North West England Weather discussion 16/01/16 Onwards

[iand61]

1 minute ago, Mokidugway said:

Bloody cold out , anyone at 10,000 m asl will get snow

 

No it will die out just before it reaches there just like the area crossing Lancashire has done.

 

[cheshire snow]

Rain just starting here,as for the rest of the week expect the hills in the region to have a white covering

by weekend.for lower ground I would not rule out snow falling,as for settling that a total different ball

game,but any overnight PPN and then there could be a few surprises.

C.S

[Thunder Snow]

Hoping for some suprise snowfall this week

[Mokidugway]

Sleet

Wet sleet more like

 

Edited February 29, 2016 by Mokidugway

[shadowfax]

Trying hard to snow now

[iand61]

25 minutes ago, shadowfax said:

Trying hard to snow now

Looks more like sleet really but I live in hope and it's still it's better than cold rain.

[dodge]

Stood down from lamppost duty, and maybe I could try and convince myself there were a few sleety deposits in the mix, but it's mostly rain and wetting the ground as rain.   Already feeling a little warmer than it did earlier this afternoon.

[iand61]

7 minutes ago, dodgeredee said:

Stood down from lamppost duty, and maybe I could try and convince myself there were a few sleety deposits in the mix, but it's mostly rain and wetting the ground as rain.   Already feeling a little warmer than it did earlier this afternoon.

Wrong side of marginal, as seems to have been the case all winter.

[dodge]

6 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Wrong side of marginal, as seems to have been the case all winter.

Yep, not sure even the highest tops are getting anything other than wet sleet probably.  Starting to sniff a little interest on Wednesday, if those showers prove heavy enough and the NW winds dig-in but it's all very marginal and looks again to favor the tops of high ground.

Edited February 29, 2016 by dodgeredee

[Miamay]

Heavy rain here and was constant throughout the night

[pip22]

The latest models are pretty good for snow potential here. Hopefully just for this once in this horrid Winter it will snow properly!!

[northwestsnow]

8 minutes ago, pip22 said:

The latest models are pretty good for snow potential here. Hopefully just for this once in this horrid Winter it will snow properly!!

Yip, last chance saloon wed to fri for us lot.

As i suggested in the mad thread, places with elevation look good thur night, very borderline as almost always but certainly potential for a covering by fri morning, i would say places with 300m its nailed on, 200m likely, below that toss of a coin.

Im working thur night so its all nighter for me anyway

[cheshire snow]

1 hour ago, northwestsnow said:

Yip, last chance saloon wed to fri for us lot.

As i suggested in the mad thread, places with elevation look good thur night, very borderline as almost always but certainly potential for a covering by fri morning, i would say places with 300m its nailed on, 200m likely, below that toss of a coin.

Im working thur night so its all nighter for me anyway

Nailed on are you sure?

Did we not have the same issue two weeks back with the models

Chopping and changing with that slider.

The reality was it missed the UK all together,i dont think

This will be sorted out until tomorrow night at the earliest

Even Fergie said last night that the Met Office will not put out

A public forecsst out until Wednesday,i hope this morning

Models care correct at ee can ALL join in the fun,and it not

Just a 250m above event

C.S

 

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:

Nailed on are you sure?

Did we not have the same issue two weeks back with the models

Chopping and changing with that slider.

The reality was it missed the UK all together,i dont think

This will be sorted out until tomorrow night at the earliest

Even Fergie said last night that the Met Office will not put out

A public forecsst out until Wednesday,i hope this morning

Models care correct at ee can ALL join in the fun,and it not

Just a 250m above event

C.S

 

Yes i think 300m plus is nailed on for snow thur night CS

[cheshire snow]

57 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Yes i think 300m plus is nailed on for snow thur night CS

Cool thats 80% of the region that gets sod all then.

C.S

[northwestsnow]

Just now, cheshire snow said:

Cool thats 80% of the region that gets sod all then.

C.S

Not sure about that, altitude will play a part imho, as it almost always does, esp at this time of year, ecm brings a fairly hefty area of precip over us thur night .

Its our last chance i reckon so fingers crossed

[Liam J]

Very wet overnight and milder than it has been for a while with a dawn temp of 8.7c, rain cleared SE but still dull and overcast. Hello spring 2016! 

[pip22]

Just watched Carol Kirkwood's forecast and it is showing a band of snow affecting Wales/NI and moving into NW England tomorrow morning. If this still showing it by 9pm tonight I have confidence and excitement.

[Liam J]

Very heavy snow up here on the Netwx-SR model for tomorrow morning! 

Edited March 1, 2016 by *Sub*Zero*

[weirpig]

2 minutes ago, *Sub*Zero* said:

Very heavy snow up here on the Netwx-SR model for tomorrow morning! 

I think your do quite well.  Might even get some here  with high enough ground

[Liam J]

2 minutes ago, weirpig said:

I think your do quite well.  Might even get some here  with high enough ground

We shall see! The latest Met warning only covers north of the border. 

[Liam J]

Another warning been issued for N England & Wales - http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1456876800&regionName=nw

Edited March 1, 2016 by *Sub*Zero*

[cheshire snow]

Great to see that warning,you would think it was not possible

Especially as its currently 9c here,ha ho will be very happy if

For once a warning actually comes true

C.S

[northwestsnow]

3 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Great to see that warning,you would think it was not possible

Especially as its currently 9c here,ha ho will be very happy if

For once a warning actually comes true

C.S

Im not too suprised by the warnings CS, looks good at the moment.

Still think Thur night is the best shot for most but maybe later tonight could produce

[cheshire snow]

55 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Im not too suprised by the warnings CS, looks good at the moment.

Still think Thur night is the best shot for most but maybe later tonight could produce

Just seen the national weather and Holy cow the graphics almost

Had me wetting myself snow shoeers from midnight followed by

More prolonged snow from 0500 until 0900,and then more snow

Showers tomorrow,oh go on then more snow on friday even

Stated it could be disruptive snowfall

Welcome to winter 2016

C.S