South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 28/10/13

[yamkin]

Great fireworks tonight.  I set the last one off around 7pm, and as soon as it had finished it started to rain.  Great timing even if I do say so myself

 

So since around 7 it has been raining, and getting slightly heavier now.  The last BBC forecast I saw (quite a few hours ago) has the main band to hit our region around 11pm ish? Is this still the case?

 

Current temp 9c, and at last that horribly nagging wind has subsided.

 

Hi LeighD, The ppn band is fast moving, so expect the heavier period within 30 mins +/-

[Captain Shortwave]

Evening, my first trek into the CFS updates was a monumental fail, mainly as the charts shown when I was doing it this morning were different to the actual charts, despite stating the same day and time ran for that output 

So after going through it again, here is the result

Drier than average though with rain pushing south east on the night of Christmas day into Boxing day, only light as it's pushing into heights to our south. Temperatures would be mild.

Temperature - +1

Precipitation - -2

[HammerJack]

Hi LeighD, The ppn band is fast moving, so expect the heavier period within 30 mins +/-

 

Thanks Yamkin

[john pike]

tomorrow

 

a cold north to north east wind

 

temps

 

cold around 10 degrees and will feel cooler in the wind

 

rainfall

should clear most areas by lunchtime

 

kent area around 2ish

 

then dry and sunny

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a weak westerly flow

 

temps

 

going to be a close call re ground frost here

 

around 2-5 degrees

 

rainfall

 

should stay dry but rainfall en-route for rush hour

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tuesday

 

a gusty north west wind

 

temps

 

around 12-13 degrees

 

however

 

rainfall

 

heavy rain again for most of the day

 

wont clear until late in the evening

 

also overnight a gusty north west wind

 

could be quite cold as well

 

will not help if you want fireworks on fireworks night

 

------------------------------------------------------

 

wednesday

 

back to a weaker westerly flow

 

temps

 

a split here

 

warmer 12-14 degrees south of london

 

10-11 degrees north of london

 

rainfall

 

wet for all

 

except the far north of the region who will not see rain until late in the day

 

overall

 

changeable but watch for flood warnings to appear more readily

 

john

[HammerJack]

Evening, my first trek into the CFS updates was a monumental fail, mainly as the charts shown when I was doing it this morning were different to the actual charts, despite stating the same day and time ran for that output 

So after going through it again, here is the result

Drier than average though with rain pushing south east on the night of Christmas day into Boxing day, only light as it's pushing into heights to our south. Temperatures would be mild.

Temperature - +1

Precipitation - -2

 

 

 

Hey, don't beat yourself up about it Captain...  Them CFS charts, are going to change more times than some of us on here will change our underpants 

Edited November 3, 2013 by LeighD

[Barbel]

Wadhurst, East Sussex. Extremely heavy rain since 8 pm. Wind was gusty this afternoon, now becalmed. Any idea as to potential totals from this rain band. I heard 20mm to 30 mm but not sure if that was for this region?

[Fatboypirate]

5.5mm of rain in the last hour here, the pressure has dropped down quickly from 1000 to 990 mb, wind is gusting at 20 MPH. Think it might be a long night!

[totalhysteria]

Heavy rain here now. From the radar it looks like I'm slap bang in the middle of the heaviest bit.

[Captain Shortwave]

Hey, don't beat yourself up about it Captain...  Them CFS charts, are going to change more times than some of us on here will change our underpants 

I will update every evening from now on to avoid that mistake. The fail is made worse by the fact the actual output is about as bad as you can get, unless things get even more Bartletty 

[john pike]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1383436800&regionName=se

[john pike]

 

work that lot out

 

fi is the 10th in my eyes

 

very wet

 

however not seeing warm just seeing average

 

ecm

 

huge spread on the 10th

 

not calling anything after that at present

[alexisj9]

Wind is starting to get up a bit now here.

[Rob Deacon]

It's pretty wet out tonight, I've just got home after a bit of a drive and the roads have loads of floods at the moment, seems like all the drains are blocked, leafs i guess.

Edited November 3, 2013 by kingdeacon

[john pike]

chucking down here as well

 

and still the fireworks keep going

[Jax]

wet here too

[PiggiePalace]

Wow - the rain has been going  in earnest now for the last 45mins.. heavy and steady. I can hear from the passing cars the amount of surface water already on the road outside so I guess I now have a minimum 90minute window before the stream starts to show the effects. If there are breaks in the rain tonight then hopefully the stream "should" cope ..and EA has not put us on flood warning ....YET!

Eating late tonight as I won;t be going to bed until the worst has passed. A quick "1hr" roast is about to go into the oven and I'm just popping out to move the car to higher ground....oh, and I have wine ...and fags
(NB - There is nothing worse than being flash-flooded and subsequently marooned for several hours surrounded by floodwater having run out of fags ....especially when the general public have gathered on the opposite bank to oggle your situation and are lighting up less than 70yds from your bedroom window across the floodwater )

Hoping the forecast 48mph gusts won;t materialise....and the stream will behave given I pulled half a weeping willow out of it on friday!
The piggies are completely unconcerned....happy to be in their new elevated positions inside in nice clean cages and nomming their way through one of  the 4 yellow-stickered celery packs I got today from the local Tescos Express for 15p each   .

 

Toddles off to move the car and check the stream levels.

 

Celery soup anyone?

 

xxxx

 

[HammerJack]

Yes.  The rain here too has really stepped up in the last 15 / 20 mins

[Snowangel-MK]

5.5mm of rain in the last hour here, the pressure has dropped down quickly from 1000 to 990 mb, wind is gusting at 20 MPH. Think it might be a long night!

It must be high tide soon I hope your not right on the coast FBP - although there seems to be a flood alert for some inland areas too ....Flood AlertInland areas of Eastbourne13:44 on 03 Nov 2013Location: Areas of Eastbourne at risk from a high tide including areas of Roselands, Willingdon Levels, areas near Shinewater Lake, West Langley Levels and Sovereign Harbour and Langney VillageNo warningsCoastal areas of Eastbourne Sea Front07:52 on 29 Oct 2013Location: Coastal areas of Eastbourne including Marine Parade, Royal Parade, Sovereign Park and the Martello Tower....hope you stay safe and dry and anyone else in the south of our region ! Edited November 3, 2013 by MKsnowangel

[Bluebreezer54]

Heavy and persistent rain here now and still more to come by the looks of it. Hope you don't get flooded PiggiePalace, or anyone else for that matter of course.

[abruzzi spur]

Very heavy in Reigate now.

 

And it's raining.

 

Teenagers......

 

AS

[Snowangel-MK]

Very heavy in Reigate now. And it's raining. Teenagers...... AS

I'd rather it rained cats and dogs - mind you we've already got as many of them as we have teenagers :-)Rain has got much heavier here since the fireworks - thankfully it wasn't this bad earlier or we might have given it a miss !

[Fatboypirate]

It must be high tide soon I hope your not right on the coast FBP

 

Fairly near - less than half a mile, High tide is around 10.30 tonight but its a big one - over 7m, had a call from the EA late afternoon to tell us we were on flood alert! Certainly wild out there.

[Kent Snow]

A miserable wet night for the drive home from work. Wind very light though. 8C.

[Croydondazz]

Very wet herer, hope everyone has a good week

[Eskimo]

Clear and cold in Hull, temps I'm guessing are around 5C.