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Everything posted by Weather of Mass Disruption
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know these charts are no to be taken too seriously, but that said, if we have cold easterly winds across most of the country with precipitation moving up from the South West how does Cornwall and Devon stay clear of any snow. Seems implausible to me, unless there is some warmth mixed in with it? -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lol! I was thinking exactly the same. Makes no sense to me at all! I don’t understand why anyone want to look at a breakdown at day 8 when we have so much excitement before then. Surely such charts have the same chance of verifying as a day 8 nirvana chart does? -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s definitely hard but not impossible, such a set up, like we have approaching and in what is still in the heart of winter could easily be extended in duration. Those in the 80s lasted for a least 2 weeks (as I recall), the really lengthy ones like 47 and 63 are for sure, a lot rarer, but again not impossible. I would say, in a world of extremes, we have as much chance seeing this becoming a historical spell of winter weather as we do it lasting just a week for the former -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
BBC weather just now, is on board with Easterly winds across all of the country from the weekend -
Meto Uk Further Outlook
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to Stuart's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thanks for posting, very informative. If it wasn't for COVID I would be driving up to North East Scotland, looks like they'll be having outrageous amounts of snow! I just hope that once the cold air filters down over the country and to us snow starved in the South the precipitation doesn't disappear! After the amount of rain we have had to endure this winter that really would be a severe kick in the you know whats! -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would be amazed if that was to be the case. It was 14 degrees here yesterday and 12 today so it would be mean a significant drop in temps if that was to be the case. I only see rain for us down here for the time being, may get lucky around the 5-7th Feb but that’s a million miles off meteorologically so could all be different again by then... -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The most depressing chart of the day, that snow depth one! What is it with the M4 South -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As do downgrades for those residing in the South West! -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If there is a another SSW and a split of the vortex, taking into account the lag time, does this mean the CFS could be close to the mark for an historically cold March? I can’t recall who posted charts previously of this, but assume it could be a real possibility -
Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to #windysnow#'s topic in Regional
Very true, Lol! I have a lot of fond memories of Knowle, both my grandparents lived there for many years, they are sadly no longer alive but are buried in the local church cemetery. Enjoy the snow, I’m not too jealous -
Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to #windysnow#'s topic in Regional
Still not seen a flake this winter what hurts more, is the Midlands (West and East) is where I’m usually based! -
Exactly the same in this area too! And I completely agree re the Easterly Tomasz Schafernaker on BBC weather just said South West coasts can expect rain / sleet rather than snow, so I for one won’t be rushing to get up in the morning as you can pretty much guarantee that’s what we’ll get here. I always live in hope though, forever the optimists
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Weather of Mass Disruption replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
BBC weather very boyant about snow only for Scotland with the rest of the UK sinking under a deluge of rain for much of the week. I admire the optimism in the Model thread but would have money on a bartlett verifying over deep cold at the moment. I would love to be wrong, as personally I don't enjoy having spring weather in winter months and vice versa