South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 15/02/14

[ColdFront80]

For me next few days are looking calm. Rain on Thursday maybe a bit windy but nothing like what we have had before. Some models showing more stormy weather on Monday but its to far of really. For now though fairly settled with highs above average.

[Dipsy]

Chilly walk back from the centre of Reigate, lovely clear sky so plenty of stars to see, mist was rising in the local churchyard, very atmospheric.

[lassie23]

12 July 2013

 - Enjoy our stormy sun while it lasts. Sunspots may disappear altogether in next cycle. When our star drops out of its latest sunspot activity cycle, the sun is most likely going into hibernation, scientists announced today.

Three independent studies of the sun’s insides, surface, and upper atmosphere all predict that the next solar cycle will be significantly delayed—if it happens at all. Normally, the next cycle would be expected to start roughly around 2020.

The combined data indicate that we may soon be headed into what’s known as a grand minimum, a period of unusually low solar activity.

[Jax]

Still dry an calm here (having a DVD/MUSIC night)

[lassie23]

Still dry an calm here (having a DVD/MUSIC night)

What you watching listening to. How is the cocketial

[john pike]

ecm 12z ensembles

 

temps

 

 

nothing cold-nothing warm

 

however note 26th on shows some colder ensembles

 

wind

 

 

some breezy bits but nothing strong

 

gfs loses it again 26th onwards

 

rain

 

 

looks mainly dry barring the odd bit of rain

 

26th onwards gfs goes way out of kilt with the ensembles

 

i still do not see an alantic onslaught on these

[Jax]

What you watching listening to. How is the cocketial

check out the "what your listening to" thread (mainly 70's/80's)

 

 

yeah tieals are fine thanks and quiet for a change.

Edited February 18, 2014 by Jax

[Tom Jarvis]

Will post pics of tree tomoz but wind on Thursday could be issue.

[Keraunic]

Hello allHas anyone heard form Coast (Robin)? I tried to send a PM but can't. I miss his posts and presence here.Earlier it was raining gently in Reigate, but now it's damp and still.Sunday in Brighton was uplifting, people emerged from rain-sodden and wind-blasted hunkering to walk on the beach, smile at each other, stretch limbs, shake off greyness and reach out to sunlight. We sat in the gardens that are shared by the residents of the square, late afternoon, and the sun was forcing its way through the slowly decaying leaves and branches of a huge tree that had been knocked to the ground on Friday night. As the slow breeze moved the remains it looked oddly alive despite being at 90 degrees to its normal standing, families and lone walkers were drawn to it like looking at the body at a wake, pausing, fascinated, though the difference here was that lots of children clambered all over it leaping off the branches and laughing, the tree still giving something wonderful even as it lay exposed and gone, its roots out of its nourishment, it's days slowly ending. It will, for years, leave its scars and its marks on the land, even when there is nothing really left.AS

Well, I've been a bit teary all day (all of us here having to move and I'll miss this house despite the dramas of the past year) and that was so poignant, AS, that the dam has all but burst. So moving and vivid. Lovely. Still very mild here and like an April evening. I'm looking forward to Spring and Summer now.

[john pike]

hi tom

 

at present i see no problems re thursday

 

but so far in lala land it will probably disappear tomorrow

[Jax]

Well, I've been a bit teary all day (all of us here having to move and I'll miss this house despite the dramas of the past year) and that was so poignant, AS, that the dam has all but burst. So moving and vivid. Lovely.

Still very mild here and like an April evening. I'm looking forward to Spring and Summer now.

I hate moving if you like a place ( I rent ) so know what you mean, as for coast, I have no idea but have become worried of his current conditions.

[john pike]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/m/8/A3_plots-precip-DJF-2.pdf

 

 

i think there was a slight problem with that

[Iceni]

With the strange, unusual and unwelcome weather patterns of the last few years, people are worried, – and they have every right to be, as all types of extremes are suddenly been thrown at us – creating havoc for farmers, fishermen, those in coastal areas and hundreds of thousand of home owners, not to mention commuters.So the question everyone is asking is, what the hell is going on ?http://realityweather.eu/gone-wrong-weather/

 

I think you're asking the wrong question. Read any classic novel and they're full of weather extremes... but now our lifestyles and numbers and our ability to communicate more easily mean that everyone hears about what happened in what used to be a remote little Surrey village... and of course those little Surrey villages have grown to 10 times the size they used to be.

 

In the old days, people didn't build their houses near that water meadow because it flooded every autumn, now they just put a drain or culvert in and hope the water goes somewhere else. And they build a new estate. We also travel miles to work, so if there's a flooding problem, it's bound to affect more people than when most people just went to the local market once a week because they could work and shop locally.

 

Where I live there's a lane which goes to the A143 called Watery Lane. Guess what - it's like a shallow brook whenever we get an inch of rain over a few days, and there's a ford running across it. There are some very old 15th & 16th C houses along it, but they're built on a bank either side of it about 5' above the level of the lane. The one modern bungalow at one end has had to build up a sort of permanent flood barrier fence - looks hideous.

 

Even when my parents moved to Haslemere, Surrey in the late 1950s everyone at Dad's office thought it was far too far away from his London job. Everyone else lived a few miles away in Wimbledon or in some London suburb. But he pointed out that as an export sales manager he didn't need to commute in and out every day. He spent 3/4s of the year miles away in S America or somewhere on a sales trip. Whereas my mum just stayed at home and ran the house and looked after the family, so they dropped their objections. Nowadays, Haslemere is well within the commuter belt and no one thinks an hour's commute is excessive.

 

I don't think it's the weather, it's our perception of the weather and our increased reliability on it remaining unremarkable with no extremes. We are being unrealistic. Also with the email and the internet it's not necessary nowadays - so what if someone can't make it into the office for a couple of days, work from home. The village school used to be within walking distance, the kids got wet but so what? The butchers, bakers, greengrocers ditto, now they're gone and the supermarket is miles away or 10 miles away in my case.

 

We are simply not adapting to our environment and not resilient either in infrastructure or lifestyles to cope with it, which is not good. What would happen if we got another Winter '62/63 or another October '87 (I didn't miss a single day's school in '63)? People would go into meltdown - there'd be rioting on the streets, but I remember both and people just made the best of things and coped.

Edited February 19, 2014 by Iceni

[lassie23]

Well, I've been a bit teary all day (all of us here having to move and I'll miss this house despite the dramas of the past year) and that was so poignant, AS, that the dam has all but burst. So moving and vivid. Lovely.

Still very mild here and like an April evening. I'm looking forward to Spring and Summer now.

  made me sad reading this.

[Charltonkerry]

Morning all, hope everyone fine and well, funny AS I nearly posted a similar thing about Coast yesterday, miss his wit and weather chat, I wonder if it was work related as he was quoting some big export order. Hope he's well.

Off to the heart of Kent today, enjoy my jaunt down seven mile lane, let's hope its open and no trees have fallen, that was a great piece that AS wrote about the fallen tree in Brighton, boy he can sure write a good item, wish I was a talented as that, suppose if I keep trying I might get to being about 50% of his writing skill by the time I retire.

I thought Iceni piece was great as well, I have been arguing her points for many years, but unfortunately without her eloquence.

I hope you all have a great day this dull, grey dreary day in dirty Dartford, oh no news on the 'ole front it's the same as yesterday, although the state of the path has deteriorated and now feels like you drunk when you walk on it, in fact next door dog refuses too, which has lead to some hilarity as the owner tries to pull him, and he just sits down, and looks at him with his sad mournful eyes, dogs is winning 2 nil at moment.

Edited February 19, 2014 by Charltonkerry

[Captain Shortwave]

Morning, grey start to the day here but certainly not cold. Definitely feels like Spring has arrived of sorts.

[hernebaylooby]

I to was wondering about coast? Hope alls ok

[Paul Sherman]

Had a look on UKWW (Uk Weather World) the last few days as Convective Season is almost upon us and Robin is happily posting away over there so he is still around.

[bobbydog]

Coast has probably moved on from netweather due to 'personal' reasons.

probably best to leave it at that.......

[Steve C]

I to was wondering about coast? Hope alls ok

 

He updated his status with lyrics from the song "Everybody's Talkin' " the last I knew, so his absence is deliberate. Whether he meant the words literally, or metaphorically, I wouldn't know.

[Steve C]

Morning all.

 

Benign is how I'd describe the weather here this morning. A wood pigeon is cooing nearby to add to that feeling.

 

Have a good day everyone.

[chilly milly]

Morning all!  A cool 6.7c here at the moment and the sun is shining again.  Woohoo!

 

Have a good day everyone!

[Heisenberg]

^{Morning Gang,}

 

^{I think we need to start a "bring back Robin" petition.}

 

^{grey and boring this morning. Looks like it might brighten up later.}

 

^{So sorry to hear of all the probelms some of you have been having with flooding (Luke and others)......My thoughts are with you all. x}

[snow raven]

Morning All,

 

Not a bad morning out there today - the grey and murk is clearing and I reckon it's going to feel like a nice warmish springlike day - shame it doesn't seem set to last

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Dull but very mild and still in The Swich this morning. Makes a change, but at the moment, I would prefer some turbulance to match the turbulence 'upstairs' if you know what I mean. Feel very edgy and a tad miserable about moving.

Oh well, hope you all have a good day my dears. Take care, and all you affected by floods....hope you soon dry out and are back to normal.