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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
One way single ticket to heaven. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The EC46 8th to 15th Jan is the best yet this season. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It certainly does mate. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A very merry Christmas to all my winter (and mild lol) lovers on this great forum ❄❄♥♥. I hope you all have a fantastic day with your loved ones. Love and peace to you all ❤ ❤ xxx -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Pub run doing its usual fast track to cold. Reason for optimism at the moment but this run is too soon with the goodies. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Your post actually made me LOL! Brilliant ❄❄ -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Somebody wake me up when (or if lol) winter proper actually starts ❄❄ -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I take more note of the 00 and 12z runs. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As Anyweather said, it's the 06z lol. I think many on here, including myself, are a bit weary. I think most will agree that the UK is incredibly overdue a substantial January cold spell. It's been an age since the last one. So, scraps just don't cut the mustard for most, bits of wet snow and sleet, if that. No thank you. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
5 or 6 will help even more -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep, I won't be raising even one eye brow until the ext ecm ens show something much more impressive than this morning's mediocre set. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Or maybe just pure weariness after the last 10 days -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All very wishy washy though. No ooompff! It won't deliver what most of us want. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice to know Scandi can still get their winter fix. Oh I remember this well. The arctic high actually did us a favour for once lol. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So much cold air bottled up over Scandinavia. So near but yet so far. For a change no Sceuro high keeping temps higher over there. It would be a crying shame if we don't get to tap into that cold air come January. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Always seems to be that persistent vortex lobe over north eastern Canada. It really works against us, spewing cold into the north Atlantic, spurring on cyclogenesis. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed Tilly. It pains me to to say it but we have to admit when things are looking not as good as we hoped for. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Models looking lacklustre again today. This is a mobile set up, atlantic too active. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nothing to excite me in the modelling this morning. The mean temps on the ecm ens for debilt actually rise from days 12 to 14 so I'm certainly not going to get sucked into a cold chase at 2 weeks out. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not my area of expertise but I feel excited by this -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ok, you're lucky I'm a gentleman . Look to the north west of Iceland and you should see pressure rising, see the 1025 (this is what leads to the Iceland high that you mention at 240hrs). So, you can already see the positive developments before day 10. I hope this helps to explain x -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
2009/10 certainly did. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So you understood why the 240hr northern hemisphere chart looked promising but not the 216hr chart? I think you're under estimating yourself -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree with everything you say there