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North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

BlueHedgehog074

By BlueHedgehog074
in Regional

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted

It' getting a bit savage over on the mod.thread.

Fatigue is setting in and misinterpretation is rife.

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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted

EC snow charts look great shame they are a week away.... going for 20inches Peak District 35 inches Cumbria.... will keep an eye on charts this coming week and steer clear of mod thread....

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

Just seen the GFS 00z. 

The big question is wether Salwick is ready for 48 hours of sleet 

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JeffC Accomplished

JeffC

Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
Posted
7 hours ago, WillinGlossop said:

EC snow charts look great shame they are a week away.... going for 20inches Peak District 35 inches Cumbria.... will keep an eye on charts this coming week and steer clear of mod thread....

I'd settle for 30" if the snow Gods want to spread the other 5" elsewhere! ? 

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted
8 hours ago, WillinGlossop said:

EC snow charts look great shame they are a week away.... going for 20inches Peak District 35 inches Cumbria.... will keep an eye on charts this coming week and steer clear of mod thread....

Yep just a shame the snow depth charts are not in the reliable time frame because it looks like most of the region could get an absolute dumping.

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

GFS 06z WoW just Wow

Any were in the region could see a dumping still at day six but getting closer dew points at -3 uppers not great though about -6 

C.S

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

When we had the cold north to northwesterlies about a month ago they didn't really deliver here, mainly sleet & hail. However back then the Irish sea temperature was running at 8.9C (a little below average) but not great for us near the coast. Next week it's looking more and more like a pretty cold spell of northwesterly winds with showers, now I wouldn't normally get too bothered by it but again the Irish sea is running a little below average only this time it is now reading 7.2C a big difference! A better chance then for us on the coast if this setup verifies. Watching with interest.

gfsnh-0-150.thumb.png.f35b62f58aef7686379da9e5ae014efe.png150-574UK.thumb.GIF.d621b0a51170069d9f4930ec713ca59f.GIF

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
2 minutes ago, chicken soup said:

If we could just get those uppers a degree or two colder we may well be in business next week.

Yes, they are varying run to run some have been cold enough some haven't. Plenty of time for changes so fingers crossed.

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted

I'm watching the snow  predictions very closely for next week.

It doesn't take much to grind Glossop / Hadfield to a standstill due to the one main road in/out. Trying to do the back road through Charlesworth/Broadbottom/Mottram would be a non starter if the forecast is to be believed.

I'm thinking that when its mild we get rain shower after rain shower off the Irish sea. To see the same with snowfall would be epic and like 2009/10

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

A weather warning have been issued for fog here.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-01-10

 

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
1 hour ago, pip22 said:

A weather warning have been issued for fog here.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-01-10

 

Can't see it.

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted
3 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Can't see it.

....too foggy? :closedeyes:

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itsnowjoke Veteran

itsnowjoke

Posted
  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley
  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley
Posted
2 hours ago, pip22 said:

A weather warning have been issued for fog here.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-01-10

 

I'm in that warning so it won't happen lol hope not hate fog..... can't seem to get my bearings when I'm out

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JeffC Accomplished

JeffC

Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
Posted
30 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

I'm in that warning so it won't happen lol hope not hate fog..... can't seem to get my bearings when I'm out

am just in it, but as I'm travelling to Glasgow this evening should come out of it Penrith way!

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted
3 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Next week might be interesting...but your going to need to be 300m minimum imo..

And why is that Interesting Mate.

Think we need to see how this evolves But from my POV its looking good for any were in the Region,I don't need to tell you this but you need to take all factors into consideration.

Writing it off before it has begun is a bit foolish IMO

C.S  

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Joe Bloggs Experienced

Joe Bloggs

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Posted
11 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Next week might be interesting...but your going to need to be 300m minimum imo..

If GFS is correct then I don’t agree.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_144_2.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_144_10.png

snow for most of us IF ( a big if) GFS is on the mark. 

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

Can’t wait for the weather warning for fog to turn into a non event like the others this season have done.

i hate fog though so no doubt this one will be seriously underestimated.

as for next week, i’ve got my virtual shovel ready for the serious dumping of potential i’m expecting to fall.

 

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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
28 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

If GFS is correct then I don’t agree.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_144_2.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_144_10.png

snow for most of us IF ( a big if) GFS is on the mark. 

Sorry joe i should have said if ukmo is correct.. -4 /-5 uppers wont cut it off the irish bath.

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itsnowjoke Veteran

itsnowjoke

Posted
  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley
  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley
Posted
54 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Can’t wait for the weather warning for fog to turn into a non event like the others this season have done.

i hate fog though so no doubt this one will be seriously underestimated.

as for next week, i’ve got my virtual shovel ready for the serious dumping of potential i’m expecting to fall.

 

I've got my virtual sledge at the ready iand61

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted (edited)

Going to keep posting the latest chart showing 'potential' snow showers for the region as a whole and see if it moves closer and then also if it verifies especially nearer the coast, I want to see how we do this time with the Irish Sea temps running nearly 2c lower to last month (only hail/sleet here back then).

So at the mo we are at 138hrs and onward which puts us at Tues 16th am.

138-574UK.thumb.GIF.6972e327a54e2da4f24a2878b4581f7c.GIF

Edited by Day 10
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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

GFS is the best solution all round IMO Trough digging into Europe will give us another cold shot shortly after, the ECM Solution although cold at first next week does not dig the trough into Europe instead gives a very nasty low

which would probably give snow on its northern edge.

If snow is your thing prey the GFS Is not leading us the Garden path again

C.S

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