Northwest Weather Discussion

[seasider]

Snowing in Blackpool, light dusting at the mo...

[WillinGlossop]

8 minutes ago, raul_sbd said:

It’s going to be an interesting journey to the airport tonight at 23h to pick up my sister.. I think I will keep parked the Merc and go with my gf Honda

Definitely could be interesting… love a good now cast when it comes to snow… could reap the rewards if we’re lucky  

wow looking at ECM run… tonight & Sunday into Monday wow

my mobile forecast (I know it’s rubbish) even has snow now too 

Edited December 2, 2023 by WillinGlossop

[The Northern Ramper]

1 hour ago, Rob 79812010 said:

Hope the snow shadow behaves for where I am. Stillnhetting my head round that one. Does that affect you guys at all??

Massively, very frustrating.

[iand61]

6 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

Definitely could be interesting… love a good now cast when it comes to snow… could reap the rewards if we’re lucky  

wow looking at ECM run… tonight & Sunday into Monday wow

Just hope the Met and Beeb see it

[Joe Snow]

NW England is a different beast but encouraged by the heavy snowfall over Scotland where snowfall seems to be much more than expected/ MO forecast with Glasgow Airport closed. Bodes well for our own chances tonight maybe  

Edited December 2, 2023 by Joe Snow

[damianslaw]

14 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

It likely will be a very snowy Saturday, though the 5-10cm from the main streamer looks quite localized it could occur anywhere in South Cumbria / into Lancaster area, most likely on the coast going into Kendal.

Thanks, hoping hits here! Watch the met office put out a warning in 11th hour, but far too late to give people advance warning.

Im concerned about people chancing a trip to the high fells today, tye mountain weather forecast says just a few showers in south and west, nothing in north and east.. how wrong!!!!

[Iceaxecrampon]

11 minutes ago, seasider said:

Snowing in Blackpool, light dusting at the mo...

lol. 

[Mark_p]

Beeb not interested. Met office will be interesting to see what they come up with. 

[The Northern Ramper]

What apps do people use? I have met, beeb and iPhone app but all are useless.

The beeb currently showing more than anything else as regards snowfall which is unusual.

[Maz]

27 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

I would go with me / Chris than the met/bbc anyday.

Agreed!!

Nice to see the NW regional thread buzzing with a potential snow event.  
 

Surface cold and injection of moisture with a weak Upper maritime flow is a good set up for our region.

[Thunder Snow]

Snows now stopped but left a decent dusting 

[severe snowstorm]

I have to say, I do have some sympathy for the metoffice who are providing the formal public service. If they put out an early warning and nothing happens, they get slated, they don't put out an early warning and something happens, they also get slated even if they issue a flash warning. They can't win really. 

[Kasim Awan]

1 minute ago, severe snowstorm said:

I have to say, I do have some sympathy for the metoffice who are providing the formal public service. If they put out an early warning and nothing happens, they get slated, they don't put out an early warning and something happens, they also get slated even if they issue a flash warning. They can't win really. 

We are at the point now where the high resolution output is very rarely massively wrong, so there is some concrete confidence now.

[damianslaw]

4 minutes ago, severe snowstorm said:

I have to say, I do have some sympathy for the metoffice who are providing the formal public service. If they put out an early warning and nothing happens, they get slated, they don't put out an early warning and something happens, they also get slated even if they issue a flash warning. They can't win really. 

They seem to put out yellow warnings galore for a bit of rain but causes no issues, but any chance of snow and ice deserves preliminary warnings as it comes with far more hazards. 

Edited December 2, 2023 by damianslaw

[Alexis]

Arpege at 7pm

[severe snowstorm]

Just now, damianslaw said:

They seem to put out yellow warnings galore for a bit of rain but causes no issues, but any chance if snow and ice deserves preliminary warnings as it comes with far more hazards. 

I don't disagree regarding snow/ice warnings, better to issue them than not, especially given they are accompanied by a matrix highlighting likelihood and impact allowing the public to make a judgment on the risk. 

[Kasim Awan]

Icon is a little South. Good news for lower levels.

[severe snowstorm]

6 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

We are at the point now where the high resolution output is very rarely massively wrong, so there is some concrete confidence now.

Agreed, they will almost certainly issue a warning late morning.

[The Northern Ramper]

Just now, severe snowstorm said:

I have to say, I do have some sympathy for the metoffice who are providing the formal public service. If they put out an early warning and nothing happens, they get slated, they don't put out an early warning and something happens, they also get slated even if they issue a flash warning. They can't win really. 

The frustration from Weather enthusiasts being that we are 100% focused on our area all of the time and they are not.

[Iceaxecrampon]

22 minutes ago, Ramp said:

What apps do people use? I have met, beeb and iPhone app but all are useless.

The beeb currently showing more than anything else as regards snowfall which is unusual.

[severe snowstorm]

1 minute ago, Ramp said:

The frustration from Weather enthusiasts being that we are 100% focused on our area all of the time and they are not.

Yeah, of course. It's the same with thunderstorms in summer, somewhere down the road gets clobbered whilst others wonder what all the fuss was about.

[iand61]

27 minutes ago, Ramp said:

What apps do people use? I have met, beeb and iPhone app but all are useless.

The beeb currently showing more than anything else as regards snowfall which is unusual.

Just looked at the BBC one and it is showing snow on and off throughout the evening and into the early hours of Sunday which would give at least a festive covering for many.

the last forecast I saw was also updated and did at least focus on a bit of snow crossing northern England this evening rather than going straight into Sunday.

the Met app for my location has updated, by removing the solitary flake it was showing at tea time so it’s a case of now casting.

[PennineMark]

You can't beat a bit of snow potential first thing on a Saturday in December. Maybe the apps are beginning to smell the faintest whiff of the morning coffee as we have snow now showing on both the Met and BBC. Good luck everyone. 

[Thunder Snow]

Snowing again lightly 

Temperature is on the rise started on minus 2 we are up to 0

[weatherCharter]

Animation of this evenings potential snow event: