The Midlands - Weather Chat

[I remember Atlantic 252]

few flakes coming down again, coming in from cheshire gap, maybe streamer setting up

 

a little bit gordon, had a covering around 7am, then again from showers between 3-5pm, very heavy one at 4.30

Edited January 29, 2015 by Ilovethesnow

[snowangel32]

Check this out this is for ilovethesnow he needs some snow spirit lol. Potential blizzards just released by the bbc

Edited January 29, 2015 by snowangel32

[Gord]

few flakes coming down again, coming in from cheshire gap, maybe streamer setting up

 

a little bit gordon, had a covering around 7am, then again from showers between 3-5pm, very heavy one at 4.30

 

Interesting. Just heard there's nothing on the ground at all in some parts of Wolverhampton. Could see the showers tracking further north towards Stafford so they must have been your ones. All shows just what a lottery it is when showers are set up like this.

Edited January 29, 2015 by Gord

[jimben]

that is so correct it's unreal, Its not a polar low, its just a band of ppn moving down, rain at low levels

see post 1182 could not be a clearer small low pressure system

[#windysnow#]

Where can I see the Polar Low thread

[I remember Atlantic 252]

see post 1182 could not be a clearer small low pressure system

 

not a polar low though, polar low is snow only, and comes down in a true arctic flow,

[bearing]

Check this out this is for ilovesnow he needs some snow spirit lol

 

See that gap opening up?

 

That's signposted 'Stafford!'

[jimben]

No way we can know yet its still to far away no warnings from the met so dont think they belive this will amount to much

Uppers will be crucial

There are yellow warnings from Met Office for high winds in SW and midlands and south all connected with this feature .... could be a long and hopefully snowy night  woohoo

[snowangel32]

See that gap opening up?

 

That's signposted 'Stafford!'

Lol

[PolarWarsaw]

The NMM looks good PPN wise for tonight - looks intense over Derby/Leicester etc. Much dry further west between more activity over Wales. Expecting a dry and frosty night in South Staffs. Would expect to see it that way for areas South and West of here too. Brum, Walsall, Shropshire etc. Cold and dry.

Edited January 29, 2015 by PolarWarsaw

[Dancerwithwings]

Where can I see the Polar Low thread

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82413-tracking-the-potential-polar-low-thursday-into-friday/

[I remember Atlantic 252]

flurry just left a dusting

[Midlands Ice Age]

that is so correct it's unreal, Its not a polar low, its just a band of ppn moving down, rain at low levels

 

ILTS

 

The Met Office have said it IS a Polar Low. ( confirmed by IF).

 

It has developed its own ciculation and is deepening rapidly. I do not know where you got the idea of a a band of ppn from?

Look at the radar charts.

 

The low formed in coldish air off the west coast of Norway sweeping southwards along a trough line.

It was not forcast, but they are always possible in a cold northerly flow, with resonably warm SST's.

.

Now

Polar lows do fizzle out very quickly so we may not get much down here. However no one knows yet what it is going to do.

It looks to me as though its headed straight for us, or maybe if it deepens, further down over the north west of england and down thru the east Midlands. We will see. 

 

However there is another similar looking feature whih is forecasted to come down from Iceland on monday night into Tuesday. This is not a Polar Low as its origins were in the north west Atlantic, between Greenland and Iceland  and will have picked up some warmer Atlantic air in it circulation. As such it will move down as a normal depression. Will the air ahead of it be cold enough for snow.?

 

MIA

[MidlandsSean]

Small band of showers heading into Birmingham now, intensity improving somewhat over the last 5 minutes. 

[The Wolf]

Cold and dry?

Not according to the latest BBC forecast I just saw!

[shaky]

Jesus anyone taken a look at the nmm!! Has the whole of the east midlands in the firing line with very heavy snowfall!!frosting over here aswell!!

[Derbyshire_snow]

Blizzard at Wolverhampton Races judging by the camera on At The Races.

[jimben]

not a polar low though, polar low is snow only, and comes down in a true arctic flow,

 

Sorry to disagree but it has been confirmed as a polar low

[snowangel32]

Cold and dry?

Not according to the latest BBC forecast I just saw!

You telling me no way is it going to be cold and dry.

Talking of snow just looked out the window and its moderate snow here

Edited January 29, 2015 by snowangel32

[The Wolf]

Snowing here.

[tom_f123]

Steady snow in sedgley. Sticking easily, very icy out

[#windysnow#]

Ok who wants to give there predictions for NW Leicestershire tonight ashby

[Dancerwithwings]

MET OFFICE Chief Forecaster's assessment, A small area of low pressure is expected to move southeastwards and bring a more persistent spell of rain, sleet and snow to parts of western Scotland, Northern Ireland, Wales and the Midlands. This likely to lead to further accumulations of snow, especially on high ground, whilst also increasing the risk of ice.

The track of this system is a little uncertain at present and this warning may be adjusted as and when necessary.

 

Interesting radar watching tonight

Edited January 29, 2015 by Dancerwithwings

[PolarWarsaw]

Cold and dry?

Not according to the latest BBC forecast I just saw!

 

 

Judging by the current track on live radar...(Forget forecasts you saw an hour ago) 

 

I have attatched a very rough outline as to where it's heading. 

 

1) The western extent.

2) The thicker line is it's current track based on the radar in the last hour. 

3) That's the northern/eastern track.

 

Here is the NMM.

 

 

 

 

From Nick L, a met man in the Polar Low thread.

 

'Latest ECM has a spell of heavy snowfall for the East Midlands and parts of northern England, very similar to what the new NMM shows' 

 

 

 

Anyone away from Derby/Leicester maybe north Stoke southwards should pray for snow...but expect it to be mostly dry this eve. It's an East Midlands/Northern England event at the moment, if that changes - I'll update my post. 

 

 

Cheers!

[snowcatcher2015]

We have a major snowfall here