Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[danthetan]

13 minutes ago, bradymk said:

Agree about organisation. They look good at the moment on the radar, you can tell the airmass is more unstable than the beginning of the week.

All the models seem to agree about a larger heavier blob over the county at about 8/9am, would be interesting if so. After a few hours of showers before hand. Shower locations always hit and miss mind, even down to the last minute.

Wishing I was back west  

I’d say at the moment the showers look slightly earlier than the 1am on UKV

Yes someone posted the Cape values expected down the Irish sea on the other thread and looked good for shower formation. Worth looking at the satellite imagery for shower formation and expected track. The hook in the Irish sea is looking good. Although I've shower evaporate if they are not to intense as it hits the cold air over land. I'm in the carribean atm so I won't be seeing any snow. 

[danthetan]

5 minutes ago, danthetan said:

Yes someone posted the Cape values expected down the Irish sea on the other thread and looked good for shower formation. Worth looking at the satellite imagery for shower formation and expected track. The hook in the Irish sea is looking good. Although I've shower evaporate if they are not to intense as it hits the cold air over land. I'm in the carribean atm so I won't be seeing any snow. 

Looks like st davids of all places will see the first snow falling.

[marclt]

2 minutes ago, danthetan said:

Looks like st davids of all places will see the first snow falling.

The radar suggests this… not sure if it’s actually happening!   It’s been a bit like this winter - radar suggests precipitation, apps saying it’s snowing and nothing!

 

[Harveyslugger]

There's no way that's happening

[Jayfromcardiff]

9 minutes ago, Harveyslugger said:

There's no way that's happening

Fingers crossed for you!

[PsychedelicTony]

Close, but no cigar. 

Edited January 17 by PsychedelicTony

[wimblettben]

-5.5c to -5.6c here currently with clear skies though i can see some mid-level clouds to the West coming down from North to South.

 

[Gez79]

Temp -1 , dew point -6 in Milford haven Hoping to see a little covering

[bradymk]

1 minute ago, Gez79 said:

Temp -1 , dew point -6 in Milford haven Hoping to see a little covering

Snowing and lying in St Davids supposedly, if so, it would be pretty good indicator if the showers arrive for rest of the county. 

[PsychedelicTony]

Some action on Ynys Mon

[danthetan]

Well I know where I'd be driving to if I was home and it wouldn't be the preselis...... bloody st davids who'd have thought it. @Penfoel you look to be next

[bradymk]

1 minute ago, danthetan said:

Well I know where I'd be driving to if I was home and it wouldn't be the preselis...... bloody st davids who'd have thought it. @Penfoel you look to be next

Over a hour of snow there now in that line of showers

[danthetan]

1 minute ago, bradymk said:

Over a hour of snow there now in that line of showers

Do you have any confirmation or going off the radar. I remember a similar situation around 2010. But there was lying snow covering all of pembrokeshire. 

[bradymk]

3 minutes ago, danthetan said:

Do you have any confirmation or going off the radar. I remember a similar situation around 2010. But there was lying snow covering all of pembrokeshire. 

Ye a friend text to say it was snowing there, and it was sticking. Just outside St D’s. That was at 10pm but agree radar can be deceiving sometimes.

I remember New Year’s Day 2010 being very similar. Showers affecting St Davids first about lunchtime, then by late afternoon, the whole county was affected. Think it moved east then later in the evening to affect Carmarthenshire and Swansea.

[marclt]

9 hours ago, danthetan said:

 

 

those showers look like they could be heading further inland.   Slow progress so far!  

Edited January 17 by marclt

[Wetterfrosch]

Some decent snowfall here this last half hour, didn't take long to turn the road white!

 

[danthetan]

There we have it snow in mathry 

[DeepSnow]

Currently -4.5C making it our coldest night. Im actually looking forward to a bit of a warm up and having the heating on less.

[Cymro]

If only these showers were a tad further east, missing them by around 5 miles

Carmarthen is looking good for a nice covering this morning. 

[Harveyslugger]

8 minutes ago, Cymro said:

If only these showers were a tad further east, missing them by around 5 miles

Carmarthen is looking good for a nice covering this morning. 

I've got 2cm of graupels not snow.seem to always get them.do you know what causes them instead of snow?

[Gez79]

Very light dusting here , looking at the radar the streamer has moved more inland away from pembrokeshire 

[acorb]

-9 in Rhayader, equalling cold snap beginning of December. Hope others have seen some snow, nothing here. 

[freeze for all]

-7.2c here this morning

[Loadsa2000]

Just had this from my friend in St Davids

its chaos here, schools closed, Newgale un-passable, no buses, now its the ice on the roads. We dont usually get it here

Caerphilly last night

-6.1°C
03:44 but it has risen to -6 at the moment

Edited January 18 by Loadsa2000

[Marcus_surfer]

-5C here in Swansea this morning, parts of the gower have a dusting of snow from a snow shower overnight