Model output discussion 24/01/21

[Battleground Snow]

2 minutes ago, Griff said:

Ecm 144

Next frame is critical... It should slide south east, but it looks very tight! Ideally could do with it not being so rounded.

Edited January 29, 2021 by Battleground Snow

[Griff]

4 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Next frame is critical... It should slide south east, but it looks very tight! Ideally could do with it not being so rounded.

Happy? 

[Paul_1978]

6 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Next frame is critical... It should slide south east, but it looks very tight! Ideally could do with it not being so rounded.

South east it goes!

[Battleground Snow]

Just now, Griff said:

Happy? 

Yes it's excellent, especially compared to last night... A little further east with the low would have been ideal

[Griff]

ecm so far more gfs and gem than para, which is

[legritter]

Whats going on ,im stuck behind the Sofa ,dogs going crazy muttering ecm ,is it a good run so far , keep the good posts coming gang catch you all up later cheers .

[Griff]

Seems an improvement 

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

So what's happened to the snow that was forecast yesterday for Saturday? 

Just watched the BBC and its all changed, midlands today yesterday reply talking up heavy snow now the beeb says bit of snow on high ground! 

It's so so fickle 

[Battleground Snow]

1 minute ago, Severe Siberian icy blast said:

So what's happened to the snow that was forecast yesterday for Saturday? 

Just watched the BBC and its all changed, midlands today yesterday reply talking up heavy snow now the beeb says bit of snow on high ground! 

It's so so fickle 

It's going to be a nowcast, it's super marginal on the ECM for Saturday and that's the main model they use for forecasting snow

[Battleground Snow]

If that low from Greenland drops just right, could be snowstorm at 240 

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

Just now, Battleground Snow said:

If that low from Greenland drops just right, could be snowstorm at 240 

 

Just thinking it might lose the low and go more gem like, no alarms though 

[Polar Maritime]

Some fantastic charts this morning from a cold perspective, interesting times ahead.. As for Saturday's snow event here's NetWx & UKV with the snows lines most Northern extent.

 

[Griff]

TLDR good runs 00z

[mulzy]

Waiting for @ICE COLD to post the UK 850 charts from the ECM run this morning!

[sheikhy]

00z runs!!!!ecm is snow galore from saturday onwards!!midlands get buried!!

[Mark wheeler]

Oh my 240 ECM 

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

Just now, sheikhy said:

00z runs!!!!ecm is snow galore from saturday onwards!!midlands get buried!!

Thats really not what the BBC has just showed its removed the snow from the mids in the main? 

[Griff]

1 minute ago, Severe Siberian icy blast said:

Thats really not what the BBC has just showed its removed the snow from the mids in the main? 

This gets talked about on loop on a daily basis here, they aren't up to date

[Battleground Snow]

JFF for but Ireland gets pummeled by a huge snowstorm with that low dropping from Greenland.

 

[Griff]

1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

JFF for but Ireland gets pummeled by a huge snowstorm with that low dropping from Greenland.

 

To be sure, to be sure

I'm ignoring anyone who moans about day 10 precipitation charts

Nice start to the day after waking up with self inflicted food poisoning. 

Better ecm

[Captain Shortwave]

A much better ECM this morning with cold air successfully moving westwards into the U.K. 850s of -13 across the East by day 10, but the cold air arrives in places by day 6 as heights build over the top of the deep cold over Scandinavia.

[Kentspur]

CFS anyone, -17c uppers clipping Dover mid Feb would this initiate a freeze in the Dover Straits towards Calais? I know Pegwell Bay has frozen before

Edited January 29, 2021 by Kentspur

[Guest]

Pipe Burster!..

 

[Drifter]

Great runs, but I am concerned that gfs and para want to bring it all to an end quite quickly?