Don't worry i'm certainly not betting on it ! I've been let down often in the past. But I don't think the MetO/BBC are likely to have the track and ppn nailed any more than the NMM does. I'm just looking at the radar and comparing it to the same hour as the 18z NMM, and they look close, so if I had to put my money somewhere it would be with the NMM, that's all. Certainly have no where near the knowledge of the people in the model threads, that's for sure. Just an IMBY opinion