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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

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DeepSnow Community Regular

DeepSnow

Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
Posted

Had some torrential rain and hail on my drive to Llantrisant thismorning with some distant flashes of lightning.

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Sky Full Accomplished

Sky Full

Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
Posted

A rare 24 hours with no rain yesterday has been followed by a very wet night and morning today.  I’m not confident that we’ll get another completely rain free 24 hours in the next couple of weeks and quite possibly not before the end of the year.  The outlook is so unsettled with no signs of prolonged high pressure so it’s a strongly Atlantic driven prospect for the rest of November.

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Sky Full Accomplished

Sky Full

Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
Posted

Here we go again….  A yellow warning for high winds from Storm Debi has been issued covering north and west Wales for Monday….

h_lnxvxlqrdqb2kyrixw3lmmul7n-abrzjuzyvzd

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn UK weather warnings

WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK
Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. Choose your location to keep up to date with local weather warnings.

South Wales - you’re safe for the time being!

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Wetterfrosch Enthusiast

Wetterfrosch

Posted
  • Location: Dyffryn Nantlle, 117 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: cold snowy winters, pleasently warm summers without the extremes
  • Location: Dyffryn Nantlle, 117 m ASL
Posted

Yes, and this time I appear to be in the firing line, or at least close to it, with 50 -53 mph expected by the MetO for my area but  the highest gusts luckily out to sea between Ynys Mon and Manaw (Anglesey and Man). Being relatively small in size, it will rattle through pretty swiftly so that by this time tomorrow we should already be in somewhat calmer waters again.

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CLH Explorer

CLH

Posted
  • Location: Bridgend, S Wales
  • Location: Bridgend, S Wales
Posted

This week has had some of the most memorable (short lived) weather I can recall. Driving to Bridgend Tesco on Monday evening was like a rain blizzard. Incredible squall. Similar yesterday. Today, quite nice.

Tomorrow looks like it has some potential to be awful but, at least, the wind will mean that the rain driving into the house is from the other side........

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CLH Explorer

CLH

Posted
  • Location: Bridgend, S Wales
  • Location: Bridgend, S Wales
Posted

Well, pleasant surprise, tracked south. Unusual to be so far out that there was no rain rather than torrential rain.

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Sky Full Accomplished

Sky Full

Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
Posted
9 minutes ago, CLH said:

Well, pleasant surprise, tracked south. Unusual to be so far out that there was no rain rather than torrential rain.

Definitely a surprise.  Yesterday afternoon I was forecast to get 17mm of rain today but this morning it’s just 2.5mm!  I’m not complaining, but it has occurred to me that quite a lot of active weather has tracked further south than expected recently, and I’m wondering if that’s a trend or just a coincidence?

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Crepuscular Ray Seasoned

Crepuscular Ray

Posted
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
Posted
37 minutes ago, Sky Full said:

Definitely a surprise.  Yesterday afternoon I was forecast to get 17mm of rain today but this morning it’s just 2.5mm!  I’m not complaining, but it has occurred to me that quite a lot of active weather has tracked further south than expected recently, and I’m wondering if that’s a trend or just a coincidence?

It’s welcome, whichever. 
 

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Cwmbran Eira Contributor

Cwmbran Eira

Posted
  • Location: Monmouth - 280 ft asl
  • Location: Monmouth - 280 ft asl
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Sky Full said:

Definitely a surprise.  Yesterday afternoon I was forecast to get 17mm of rain today but this morning it’s just 2.5mm!  I’m not complaining, but it has occurred to me that quite a lot of active weather has tracked further south than expected recently, and I’m wondering if that’s a trend or just a coincidence?

Yes, same here. I noticed XC weather was the 1st to change the forecast to little or no rain when updated yesterday afternoon. BBC followed in the evening but the met office continued to show persistent heavy rain all morning. I believe XC weather use the GFS model. An interesting comparison with short term forecasting 

Edited by Cwmbran Eira
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CLH Explorer

CLH

Posted
  • Location: Bridgend, S Wales
  • Location: Bridgend, S Wales
Posted

Also, very light winds, and not an easterly direction as forecast. Very different all in all in the short term. 

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Wetterfrosch Enthusiast

Wetterfrosch

Posted
  • Location: Dyffryn Nantlle, 117 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: cold snowy winters, pleasently warm summers without the extremes
  • Location: Dyffryn Nantlle, 117 m ASL
Posted

All of the above! Yes, it's overcast with 8 octa altocumulus/altostratus but well above even Yr Wyddfa and in the absence of any wind it cannot possibly be called dreary. Not a drop of rain in the last 24 hours either. I could see yesterday the southerly low missing the north altogether and even the south just getting a scraping of the rain. No idea why the MetO with all their advanced equipment so underestimate the effect of such a southerly track and still insist on a forecast like:

Headline:

Wet and windy today, turning more settled on Friday. 

Today:

 A dreary day with rain spreading across the south of the country through the morning, heavy at times. Strong winds easing along southern coasts by the afternoon with the odd shower in the far west. Feeling cool under grey skies. Maximum temperature 9 °C.

 

I'm no fan of their minimalist three liner forecasts, to say the least. I get much more information from the daily NW forecasts, even though they are not specifically for Wales,  and particularly like their including of charts and animations which sets me up nicely for the day. Rant over!!!🙁🤔

 

 

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Marcus_surfer Rising Star

Marcus_surfer

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
Posted

One word for today's forecast...WRONG! ☀️☀️☀️

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Wetterfrosch Enthusiast

Wetterfrosch

Posted
  • Location: Dyffryn Nantlle, 117 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: cold snowy winters, pleasently warm summers without the extremes
  • Location: Dyffryn Nantlle, 117 m ASL
Posted

Wasn't there even a yellow warning of rain out for the southernmost areas for midnight to 6 pm today? Has obviously been quietly dropped to avoid embarrassment!

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DeepSnow Community Regular

DeepSnow

Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
Posted

Today has been the first day it hasn't reached double figures with a high of 9.2C. After some rain thismorning its been quite a pleasant day!

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Sky Full Accomplished

Sky Full

Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
Posted

After a batch of pre-dawn showers this morning, the day has started very promisingly with the clouds dispersing, the sun shining brightly and not a breath of wind to shake the few leaves remaining on the trees.  There’s plenty of rain coming this way later, so these lovely conditions are strictly temporary.  Not the slightest sign of frost in this part of the world so far this Autumn - it seems to get later and later as each year passes…..

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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted (edited)

HELLO EVERYONE - welcome back to winter on the forum - looks like from medium term forecasting we could have an early start to winter - watch this space!

FE9150A5-B23D-40F6-AE95-D8B18CDB95AE.png

Edited by andymusic
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snefnug Seasoned

snefnug

Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
Posted

Oooh Winter is coming, Andymusic is back!  😀

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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted

medium to long range some interesting developments - early easterly followed by a possible north easterly - winter could well be coming in early this year folks - watch this space lol

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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted (edited)

and true to form the gfs 18z offers us another 1 in a hundred years snow/blizzard snowmageddon towards the end of it's run - probably a pub run thing but ya never know!

Edited by andymusic
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Sky Full Accomplished

Sky Full

Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
Posted
17 hours ago, andymusic said:

and true to form the gfs 18z offers us another 1 in a hundred years snow/blizzard snowmageddon towards the end of it's run - probably a pub run thing but ya never know!

It looks like you’ve timed your winter return this year to perfection!   Cold and frosty being promised for as soon as the 30/11 by the good old GFS!
 

IMG_1263.png.470e6140d44422961762584eb01c3225.png

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Sky Full Accomplished

Sky Full

Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
Posted (edited)

What about a little covering of snow for everyone in about 10 days time…

IMG_1264.thumb.png.6fdbd3b872eaf8b166bca11eecb431bd.png

⛄️⛄️😂

Edited by Sky Full
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Sky Full Accomplished

Sky Full

Posted
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes of all kinds...
  • Location: Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
Posted

GEM says 22cm snow accumulating in the Brecons by 01/12…….😱

IMG_1265.thumb.png.31e8c019c33ee6cf11cc3d60758330f8.png

Better dust off that sledge, Andy!

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