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Andy Bown

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Posts posted by Andy Bown

  1. It may not be heavy but the Cold Front has pepped up to some extent and it's been raining for over an hour here. Likely to be the last rain for a long time though.

    In the recent times of numerous weak fronts the IPhone weather app has been surprisingly accurate with timings of rain which initially look unlikely. This morning it showed 60% to 70% chances between 15.00-18.00 and that's spot on. It did similar last Saturday and last Tuesday. On every occasion the Met Office app has shown only 20% chance at the most.

  2. I saw the radar early this morning with a large storm cluster over the North of France edging into the Channel.

    All forecasts/apps showed it moving West while decaying. It would seem it headed North and has now developed into a broad area of light/moderate showery rain.

    Now all previous forecasts for tomorrow are irrelevant and I suppose, while it hasn't been thundery over here, this shows how difficult forecasting is under slack pressure.

  3. All this talk of it becoming more unsettled is rather subjective. I think the term 'pattern change' is more applicable, if indeed the flow begins to come more from the Atlantic than the Easterly quadrant. It hasn't been 'settled' in this region for just over a fortnight, we have had drizzle/rain/thundery downpours on 11 of the last 15 days!

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