No Balls Like Snow Balls

If GFS 06z verifies then temps will be up and down like a yo yo next week, cool one day and mild the next, I actually think we may well be seeing proper autumn weather next week shock horror!!

GFS still wanting to bring in this storm for the end of th week, although the intensity and track keeps changing as expected.

One of the benefits is it put's a smile on people's faces as you see them outside building snowmen, sledging and having snowball fights. I believe it's what they call having fun, although i think some people are adverse to having fun no doubt.

Currently 9.8c and sunny whoop whoop

I am really liking the look of FI on both the ECM and GFS, plenty of PM incursions and even signs of heights building over greenland and the azores high linking up with this

Yes UKMO is rather flabby, ECM on the other hand is quite tight, similar to GFS, worth keeping an eye on. Edit: comes to nothing on ECM

All 3 major models now have this potential storm showing at T144, agree with earlier posts though that it probably wouldn't be as severe as GFS is modeling.

It's been showing this flat pattern quite a lot in FI at the moment, it never seems to make it any further into the reliable though.

I think if that came off it would be the first time in a long time that the South got a good battering.

According to GFS 12Z it looks like it will be cool, wet and at times windy for most parts of the UK next week. Standard autumn weather at last maybe?

Currently 8.8c, a bit misty, but sun is threatening to come through.

Currently 5.9c

If the GFS were to verify you could also say that from the 23rd onwards you would lose the double digit daytime temps for good, still nothing amazingly cold though but a start.

Currently 4.6c and guess what!! Cloudy again

ECM and UKMO are pretty much identical at T144 while the GFS is no where near at the same time frame, you could either say in this instance then that T144 is FI or the GFS should be ignored?, personally I would go with the majority and say the ECM and UKMO are correct with the position of the high for the medium term. I think this ties in with the METO outlook stating cooler in the East of UK. Could be interesting developments with the Azores high in 8-10 days time as GFS shows ridging North at T216 and the ECM shows ridging at T240, one to watch maybe?, it's not the first time it's been shown on the runs either.

Our weather is as dynamic as a dried up dogs turd at the moment (and that's putting it nicely)

Not really. It seems every time i see the weather forecast for Shetland it's 12c no matter what time of year it is . I don't think anyone would wish to see the same type of conditions all year round. I don't think it would take long to get fed up with it.

Your like the grim reaper and pantomime villan all rolled into one

Seriously there is a time and a place for mild weather and the start of December is not it. I can imagine this current mild spell is what somewhere like the Shetland Islands is all year round.

Um Snow!, Yes please!!

That will go down like a lead balloon in here

Currently 9.2c, sun is coming through low cloud.

I do believe the last update they did was showing December as above average, now they go for average, it's a LRF so it is what it is and probably subject to change every update. But they could be right too.

Yeah UKMO euro high is in much better position than GFS at T144, the ECM will probably back GFS now

Maybe i was reading the post wrong but to me it seems the December forecast was made on 1 CFS run today!!. FI does not show anything that could be called a trend as we have 2 major models both pointing in different directions so it's far far far to early to call December, so maybe he was better off saying come back next week for a answer :winky: