Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Sure I just heard thunder! but bin day tomorrow so dunno

[Gord]

Can hear thunder here. Seems to be coming from my northeast.

Heavy rain here though. 

[It's a Philcast]

Stone me...where did that storm come from over my way?? Typically i've had a couple of glasses of the red stuff...so I can't go for a drive out n get video footage

 

[Harry]

Lightning west of London now 

[Harry's House]

56 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:

I can see a big old anvil to the west. Looking at the radar, it's the cell all the way down near Exeter!

I can see distant anvils and cu con in NW quadrant. I see that there is still lightning on maps in the distance.

[Cain]

Argh everything has missed us again so frustrating now this is getting !!

[Sparkiee storm]

9 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

That would from this = the Wolvo cell

 

Yeah defo that, came as a surprise really as i havent checked for a few hours so a nice surprise, a few bolts and few cracks of thunder and a torrential downpour not bad. Another to add on the list lol. Here was the view from here.

[staplehurst]

12 minutes ago, Harry said:

Line of torrential looking downpours developing west of London…wasn’t expecting that 

Shortwave swinging northeastwards this evening/tonight likely to continue to set off random showers/storms for a wee while yet. 

 

Quote

While most activity will tend to slowly fade through the evening hours, there may be a relative uptick in activity into the early part of the night from E Wales/NW England/West Country into the Midlands, aided by a shortwave/cold pool aloft migrating northeastwards across the area.

 

[CoventryWeather]

Saw a flash to my south about 10 minutes ago. Nice surprise before I go to bed.

[Metwatch]

Just timelapsed the cell It's definitely still going strong. Think I caught a flash In that as well

[Harry's House]

3 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

Just timelapsed the cell It's definitely still going strong. Think I caught a flash In that as well

Yes, you certainly caught the flash

[MR CB]

Can see the developing cell north of Heathrow from Eastbourne...plenty of IC lightning in the cloud...brilliant 

[Harry]

11 minutes ago, staplehurst said:

Shortwave swinging northeastwards this evening/tonight likely to continue to set off random showers/storms for a wee while yet. 

 

 

I confess - I didn’t read your forecast today as I was outdoors watching the storms this morning - then didn’t refer back to it as I didn’t think I’d need to lol

[Norfolk Sheep]

12 minutes ago, staplehurst said:

Shortwave swinging northeastwards this evening/tonight likely to continue to set off random showers/storms for a wee while yet. 

 

 

Once again the east of England forecast was off,  the area of greatest risk saw pretty much zero apart from one discrete cell nr Sleaford. I appreciate timings played a part but it always seems to be the case compared with other regions. 

[It's a Philcast]

Lets see if that cell below Hereford kicks into action...if it does, I'm in the firing line.......hopefully

[Jamie M]

3 flashes a minute from this 

 

 

[It's a Philcast]

55 minutes ago, yozza1987 said:

Just sent up the drone for a few minutes, full 360 starting from facing north going anticlockwise, looks like heavy rain in bound, hitting pershore way and coming towards me, just had visible lightning whilst typing this post

 

Fab video!!

[Harry]

Can see the line of developing storms from here too and saw a gorgeous flash! Looks like there’s more towers building behind it too

[staplehurst]

7 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:

Once again the east of England forecast was off,  the area of greatest risk saw pretty much zero apart from one discrete cell nr Sleaford. I appreciate timings played a part but it always seems to be the case compared with other regions. 

that was the main reason from refraining going any higher than a SLGT - Lincolnshire saw a number of active thunderstorms develop, and given the environment they had the potential to become severe. However, it became apparent this morning once the earlier rain/convection was further east than generally modelled yesterday that it was less likely severe thunderstorms would develop. It's trying to find the right balance between the chance of something occurring (low) vs the potential for it to be severe/impactful (high). 

Edited June 20, 2023 by staplehurst

[Somerset girl]

4 hours ago, MP-R said:

Looks like somethings kicked off to my southwest beyond Bridgwater. Anyone down there?

It did ! Continuous rolling thunder , deep bass sound . The sun kept fuelling the storm . 

Went on for 30 mins, have had rain showers since . 

[saint]

Quite a few very bright purple flashes observed from the cell over north west London as it edges closer. 

[Cain]

Are these showers/storms just randomly popping off ?

[Harry's House]

Occasional flashes of IC lightning in distant cb to N'ly

[Turquoise]

a line of cells now going north east across the Midlands, of course we are too far north this time and will miss out again but good luck to the rest of the UK

[Zak M]

Lots of flashing happening to my S