And they could well be 5c warmer by the end of the 12z such is the chaos in the models at the moment. I am just being pessamistic hopefully lol. Probably the best thing to do is to take the mean of the mean ensembles over the course of a week lol.
Such big differences on the 06z compared to the 00z at T96, yes T96!!!, 06z has us in much colder air for Monday than the 00z, if it can't get it right at T96 there is no hope in hell at getting it right for early Feb
But surely the Russian high is not going to influence us while there is a big fat low in Scandinavia is it?, surely our cold prospects are more likely to come from this trough?
IMO the UKMO T120 NH chart looks great for cold prospects
But then the ridge gets battered out of the way at T144, still that monster low at T144 looks like it could move SE to me if it were to verify, big big big if past T120