Possible Storm This Weekend Discussion

[ZONE 51]

A concern with more storms possible. I think that the more the ground becomes saturated the more risk trees would be at risk of falling in less strong winds then if the heavy rain did not happen. And also weakened trees.

[Summer Sun]

Well GFS could be interesting...

 

 

UKMO still going the less deep route

 

Edited October 31, 2013 by Summer Sun

[Cheshire Freeze]

Looking at the output, 60-70 mph gusts look a distinct possibility Liverpool-Manchester-Sheffield down as far S as S Midlands. Anywhere in that general swathe of England and Wales looks vulnerable to me. Obviously track and intensity are both still open to shifts.

Edited October 31, 2013 by CreweCold

[Matty M]

GEM looks threatening enough for these parts:

 

[IanR]

Looking at the output, 60-70 mph gusts look a distinct possibility Liverpool-Manchester-Sheffield down as far S as S Midlands. Anywhere in that general swathe of England and Wales looks vulnerable to me. Obviously track and intensity are both still open to shifts.

Bring it on

[Skullzrulerz]

I May make a new thread soon.

[Cheshire Freeze]

GEM looks threatening enough for these parts:

 

Yep GEM has a deep low, GFS has a deep low and the GME has something very deep.

Edited October 31, 2013 by CreweCold

[Skullzrulerz]

Who wants a  new thread???

[wimblettben]

I don't really think the models have made a firm conclusion on these coming depressions yet and I think it is highly unlikely that it will produce 60-70mph winds anywhere inland.

 

The worst bit about it though is it means that probably most firework displays won't go ahead as it will just be raining and with moderate winds.

[matty40s]

Who wants a new thread???

only if you give it a suitable tabloid frenzy title!!

[Paul]

Who wants a  new thread???

 

No, we don't need a new thread thanks

[Cheshire Freeze]

I don't really think the models have made a firm conclusion on these coming depressions yet and I think it is highly unlikely that it will produce 60-70mph winds anywhere inland.

 

The worst bit about it though is it means that probably most firework displays won't go ahead as it will just be raining and with moderate winds.

You say that the models don't have a firm handle on developments then proceed with absolute certainty nowhere inland will see a gust of 60 or 70 mph...

eh?!

[Skullzrulerz]

No, we don't need a new thread thanks

Ok

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Who wants a  new thread???

 

thought you wanted a new forum? was on page 5

[Mapantz]

I don't buy the GFS outcome of that low pressure, the fact that a yellow warning isn't even in place from the MO is a pretty good precursor to that, simply because they can put an amber warning out 4 days ahead of a potential storm coming from the SW quadrant which the models struggle with.

[Matty M]

I don't buy the GFS outcome of that low pressure, the fact that a yellow warning isn't even in place from the MO is a pretty good precursor to that, simply because they can put an amber warning out 4 days ahead of a potential storm coming from the SW quadrant which the models struggle with.

Location location location if the progged storm was to hit souther areas there would be big warnings out, but this is partly because there is more risk of damage and disruption in the south due to population density etc..

[Mapantz]

Location location location if the progged storm was to hit souther areas there would be big warnings out, but this is partly because there is more risk of damage and disruption in the south due to population density etc..

 

Let's not go down that route eh? If the GFS was considered to be the most accurate model leading up to it, there would, without any shadow of a doubt, be an early yellow warning further North, as it is, there isn't.

 

The FAX charts tell a far better story. 

[Guest William Grimsley]

I don't really think the models have made a firm conclusion on these coming depressions yet and I think it is highly unlikely that it will produce 60-70mph winds anywhere inland.

 

The worst bit about it though is it means that probably most firework displays won't go ahead as it will just be raining and with moderate winds.

Damn. I'm near the S coast. So, maybe wind gusts will reach 40-50 mph, here.

[Captain Shortwave]

Let's not go down that route eh? If the GFS was considered to be the most accurate model leading up to it, there would, without any shadow of a doubt, be an early yellow warning further North, as it is, there isn't.

 

The FAX charts tell a far better story. 

This is what it shows

Nothing serious showing here

Edited October 31, 2013 by Captain shortwave

[Cheshire Freeze]

Alex Deakin just mentioned it getting 'lively' and gusts to 50-60mph so it seems to be creeping up in terms of strength.

Edited October 31, 2013 by CreweCold

[Dr Forinor]

Seems quite potent?

[Cold Winter]

Seems quite potent?

 

 

 

Nothing out of the ordinary for this time of year by any means.

Edited October 31, 2013 by Cold Winter

[Mapantz]

This is what it shows

Nothing serious showing here

 

Exactly CS. There's nothing indicative to 70mph gusts further north.

[Dr Forinor]

Nothing out of the ordinary for this time of year by any means.

First year I've ever looked at any sort of chart, learner here

[Love Snow]

Time for a new thread or at least edit the thread title