Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[BarometerCat]

Clear sky and suns out.  

Looking like things go a touch milder into next week but some interest end of next week, current trend at +150 gfs shows cold and outside chance of snow again for Midlands (or just rain or nothing )

Then repeat for the rest of the month if GFS is to be believed  To be honest anything past the end of next week is not going to be reliable, lots of swings and uncertainty.

 

[Fozfoster]

suns out bit warmer roll on spring

[I remember Atlantic 252]

6 minutes ago, B-C said:

Clear sky and suns out.  

Looking like things go a touch milder into next week but some interest end of next week, current trend at +150 gfs shows cold and outside chance of snow again for Midlands (or just rain or nothing )

Then repeat for the rest of the month if GFS is to be believed  To be honest anything past the end of next week is not going to be reliable, lots of swings and uncertainty.

 

needs to be further south, trend is to move jet north meaning rain for all

[BarometerCat]

28 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

needs to be further south, trend is to move jet north meaning rain for all

Yes lol. My expectations are not great but the trend is in the right direction, half the fun is the chase down of possible snow fall but yes, not thinking nailed on etc...

[cyclonic happiness]

I could do with a bit of mild breezy weather atm.

This constant grey and 2-4'c is really horrible and I don't feel inclined to do anything in the garden, and I cannot go to the allotment because someone I have been in contact with, has had Covid, so I still have another 6 days isolation left.

So, even if it did snow, I'd still be stuck here looking out of the window

 

I can't see anything remotely different to what we've been having the past few weeks, so I might just go back to bed and dream of walking across the River in 1991 in Nuneaton lol 

[andy_leics22]

5 hours ago, Fozfoster said:

suns out bit warmer roll on spring

Bit premature to be talking about Spring technically, we're only about a month into Winter! Still the rest of Jan and February left to see some decent snow. There is still all to play for.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 hour ago, andy_leics22 said:

Bit premature to be talking about Spring technically, we're only about a month into Winter! Still the rest of Jan and February left to see some decent snow. There is still all to play for.

Aye, and boring long quarantine months

[Fozfoster]

2 hours ago, andy_leics22 said:

Bit premature to be talking about Spring technically, we're only about a month into Winter! Still the rest of Jan and February left to see some decent snow. There is still all to play for.

Yeah you’re right but the chances of anything are pretty slim they always are

[MattStoke]

Met Office automated forecast picking up on something for late next week.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

28 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office automated forecast picking up on something for late next week.

and GFS

[high ground birmingham]

1 hour ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office automated forecast picking up on something for late next week.

There is definitely potential for a 10 Dec 2017 type event within the next week or so or next weekend

[MattStoke]

Wintry showers brought in on a north west wind and areas of rain with snow on their northern/eastern edge. Computer models suggesting an area of rain turning wintry as early as Wednesday.

[WillinGlossop]

Yes please 25cm very welcome unlike the 150-200 mm rain beforehand 

[Arctic Hare]

Felt like another world out for my walk this morning. Significantly milder, a decent amount of sunshine, not too much wind. Max 9.0 °C, but it almost seemed like 5 degrees warmer than that given how long it's been cold and grey. Shame it looks like not lasting beyond maybe tomorrow morning.

[WillinGlossop]

Hailing 3c haven’t been above 5c for weeks today felt tropical at 8c earlier... hopefully next week isn’t very wet as predicted 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

00Z still interesting for Thurs! looks a bit like 27/28 Dec

 

[DIS1970]

That dreaded phrase  "Mild" may well be entering the forecast shortly.

[MattStoke]

Some very large rainfall totals in the coming days. Met Office warnings for 30-60 mm widely.

Vile mild winter rubbish.

[Dancerwithwings]

The outlook is mild, but only for a few days though, come the end of the week it’s looking cold with the potential for snow

[DIS1970]

2 hours ago, Dancerwithwings said:

The outlook is mild, but only for a few days though, come the end of the week it’s looking cold with the potential for snow

We can but dream.

[cyclonic happiness]

you know it's a p**s take, when you start reading about snow in the sahara and saudi arabia FML!  

 

Ice blankets the Sahara desert while snow falls in Saudi Arabia where temperature has dropped to -2C | Daily Mail Online

WWW.DAILYMAIL.CO.UK

---

Residents of the Algerian Sahara and Saudi Arabia's Aseer region have been treated to rare snowfall captured in stunning images showing sand dunes blanketed in white snow and ice.

 

[MKN]

The 6z gfs for thurs...

[cyclonic happiness]

19 minutes ago, MKN said:

The 6z gfs for thurs...

more rainbows to chase....this is exhausting , especially as well all know it's never going to happen

[snowangel32]

Flooding looks the main issue to me mods showing alot of rain. Cant see much snow away from Scotland and the mountains. Would love to be in Buxton on Thursday and Friday.

[shunthebartlett92]

6 hours ago, cyclonic happiness said:

more rainbows to chase....this is exhausting , especially as well all know it's never going to happen

Yep, thats why i rarely read into it unless it looks like a widespread cold spell which has been entrenched across the country. These marginal events often dont work out in our favour, especially as precipitation has to travel far inland often moderates before it reaches us. Unless you're over 200/250m, the bottom line is if it can go wrong, it will wrong. Pessimistic i know, but thats just the way it goes.