Atlantic Storms Autumn 2015

[Polar Maritime]

Winds picking up here now starting to gust over 40mph, No rain as yet..

[Liam J]

Recent gust to 71mph @ Aberdaron, 50-60mph across other western locations - http://www.xcweather.co.uk/

[The PIT]

Top gust 40mph so nothing of note mostly light rain the heavier stuff struggling over the pennines.

[pip22]

They named the storm Clodagh for tommorow:

 

UK weather: Incredible 'winter wonderland' NASA photo shows huge storm bringing weeks of snow to Britain

 

The weather system, dubbed Storm Clodagh, is forecast to bring heavy snowfall and winds of up to 100mph to the UK this weekend

 

The weather system, dubbed Storm Clodagh, is forecast to bring heavy snowfall and winds of up to 100mph to the UK this weekend.

Up to half a metre of snow could fall in Scotland's mountains this weekend while cold air will flood south, according to the Met Office.

 

http://www.mirror.co...=FB_mirror_main

[Liam J]

Gusts not quite as high on the 12z GFS but still around 65-75mph across the north Irish Sea and into S Scotland & N/NW England, also the wind field has been extended slightly further northwards into S Scotland, gusts further south around 55-65mph, perhaps a touch higher in some exposed locations.  

 

 

 

 

[Liam J]

They named the storm Clodagh for tommorow:

 

UK weather: Incredible 'winter wonderland' NASA photo shows huge storm bringing weeks of snow to Britain

 

The weather system, dubbed Storm Clodagh, is forecast to bring heavy snowfall and winds of up to 100mph to the UK this weekend

 

The weather system, dubbed Storm Clodagh, is forecast to bring heavy snowfall and winds of up to 100mph to the UK this weekend.

Up to half a metre of snow could fall in Scotland's mountains this weekend while cold air will flood south, according to the Met Office.

 

http://www.mirror.co...=FB_mirror_main

The Met Office haven't named it officially Storm Clodagh, wish the press would get their facts right! 

Edited November 28, 2015 by *Sub*Zero*

[Liam J]

The ARPEGE model showing wind gusts a touch higher than the GFS and the depression is further north extending disruptive winds into the Central Lowlands.

 

 

Also a more developed area of low pressure that deepens nearly 10mb as it crosses the UK and exits into the North Sea. 

 

Edited November 28, 2015 by *Sub*Zero*

[The PIT]

Interesting local forecast is having none of the strong winds for tomorrow and to be honest it was right today i.e not windy. Looks like the warning should have been removed for us today for the strong winds looking at the comments along side it i.e winds less than originally thought. 

[Liam J]

Interesting local forecast is having none of the strong winds for tomorrow and to be honest it was right today i.e not windy. Looks like the warning should have been removed for us today for the strong winds looking at the comments along side it i.e winds less than originally thought. 

 

Yeah, surprised the blanket warning covers such a wide area, but I guess if there is a risk they have to cater for it? The warning for tomorrow does state that the strongest winds will affect areas around the north Irish Sea, Dumfries & Galloway, North Wales and NW England. They also stress that some uncertainty remains on precise wind speeds and exact track, further updates will be issued. 

 

[The PIT]

I see they've updated it from earlier. I feel that the national forecasts at the moment need more time space everything seems a little rushed and the end result a confused picture for people who don't have access to the information we have. People asking me yesterday will it snow and how much will we get. Snow was never forecast for our region but the speed at which the forecast went through people would have got that impression.

But today the warning needed modifying as it was the coastal regions that got the strong winds.

[Liam J]

ECM also going for a more developed storm with a very tight pressure gradient around the southern flank, and a bit further north than the GFS. 

 

ECM- GFS - 

 

 

Edited November 28, 2015 by *Sub*Zero*

[radiohead]

The Met Office haven't named it officially Storm Clodagh, wish the press would get their facts right! 

 

It has been officially named now.

 

 

Clodagh, the third named storm of the extended winter season, will pass eastwards to the north of Ireland on Sunday morning, 29th November. The current Status Orange warning for very strong, westerly winds is a direct result of Clodagh’s evolution. Later Sunday, Clodagh will pass through Scotland and the North Sea towards southern Scandinavia where it is expected to deepen further.

 

http://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/default.asp

[Liam J]

It has been officially named now.

 

 

http://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/default.asp

Yep, thread here - https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/84534-atlantic-storm-3-clodagh/

[The PIT]

But not by the London met office          

[Liam J]

London? It's been in Exeter since 2003? 

[Spikecollie]

Clodagh...after the river running through Tipperary where my mother was born. Meanwhile here in Limousin - not a bough bends - but it will!

[Liam J]

ECM showing a monster depression for next weekend! But as it's a week away it's highly likely it will look different on the next run.

 

 

 

[Liam J]

More windy weather tomorrow for Wales and Southern & SW coasts although nowhere near as severe as todays wind speeds, gusts around 50mph or so possibly up 60mph in exposure especially for Wales.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Liam J]

Next weekends storm is still on the ECM this evening.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited November 29, 2015 by *Sub*Zero*

[Zenarcher]

Next weekends storm is still on the ECM this evening.

 

ecm35.png

 

Looks bad for the NW of Scotland mean speeds of 40 to 50 mph with exposed parts seeing mean speed of 55 to 65 mph,

 

  

[Nick L]

London? It's been in Exeter since 2003? 

 

And Bracknell before that

 

I suspect we'll be getting Desmond sooner rather than later. While not quite on the magnitude of some of the gusts seen today, parts of the south will be pretty windy again tomorrow with gusts exceeding 50mph.

[Liam J]

Looks bad for the NW of Scotland mean speeds of 40 to 50 mph with exposed parts seeing mean speed of 55 to 65 mph,

 

11.png 12.png 13.png

Certainly one to keep eyes on this week now the Atlantic is in a boisterous mood!

[Liam J]

And Bracknell before that

 

I suspect we'll be getting Desmond sooner rather than later. While not quite on the magnitude of some of the gusts seen today, parts of the south will be pretty windy again tomorrow with gusts exceeding 50mph.

Yep, an unsettled week on the cards with plenty more weather action to come! Not as bad as today though but next weekend could be interesting if the ECM is onto something... 

[Mokidugway]

As long as we don't get to zelda .........

[heccygabber]

18z gfs still looking stormy in fi