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Everything posted by P-M
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm not sure - looks like a lot of other areas are moistening though looking at the pics!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yes please Mapantz!!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm not very good with cloud types but from clear blue skies most of today to this now.....not even sure it means anything to be fair.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looks like sferics are kicking off to the west of Glasgow off the coast...- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
haha sorry AJ couldn't resist! It's this heat man- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hey don't apologise - you're welcome to get excited mate. Here's hoping you get some thunder later!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
The area around the moistened Camborne?- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Thanks for the update Roger - look forward to seeing how this pans out. I like the fact it's slightly at odds with what's forecast but makes it more interesting to see how things really pan out in the real world AKA now casting!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I wouldn't take much notice of the Beeb forecasts mate - PPN and storms are hard to predict even for the more seasoned forecaster. All of the ingredients are there for storms in some areas (yours included and Yorkshire) but as always it might not happen in your own locale. Best thing in these set ups is stayed tuned to Netweather keep an eye on the radar and listen for storm reports as and when they appear. Taking BBC forecasts at face value can be soul destroying sometimes so I've learned to follow the Metoffice website and warning but more importantly the forecasters and more knowledgeable posters on here and over on UKWW are usually very good to follow in my opinion.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Without sounding like a stuck record I am loving that forecast!!!! I know usual rules apply etc (not all areas will see something) but still fantastic to read - so elevated storm risk through the early hours progressing to a stronger storm risk as we move in to tomorrow. Reminds me of Thunder Thursday back in 2012 when all the forecasters where saying storms down central areas and Tony picked the NE out for strong storms - low and behold it happened. He knows his stuff - as long as there's a chance I am happy- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Perfect cheers mate- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Great thank you :-)- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Does anyone know where the CF is that's forecast for this afternoon from the west?- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Remember this well - hoping for another repeat of the Thunder Thursday event a few years ago! Bearing in mind this was the middle of the day...- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
No problem - either way here's hoping for an active 24 hrs!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Ah OK cheers mate- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Cheers Mate - I seen the current one with the MDT areas before the update though? Then they released an update at 7.55am to say they'd tweaked the areas slightly and added text but I can't see any tweaks to the MDT / SVR areas?- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Updated from Metcheck - still going for Western areas (North Wales and NW England) initially for storms then moving N/NE in to N England and Scotland Weather Watch For Thunderstorms/Flash Flooding/Hail/Tornadoes An exceptionally moist/unstable plume of air will head Northeast during the course of Tuesday evening and overnight into Wednesday across parts of the British Isles. This Weather Watch has been updated to move the trajectory of the plume slightly further East and reduce risk of large hail/tornadoes due to higher rainfall values which may impede the updraft capability. Tuesday evening will see the highest risk of thunderstorms across parts of Northern Ireland and Western fringes of England and Wales. On Wednesday, the plume fully engages with warm air across the UK bringing torrential downpours across parts of Wales, Northwest and Northern England and Scotland. Rainfall totals of 50-75mm (2-3") of rainfall is possible in a short period of time leading to the risk of local flash flooding and fast swelling rivers across higher ground. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is expected within these systems, especially where they become better organised during Wednesday afternoon across Northern England and Central/Eastern Scotland. Upper air data this morning has reduced the risk of large hail with 2-3cm possible. Higher rainfall totals within the systems are also forecast which will reduce the potential for updrafts which assist in developing tornadoes. That said, where storms become well organised there is a risk of funnel cloud/tornado development. This is most likely around Southeast Scotland on Wednesday morning and across parts of Northeast England on Wednesday afternoon. Disruption to transport/power supplies is possible as well as local flooding overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday. This Weather Watch will be updated on Wednesday morning. FORECASTER : MARSH ---END--- Site Tools http://www.metcheck.com/UK/warnings.asp- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I seen this but I can't work out which areas they've tweaked...can you shed any light on it?- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
You're right Pit and to be fair the BBC radar didn't look that inspiring just dotted the lightning symbols here and there across the north. But, I wouldn't worry too much at this stage - as always PPN rates and locations are hard to pin down at this stage - it's a case of radar watching. Have faith somewhere is likely to see at least something despite being jinxed but the H word!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Good morning Netweather! It's going to be scorchio today! Local forecast said could get to 30 here. I absolutely love a bit heat and sunshine folks as most do. Just come in from the garden and almost feels like them lush mornings when you're abroad. Anyway storm potential is looking good for some areas can't wait to radar watch tonight...- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Thanks Nick I am liking this forecast :-)- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
P-M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yes please matey!- 2,726 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards
P-M replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
So jealous of the south right now! There's explosive development out west to me but seem to fizzle as they move east - so close but not quite! That cell to the west of Middlesbrough looks a right little beast if it can maintain some energy for that area soon... Check out that storm over France right now!!! -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards
P-M replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yep thought so the cell to the west of me has died a death. Saying that more are popping up all over the place so not over yet. I am away to sit in the garden and enjoy this weather being off work today!