UV-RAY
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Posts posted by UV-RAY
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Turned to heavy wet snow now, temp 3.4c but DP still at 2.0c
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Still sleeting here, temp down to 3.9c but DP up to 1c.
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Sleeting here with a temp of 4.1c, not expecting bugger all so I won't be disappointed then!
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The story of this winter really, once mid Feb has been breached I lose interest as the chances of lying snow and deep cold plummet. Just watch those Greenland heights get themselves organised thereafter, just in time for spring and summer.If you think this is frustrating wait till the weekend when a huge snow event is being progged for the midlands and south, just missing us as normal, im officialy writing this winter of as the most frustrating winter i can remember, as it promised so much and delivered so little.
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That one was better for snow here, it's been a strange winter really, cold and snow has been there but it as been a very localised affair in the NW.2006-07?
Anyway, a covering here and a bank of cumulonimbus to my west.
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Another no show here makes this the worst winter for cold and snow since 1998.
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Your on the snow list also, hopefully.I never got any
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Looking fantastic for this part of the world, sod the South of the region they had there snow last month.
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Indeed Frosty, I'm still waiting those height rises too our NW which Matt had been tweeting. Cracking outlook for my neck of the woods this coming week, thereafter it's a bit up in the air but after the way the GFS handled the last cold spell with a similar scenario, then I'll be edging my bets with the ECM for now.was it matt hugo who tweeeeeeted a few days ago about amazing blocking to the nw? it caused a bit of a storm in here, analysing a one liner.
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A cracking day temp maxed out at 4.4c, currently 0.5c.
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Lovely start to the day , sunny and frosty with a current temp of 1.8c.
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And I'll be more than happy to eat a large slice of humble pie if it does come off RP, frozen humble pie preferably.I would very much like to see that come-out right, Roger...I remember 1969 well!
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Just remember BT, all good things come to those who wait. Your soulmate will appear out of the blue my friend.Hmm
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I was being cruel to be kind Backtrack, I know what it's like to have a broken heart and also know that every cloud has a silver lining. Chin up and just remember, you were too good for her anyway.Being single sucks though, it's boring haha.
Rubbish isn't it
oh well. They say there's someone out there for everyone. I'm gonna put that theory to the test, starting in about 10 days when I'm feeling better.On a more weather related note, plenty of snow showers coming on Tuesday.
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I did see a little snow, but it's not that though more a case of hoping for heights to our NW becoming established, everything pointed to this happening, but sods law dictated otherwise. Anyhow next week I could see a little more snow from a brisk W/NW direction, it looks a rather cold and unsettled week IMBY and these sort of setups can deliver a surprise or two normally.hi si
did u miss the snow we had or were u expecting something more...um...canadian?
we've had a two week cold spell that delivered plenty of snow for much of the uk. a fair number of people got more snow than they did in dec 2010!
i've sat through plenty of winters that failed to deliver even a flurry let alone 15cms of lying snow!
If you are one of the few unlucky ones who didnt get any lying snow last month then i understand your frustration, but even then, u really cant suggest that it didnt deliver snow, regardless of synoptics
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It wasn't a dig at yourself and I do apologise if it came across as such, a lot of my angst is borne out of frustration at how a synoptic pattern which should have been conductive of cold has failed to deliver. I retract my earlier post Chion and hopefully we can draw a line under this and move on.No - you promise nothing and deliver just that.
Please find a post where I have promised​ deep cold. Please recognise the difference between a forecast ( as expected with previous climatology) and a promise.
I feel that it is easy to keep firing shots off, SI, but less easy to provide some sort of analysis and subsequent forecast. Perhaps if you had spent a lot of your own time voluntarily researching and constructing forecasts for the benefit of others (with no gain to yourself) you may not be quite as keen to knock.
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Point taken, sometimes I can be a little brutal with my assessments. Apologies all round.I don't see how you can that.
No one foreseen the dominant Canadian vortex and it wasn't as clear by any means, all the signals pointed toward deep cold and northern blocking, and without the strat thread this place wouldn't be half the place it is, think you need to be carefull with your choice of words my friend everyone does their best.
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I've been married for over 20 years, I've been, seen and done it and wore the t shirt. My advice on love is, man up and move on plenty more love out there for everyone.Both upsetting never the less
And to think you wanted the snow to leave as you were missing her
Why do you have a problem you wish to share...do tell
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I wasn't the one promising that deep cold was coming, when it was as plain as the nose on your face it wasn't. Low heights to our NW have been constant throughout this winter and not once have they looked like receding, a point I have often made......whereas your thorough and comprehensive analysis and predictions have been top class.......
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Not just the ECM 32 dayer's either, all the teleconnections and strat updates have been just as bad.The Meto seem convinced there is no significant cold or wintry spell in the next couple of weeks.
If so then the ECM 32 dayer will have been of no better use than an astray on a motorbike this
winter with regards to northern blocking etc.
I myself am still optimistic and will reserve judgement until this evenings model outputs are in although
I do believe we will see a fairly potent cold spell from the east be it later than originally anticipated
perhaps.
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Is this an agony aunt column or the NW regional forum?
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You've had your fill this winter it's my turn now.The more I look at the output Ian,the moreI realise the winds are shown as too westerly for us right in the south of the region. Will send the showers piling into Manchester but not here. We need more Nw'ly flow.
Been stung many times by this. Most notably Jan '10
True polar NW'lys are becoming as rare as hens teeth with them being progged only for the winds to shift more w'ly as the time draws closer
An interesting set up next week for all of us in the NW, one which reminds me of January 1984 although this won't be as prolonged or as severe.
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Another day and another nail, still the output suggest much as it as done in the last few days, brief RPM in between any warm sectors. The Azores high appears to make an half hearted push towards Greenland but this quickly gets flattened by any residual energy left from the PV lobe. I think if we don't start seeing a change in the upstream pattern by the start of next week then that would be half of February in the bag. The outlook remains poor for sustained cold and looks likely to continue that way for some time yet,
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I disagree, the arctic has recovered from huge ice losses thousands of years ago, why wouldn't it now. Off course all talk of global warming and it's impact is based purely on conjecture, so none of us can really say we know what will/may happen.And I would concur with that, IF...
North West England Regional Discussion 04/02/13 18z ------>
in Regional
Posted
I can't see this settling on ground below 250m to be honest.