Summer 2015

[Weather-history]

July 1st came in at 24.5C, a full 15C warmer than June 1st!

There can't have been many instances in the CET history in which two dates within 30/31 days of each other have seen such a disparity in temperature.

Look at winter 1866-67

28th Dec 1866: 8.7C

4th Jan 1867: -9.3C

7th Jan 1867: 9.8C

A drop of 18.0C and a rise of 19.1C all within a fortnight.

Edited July 6, 2015 by Weather-history

[Weather-history]

Despite the thunderstorms and brief heat, I don't think it has been that brilliant of a summer thus far, here.

Edited July 6, 2015 by Weather-history

[h2005__uk__]

Despite the thunderstorms and brief heat, I don't think it has been that brilliant of a summer thus far, here.

 

I know what you mean. Last week's 'heatwave' was a bit frustrating here in Essex - it reached around 31C by lunchtime, then a band of cloud passed over which caused temps to fall to the mid-high 20s. The cloud didn't properly clear until late afternoon by which time the temperatures couldn't really recover. Just 50 miles to the west, the cloud was sparser and didn't affect the heat so much.

[Weather-history]

It may have been dry, but the first half of the month was annoyingly dull, with most days dominated by stratocumulus. Coupled with the cool temperatures and the blustery north-westerly wind, it was really a sorry attempt for a summer month.

Luckily after the solstice, there was a vast improvement.

Hmm

Vast improvement is a bit of a stretch. It's still relatively unsettled, just happened to got warmer for a time.

Edited July 6, 2015 by Weather-history

[Relativistic]

I know what you mean. Last week's 'heatwave' was a bit frustrating here in Essex - it reached around 31C by lunchtime, then a band of cloud passed over which caused temps to fall to the mid-high 20s. The cloud didn't properly clear until late afternoon by which time the temperatures couldn't really recover. Just 50 miles to the west, the cloud was sparser and didn't affect the heat so much.

Since I've been back in Chelmsford (over two weeks ago) we've had one thunderstorm to speak of, which isn't brilliant really.

[BlueHedgehog074]

Speaking of June, felt the one last year was more desireable - at least compared to the cool, unexciting, August. If I remember, there was generally more in the way of brighter, settled, weather during that June. But whether this was true for the whole of the British Isles, am not 100% sure. I think there was also one week dominated by a sunshine and shower setup with slow moving Low Pressure over Northern UK. Nevertheless, the July that followed it was King of Summer 2014.

(Confessedly, the previous July being king of that Summer probably won't be true for all on here).

Edited July 6, 2015 by DiagonalRedLine

[weatherguru14]

been nice of late apart from today..yesterday started off  fine  but had a  thunderstorm late afternoon/early evening.. Seems we have got the cold win back again..Lets hope it doesn't last..

during the mini heatwave last week  was too hot for me. was like opening a oven door.Not been a great summer so.here . still 8/9 weeks to go. if you include September.Am still hoping for  a much better second half of the summer. 

(aslong as the weather behaves for the test matches.. come on England)

[carinthian]

Been at great summer so far on the Sussex coast. Plenty of sunshine and warmth with very little rain.

C

[weatherguru14]

Its been a poor summer for leeds..Obviously  the further south you go the weather will be better..But its been on the poor side of average here..Its not been a wet summer so far..I hope we do get the azores pushing the jet further north for a prolonged spell..rather than  the few days here and there..time will tell

[Wynn D Woo]

Well I have no real complaints about summer here so far. Mostly dry and lots of useable weather nor too cold to sit out of an evening in the garden. If summer carries on in the same vein it will have been a good summer although not a classic to speak off in years to come, need more prolonged heat and sun for that!

[Mokidugway]

Summer started here 2 weeks ago and now back to dross 2 out of 10 ....

Edited July 6, 2015 by Mokidugway

[Summer Sun]

Netweather's monthly forecast updated, will late July and early August be hot and thundery?

 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=monthly;sess=

[AderynCoch]

I know what you mean. Last week's 'heatwave' was a bit frustrating here in Essex - it reached around 31C by lunchtime, then a band of cloud passed over which caused temps to fall to the mid-high 20s. The cloud didn't properly clear until late afternoon by which time the temperatures couldn't really recover. Just 50 miles to the west, the cloud was sparser and didn't affect the heat so much.

I know the feeling. Wednesday was such a terrible letdown here, with cloud suddenly appearing out of nowhere and festering throughout the day to ruin what could have been something special (as it was in other places). Tuesday was the only really impressive day here, actually exceeding expectations but every day thereafter downgraded on what was being progged in the run-up. Even the thunderstorms of Wednesday & Friday nights managed to skirt us, giving only distant flashes and rumbles of thunder. My best thunder was actually yesterday (and that was only a couple of rumbles).

 

Just look at the temperatures in Germany. The plume just gone may have given the impression that it was finally our turn but it's actually just given the usual areas everything again.

 

And now it's back to boring NWerly crap. Talk about adding insult to injury!

Edited July 6, 2015 by AderynCoch

[h2005__uk__]

Netweather's monthly forecast updated, will late July and early August be hot and thundery?

 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=monthly;sess=

 

Their forecast is generally in line with what Gavin Partridge is forecasting (and also the Daily Express for what it's worth).

[DAVID SNOW]

Their forecast is generally in line with what Gavin Partridge is forecasting (and also the Daily Express for what it's worth).

[h2005__uk__]

 

The Daily Express have jinxed everything so an elongated autumn is probably on the cards, starting August 1st.

[BlueHedgehog074]

What a shame! Was looking forward to the possibility of the weather going 'pop' again towards the end of this month. Thanks a lot, Daily Express! You had to forecast the same thing as Netweather, didn't you? But at least we'll know exactly who to blame should this website's monthly forecast fail to come off. 

[reef]

The stats for June don't really tally up with the suggestions by a few of it being a dire summer so far. Looking on the Metoffice summary maps, June was almost exclusively drier and sunnier than average in England, Wales and Northern Ireland. Temperatures weren't too bad either, generally average or above during the day balanced out by cooler nights. Scotland on the other hand did have a pretty poor month, being duller and wetter than average with below average temps:

 

June Rainfall:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_Rainfall_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Sunshine:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_Sunshine_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Mean Max:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_MaxTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Mean Min:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_MinTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Mean:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_MeanTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Expectations perhaps a little above what an 'average' UK June really is. Take a look at the same parameters for June 2012 for example:

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/anomacts

 

Night and day compared to June 2015.
 

[Snowshine]

This month could be similar to July 2006, if a heatwave was set to return near the end of the month. July 2006 started with a mini-heatwave and later in the month was the mega-heatwave which lasted around two weeks.

 

Also, the BBC posted this article:

• By 2100, the chances of a summer being hotter than the one in 2003 are 89% - that's odds of roughly 9-out-of-10
• There is still a 35-40% chance of getting a wetter-than-average summer until 2035 but that risk falls to 20% by 2100
• The chances of a winter with the same kind of rainfall as in 2013-14 fall to just under 10% by the end of the century
• And the odds of a very cold winter similar to 2009-10 fall to less than 1% over the same period

[weatherguru14]

Why do people make up rubbish?  this july could be like 2006.Wasnt July 2006 the hottest July on record?  why do individuals.. look for extremes and use them has a guide.?.

Theres is zero chance 2015 july will be anywhere near 2006. Infact it wont even be like the previous 2 july's which  were very good...

we have the bbc using the word "average".. the average for leeds is around 20/21c  in July.. we will be lucky to get 16/17c today.. ITS NOT AVERAGE IS IT?.  oh and there is a  difference between  showers and rain.

[summer blizzard]

Well the models certainly suggest that 06 will be pretty offended by any comparison.

[Weather-history]

The summer thread was first opened at the end of March, I suppose an autumn thread should be opened now......

[Wynn D Woo]

The stats for June don't really tally up with the suggestions by a few of it being a dire summer so far. Looking on the Metoffice summary maps, June was almost exclusively drier and sunnier than average in England, Wales and Northern Ireland. Temperatures weren't too bad either, generally average or above during the day balanced out by cooler nights. Scotland on the other hand did have a pretty poor month, being duller and wetter than average with below average temps:

 

June Rainfall:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_Rainfall_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Sunshine:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_Sunshine_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Mean Max:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_MaxTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Mean Min:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_MinTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Mean:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomacts/2015/6/2015_6_MeanTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010.gif

 

Expectations perhaps a little above what an 'average' UK June really is. Take a look at the same parameters for June 2012 for example:

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/anomacts

 

Night and day compared to June 2015.

 

Thank goodness for this post.

 

Absolutely backs up my previous post that this summer has been good generally.

[Fourty Point Three Degrees]

Why do people make up rubbish?  this july could be like 2006.Wasnt July 2006 the hottest July on record?  why do individuals.. look for extremes and use them has a guide.?.

Theres is zero chance 2015 july will be anywhere near 2006. Infact it wont even be like the previous 2 july's which  were very good...

we have the bbc using the word "average".. the average for leeds is around 20/21c  in July.. we will be lucky to get 16/17c today.. ITS NOT AVERAGE IS IT?.  oh and there is a  difference between  showers and rain.

One never knows whats round the corner. Nobody saw last Wednesday coming until about 1 week beforehand, especially with the cold june. If you think we have zero chance of any more heat then take a look into Europe at the moment looks like another 2003 is brewing.

[h2005__uk__]

One never knows whats round the corner.

Exactly. There are sometimes a few people who post their feelings as 'facts' with little evidence to back them up.