-
Posts
5,277 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
4
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by blizzard81
-
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You touched on the fact that solar activity hasn't been mentioned much this season. I 'used' to bring the subject up quite often as I believe it has a significant effect on winter weather synoptics. I gave up mentioning it on here though as I got sick to the back teeth of the nay sayers and the snidy remarks. My philosophy now is that people will hopefully research this phenomenon in their own time if they are willing and open to the scientific reasonings behind it. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thank you Matt, Merry Christmas to you too. Thank you for your updates. They are a very valuable tool and great addition to this forum -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think that's why people are so deflated. There was so much anticipation for the final third of December. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep, we all have different tastes. Hope you enjoy. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I did post the chart. Have a look at my post again. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
CPC need to let the models know about their thoughts -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A very honest assessment there. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, it wasn't just the 240hr chart. I actually thought the 216hr chart was even better. Incredible potential on that one. Anyway, gone in a puff of smoke this morning. That happens every year now. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep, I have to agree with others in here this morning. Worst set of runs this season. What was the ecm 12z run all about last night? Seems we have been teased more than ever this year with the run up to Christmas. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Had enough wind and rain to last me a lifetime since the end of Sept so no more of that please. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just given it . However, I comment on all the runs for my sins. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Pub run is exact opposite of last nights. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ensembles have been wild, just like the ops. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's as if something has switched off the atlantic in about a weeks time since that ecm 12z. Either something is afoot at relatively short notice or it's another false dawn. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why do we do this to ourselves -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Or...... Its stringing us along again! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The models are incredibly sadistic! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You couldn't make it up could you? It's as if Rob Mckelwee has just headbutted Darren Bett and taken full control of the model levers -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know mate. Just jesting -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cmon.... The odds are fantastic -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So...... Who's gunna wager a tenner on ecm throwing out a barn storming winter wonderland run? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I've seen them posted before but I don't know where to access them. Latest mogreps has reverted back to huge uncertainty from day 5 onwards. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Let's hope the op has finally latched onto the correct solution huh? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
blizzard81 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is why I don't give much credence to the gfs 06z or 18z runs. I trust this run no more than the mildfest pub run of last night. We often see the unbelievable best case scenario on the 06z run only to have our hopes dashed 6 hours later.