Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[cheshire snow]

 Weather-history it’s an interesting one that’s for sure,GFS below no snow accumulation away from high ground,however the Hi res chart you posted From the ECM you would think at that range would be more accurate,the models have been toying with all week.

[A Face like Thunder]

A cloudy damp-ish start to the day and rain not far away.

[Had Worse]

Watching Carol Kirkwood this morning,  she only referred to Thursday and said beyond that was unsettled.  

Just wondering if they are keeping a watch for developments on Friday.

[tricol]

So much for a settled period incoming. I went for a short cycle yesterday afternoon and got absolutely drenched. Really heavy rain for half an hour. The forecast showed light rain. It was biblical.

Wet again this morning. Seems that will be the theme now for the foreseeable, there is rain in the forecast for every day here now.

[Day 10]

Hmmmmmm

 

Edited February 28 by Day 10

[Day 10]

 cheshire snow

Starting to think throwing the towel in for Winter was premature, March now looks like it could be fun.

[Joe Snow]

 Day 10 Would be great to see a 10th Mar 2023 repeat its similar timing wise too with sleet turning to wet snow giving a 2cm covering here last year. We were burnt by the charts the other week so can’t see it being more than sleet away from high ground but would love to be proved wrong -a final covering no matter how brief would be a nice end to Winter  

Edited February 28 by Joe Snow

[Iceaxecrampon]

06z has ppn in the region 200m asl +48 6am Friday 1st March. 

[damianslaw]

No met office warnings, high bet it will snow then..

I'm surprised no warning for high ground at least, given we had warnings in more marginal set ups. I wonder if the lack of warning is because they've been burned too many times this season.

May still be a warning tomorrow. The Sat 2 Dec event, 24 hrs out had us under no warning.. only 12 inches fell!

[Day 10]

 Joe Snow

Yes mate, in the last 20 years or so, some of our best snowfalls have come in March (well, here anyway).

There appears to be a major SSW warming forecast, so that is bound to mix up the atmosphere good style, luck of the draw if we end up with some bitter cold but the chance is there now.

Weather eh, I've been pulled back in for a few more weeks!

[A Face like Thunder]

Rain has finally arrived, quite a bit later than forecast, and now thoroughly miserable.

[Scuba steve]

Mostly a damp day though rain has returned feeling bitter out 

[Had Worse]

 Scuba steve glad she's finally let you inside

[Scuba steve]

 Had Worse it was a bit cold on sun lounger

[Chris.R]

Definitely a snow chance Friday morning but not being taken in this time until t0. Had enough last minute downgrades.

[Day 10]

 Chris.R

Why are you here then?

[iand61]

 Chris.R given what happened a couple of weeks ago, it can even go belly up at t0.

better waiting until t+24 to be sure what we get.

Up here even today didn’t live up to the forecast.

the rain arrived earlier than expected, was lighter than expected but the late afternoon clearance never materialised so the only thing that ended up as a expected was another technically mild but cold feeling sort of day to add to a long list of them over the last few months.

[Had Worse]

 iand61 should that be t-24

[iand61]

 Had Worse sorry yes my mistake

it’s been a long a particularly crappy day

[itsnowjoke]

Raining

[iand61]

 itsnowjoke aye same here, dark as well.

[cheshire snow]

Beginning to wonder if the Meto have underestimated this possibility for Friday this from this evenings ECM,snow to quite low levels according to these charts.

[Chris.R]

 Day 10 I guess I'm addicted to the chase no matter what my head says

[Had Worse]

 cheshire snow Simon King was on BBC Radio Manchester about an hour ago and did say 200-300 upwards could see some snow and this could affect the Transpennine routes on Friday. 

[damianslaw]

 Had Worse May be similiar to the event back on a Thursday 8th Feb I think which was a 200m plus affair.. 

Back to today, a deteriorating day, rain set in at lunchtime becoming heavy late afternoon with an early dark descent into dusk. Also not at all feeling mild, my max was less than 8 degrees, below the 10 forecast. 

Edited February 28 by damianslaw