North West Regional Discussion 19/11/2013 --->

[Chris.R]

I love how now nobody is talking about the northerly on the model thread, just FI and this elusive easterly. And they say there isn't a southern bias in there? Huh! I don't care anyway, the uppers are  still looking amazing, and if anything they seem to undercut the cold front a  little bit more on the 0Z, and still showing a lot of precipitation post front. 

This illustrates my point rea the 0Z. 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=snowforecast;sess=

Remember your postcode. 

Edited December 3, 2013 by Chris R

[pip22]

Looks like just another typical cloudy day here.For some reason i cant post anything on my pc. When i click on the post button it does nothing. :-(For now I have to use my iphone just to post something.

 

Edit: Solved now.

Edited December 3, 2013 by pip22

[Chris.R]

-10 uppers back for me on the 06Z for friday morning. 

[pip22]

The clouds here are breaking up here somewhat. 9C right now.

[cheshire snow]

-10 uppers back for me on the 06Z for friday morning. 

 

Same for here also show an 81% chance of snow between 0600-1500 even up to midnight uppers still around -7 

 

So yes very short and sweet but a few flakes of snow will be very nice 

 

C.S

[Chris.R]

Same for here also show an 81% chance of snow between 0600-1500 even up to midnight uppers still around -7 

 

So yes very short and sweet but a few flakes of snow will be very nice 

 

C.S

Yes, I'm just wondering if there'll be enough precipitation around on Friday afternoon though as the pressure rises. I think Thursday night looks interesting though.

Also a few hundred J/kG of SBCAPE around on thursday night. 

Edited December 3, 2013 by Chris R

[Cheshire Freeze]

Us in the S of the region should get to see a few flakes Thursday evening.

[Backtrack]

This cold 'snap' is being blown way out of proportion. It's just an average 24 hour window of cold.

Unless you live in the SW of the region, you've not got much chance of snow unless that colder air undercuts the cold front much quicker, which isn't likely. It'll be cold yes, but only very briefly and it won't be particularly snowy.

 

Way too much hype surrounding this. Had to be said. Probably won't even drop below freezing here due to extensive cloud cover.

Edited December 3, 2013 by Backtrack

[Pennine Ten Foot Drifts]

........blown way out of proportion..........................

 

 I think given the latest GFS it's Thursday that's got the most interesting weather forecast for the forseeable future....................

[Backtrack]

 I think given the latest GFS it's Thursday that's got the most interesting weather forecast for the forseeable future....................

 

 

Hahah, yeah it's the winds that'll be exciting! The 528dm doesn't even touch most of our region, so really it's a cold rain event. Unless you've got some decent elevation of course.

[pip22]

The 12z is showing a positive NAO. yuck.   Its not the best wind direction for sunshine. It probably bring more cloud.

 

GO AWAY MILD!!  ITS CHRISTMAS!!

 

I hope it will change tomorrow.

Edited December 3, 2013 by pip22

[iand61]

Been working away all day and not had chance to look at the posts or models.

Is this weekends cold still on or as the final nail been hammered into the northerly coffin?

[Ian Brown]

Been working away all day and not had chance to look at the posts or models.Is this weekends cold still on or as the final nail been hammered into the northerly coffin?

 

Its over Ian, with next week looking progressively milder with a deep PV to the NW.

[Mokidugway]

Been working away all day and not had chance to look at the posts or models.Is this weekends cold still on or as the final nail been hammered into the northerly coffin?

I'll bring the pallbearers .!!

[Backtrack]

The ECM is fantastic! 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For mild lovers!

[cheshire snow]

Its over Ian, with next week looking progressively milder with a deep PV to the NW.

 

 To Quote a song from my daughters favourite Band 1D

 

 "Story of our Lives"

 

 C.S

[Weather-history]

Here is the temperatures based on that ECM run for Manchester.

Only goes into double digits right at the end

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Manchester/long.html

[Chris.R]

don't know what everyone is moaning about, uppers are still very good and I still don't think thicknesses play that much of a part at the moment, I would've said the lack of marginality is what makes this northerly interesting.

I'm happy. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Its over Ian, with next week looking progressively milder with a deep PV to the NW.

 

U would say that! got to remain optimistic, the high will be modelled far enough north, to be over us for inversion cold, the best possible setup for Xmas this year, if we lucky frost and fog

[iand61]

Its over Ian, with next week looking progressively milder with a deep PV to the NW.

Well, every cloud and all that; at least we'll save some money on the heating bills.Anyway still many weeks of false dawns to go before spring when no doubt, winter will set in again.

[Miamay]

Just checked out weather for Liverpool - nothing but a damp squib !!

[MrSunshine]

Wind really picking up here.

[Chris.R]

Just checked out weather for Liverpool - nothing but a damp squib !!

Nowcasting is the only way forward. Do not look at computer generated forecasts. 

[theskyatnight]

Nowcasting is the only way forward. Do not look at computer generated forecasts. 

Bit hopeful there Chris. Nothing will be happening in our neck of the woods! Nailed on rain if anything,even then itll be drizzly and light

[I Cumbria Marra I]

Shedhead........cant stand that guy, his posts are so depressing, be it summer or winter. lucky im banned off the model forum.