.9c

Mon: 28.3c

Tue: 27.8cWed: 27.2c

 

Not bad for here that often gets onshore/sea breezes from the south coast in very warm spells

[Evening thunder]

Just noticed the first heat health watch has been issued by the Met Office: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/heat-health/

[Backtrack]

This is for the posters who are asking about the north-south split term in model discussion such as Backtrack has.

The term N/S split can confuse i agree.

 

In all honesty in this pattern with the AH ridging and then easing back it is a moveable boundary.

It may  be only areas of NW Scotland-say north of the great glen and the N.Isles see cloud and rain or the more unsettled regime could apply further south to include say Scotland,N.ireland and even the North of England near the borders eg.lakes and Northumberland.

It really depends on the track of the lows passing across to the north and how far into the UK the attendant frontal systems get.

 

In a medium term assessment of the models when looking at means and anomalies this fine detail cannot be accurately determined -at least until usually within 2-3 days of the expected event.

In these instances i use the general term to indicate that the further north in the UK you are the more unsettled the outlook.

I tend to think when saying the south looks settled i am including much of England and Wales apart from the Lakes/Cumbrian area where Atlantic westerlies over the top of a ridging high can spread in hill and coastal fog/drizzle at times.

 

As i say the boundaries will vary depending on the surface details-sometimes there is a transistional area in between too where the cloud and breeze gradually increases as you go further north until you find the rain.

 

Sorry there's no approved definition as far i know we just have to take this from whatever charts we are viewing at the time.

 

 

 

Top post, thanks very much Phil, really cleared that up for me!

[Bottesford]

Just noticed the first heat health watch has been issued by the Met Office: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/heat-health/

 

BBC only gives us 26c tmw & 27c Sat - doesn't seem like 'heatwave' conditions to me? Especially after two cooler days before it (yesterday/today).

 

Sky finally cleared here - glorious albeit not that warm at only 17.3c so far.

[Backtrack]

That cold front has sure made it feel much nicer and fresher. It's currently 19C, probably will get up to 24-25C today, but wow, that was a refreshing walk. Very nice indeed with sky a very deep blue, bliss!

[Snow free zone]

Phil. Thanks for clarification on the N/S/E/W debate !! saw Backtracks question in the MO thread and have often asked myself the same.

 

Suffice to say IMBY we are often stuck in no mans land here with this kind of set up. The rain seems to start in the Lakes as you say whilst the sun(generally) starts around the Cheshire area. We normally reside under cloudy skies, the further north the darker the sky !

 

This current spell has been a refreshing change, nice warm (not hot) temps, and mostly sunny days. Yesterday whilst cloudy in Cumbria almost all day, further South it was a mainly sunny day. There are local variations in the weather throughout the year, even on our small island.

 

Runs from the forecast models overnight seem to suggest a continuation for many of the dry settled spell. Whether here we remain in the sunny area remains to be seen but I am more than happy with the output at the moment. 

[Harve]

Just noticed the first heat health watch has been issued by the Met Office: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/heat-health/

Anyone know why these watches only ever cover England?

[Evening thunder]

BBC only gives us 26c tmw & 27c Sat - doesn't seem like 'heatwave' conditions to me? Especially after two cooler days before it (yesterday/today).

 

Sky finally cleared here - glorious albeit not that warm at only 17.3c so far.

Yeah I'm not sure it will be widespread, and would have thought mainly further south myself. I have seen the forecasts going for 28's and a few 29's and they usually are under by a degree or two, so some places should reach 30c I guess but wouldn't have expected it 2 days running in many areas like Nottingham.

 

Much cooler here today, it reached 17.9c at 11:43 but it has dropped back to 16.8c now with a sea breeze.. meant to warm up but so far a below average day has sprung up at least for this time of the day. completely blue skies again though and I don't mind having a blip like this in the very warm weather.

[Bottesford]

Still only 18.8c here - but clear skies. 

I don't mind a cooler blip if its a sunny blip - unlike yesterday!

[NUT]

A 7 question quiz on heatwaves from the BBC here:

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-23228285

 

What was your score?

 

Um I got a measly 2

[Coast]

BBC only gives us 26c tmw & 27c Sat - doesn't seem like 'heatwave' conditions to me? .

 

i guess you have to come further South for the big numbers according to GFS:

 

[SunnySouthCoast]

Todays hotspots at 1pm

 

Castlederg 25.9C

 

Thomastown 25.3C

 

St Angelo 24.7C

[95 Degrees]

Another mostly sunny day today, a little cooler today but currently 20.7C which doesn't feel too cold in the July sun.

[Milhouse]

Saturday looks like 30c could be reached in a number of spots. Much warmer up here too.

 

[Coast]

24.5°C out there right now and very pleasant 

[be cause]

Anyone know why these watches only ever cover England?

Thought I heard one here on Tuesday ..in sizzling N.I.

[Bottesford]

20.4c max so far - same as yesterday although today feels better without the slate grey skies. 

[Jax]

My shed has now hit 21.8oC