Storm Debi - 13 to 14th of November

[Cloud 10]

12z UKMO looks to be showing 100mph+ gusts over Western Ireland in the early hours of tomorrow morning.

 

[Scuba steve]

1 hour ago, StingJet said:

Day 10 in Wirral .. remember Storm Kyrill 18th Jan 2007 , one of the most destructive euro wind storms this century ,,  primarily down to the path it took across northern europe, covering many countries 
We were at West Kirby waiting for the wind to ease off a tad , lakeside ano readings were showing gusts in excess of 80kts 

Kyrill in Wirral has a ring to it 

[MattH]

12 minutes ago, Cloud 10 said:

12z UKMO looks to be showing 100mph+ gusts over Western Ireland in the early hours of tomorrow morning.

 

Looking at earlier satellite imagery it looks like the wave is already more developed than what earlier models had so the 12Z UKMO isn't a surprise with a deeper low and a stronger core or strong winds. 

Can see the cloud ahead on the below and that's an hour or two back. 

Really not looking good this system at all now for specific areas...
 

[Paul]

17 minutes ago, Cloud 10 said:

12z UKMO looks to be showing 100mph+ gusts over Western Ireland in the early hours of tomorrow morning.

 

Yep, 105mph in that core..

[Downburst]

20 minutes ago, Cloud 10 said:

12z UKMO looks to be showing 100mph+ gusts over Western Ireland in the early hours of tomorrow morning.

 

I’m a little confused on the time here. Is that 4.00 pm? I had thought it pushed through much earlier.

3 minutes ago, Paul said:

Yep, 105mph in that core..

Right into Galway city. As the song goes, the wests awake.

[emmett garland]

There closing schools until 10am tomorrow morning across Ireland

[Cloud 10]

3 minutes ago, Downburst said:

I’m a little confused on the time here. Is that 4.00 pm? I had thought it pushed through much earlier.

Right into Galway city. As the song goes, the wests awake.

 

2nd chart is max gusts up to Monday evening.

[Scuba steve]

3 minutes ago, emmett garland said:

There closing schools until 10am tomorrow morning across Ireland

So a later start for them 

[emmett garland]

6 minutes ago, Scuba steve said:

So a later start for them 

If the  road is free of trees 

[Scuba steve]

1 minute ago, emmett garland said:

If the  road is free of trees 

Good point

[The Eagle]

2 hours ago, Downburst said:

Just to be precise, the red warning is for a two hour period in the early hours and the red moves into counties as the storm moves east etc. so no red warning for daylight working hours. https://www.met.ie/tomorrow.html

If it's red stay in bed

[Mcconnor8]

UKV 15z in line with the UKMO 12z and has the low deepening to 967/968 mB in the early hours, and maximum wind gusts of just over 100mph in West Ireland, then 70-80 mph more widely across Ireland and North England on Monday morning and early afternoon.

Edited November 12, 2023 by Mcconnor8

[Weather-history]

The track reminds me of the Christmas Eve 1997 gale

 

 

[Scuba steve]

4 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

The track reminds me of the Christmas Eve 1997 gale

 

 

Remember that  though  out of the country,my parents garage roof was damaged had to get a mate to fix on Christmas Day as I was in the US

[Josh Rubio]

TORRO have forecast a tornado watch for tomorrow. More info here

Edited November 12, 2023 by Josh Rubio

[Bricriu]

Is that ECM run an outlier or a last minute downgrade?

[Ian Ballinger]

Knew I shouldn't have put my Christmas lights up , they'll be on top of Snowdon this time tomorrow 

[Mcconnor8]

34 minutes ago, Bricriu said:

Is that ECM run an outlier or a last minute downgrade?

It doesn't look too different from GFS or UKMO, just a little bit of a weaker low, the UKV 18z is consistent with other runs though and it is high resolution 

[The Eagle]

Another 11 counties included in the red warning including Dublin from 5am to 8am.

Clare, Galway and Roscommon are 2am to 5am.

Edited November 12, 2023 by The Eagle

[Rammie]

That's a big red warning area. 

[emmett garland]

6 minutes ago, Rammie said:

That's a big red warning area. 

All wheelie bins secured

[Ian Price]

Met office Amber issued for parts of NI

[emmett garland]

This low is still developing 

[MattH]

Text book stuff...

 

 

[Cheshire Freeze]

1 hour ago, Josh Rubio said:

TORRO have forecast a tornado watch for tomorrow. More info here

Interesting. Not just the wind core to look out for then, some severe weather possible to the S of it.