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Stuie

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Everything posted by Stuie

  1. Stuie
    For what they are worth, the Arpege 18z ensembles were showing this. Await 6z.
  2. Stuie
    Looks like NW doesn`t like Houdini. Anyway, yep agree and the FAX charts, if they were not modified by a human you would say overly progressive. Other models take, await the 6z.
  3. Stuie
    and also really annoying in the next few days is that somehow -8 850`s never seem to get past the Humber. The country really has pulled off a Houdini act.
  4. Stuie
    Don`t worry Nick they are only going through a phase The Channel LP on Weds has a pretty kinky northern flank to it.
  5. Stuie
    The Icon 12z of tomorrow mornings precipitation in the South. EDIT: Arpege
  6. Stuie
    Ah here is the 3am 0C Isotherm. Courtesy of NW. EDIT: And here is real time data of where the LP to the East is positioned.
  7. Stuie
    Can`t get a closer time apart from midnight but the wet bulb at 9am does take it`s time overnight to get to this which may mean some slowing of the cold front.
  8. Stuie
    Ah ok cheers. Will just take it as the same as yesterday i.e. very close to you. Yep, looking forward to the 12z`s.
  9. Stuie
    Did they forget to put the DAM line in the 24hr?
  10. Stuie
    When you also throw in plagiarism from others, it`s a fun read sometimes.
  11. Stuie
    GEFS with good disruption of the lows on Wednesday. Much flatter profile.
  12. Stuie
    I see the update did happen and much more of an area covered.
  13. Stuie
    0z Alaro 4k also showing EA snow.
  14. Stuie
    When are you looking at Nick, there is a small shift flatter on Fridays jet compared to yesterday. today - EDIT - note the lack of the US trough today.
  15. Stuie
    Forget the 10 and 14 NAO, look how tight the 7 day is giving confidence of keeping it negative.
  16. Stuie
    Earlier today, @Mark wheeler and @E17boy reported snow flakes in the South. GEFS at 13:00 was showing these 850`s. (-6) It`s almost the models are 1 step behind current conditions. Could be an interesting week, no idea and not having a punt at day 5.
  17. Stuie
    Perfect Nick, can almost see you grabbing that last bit of DAM
  18. Stuie
    Well put Cambrian. Brave man to dare mention the end of the week. These LP`s to the West are basically the focus this week, cold is there, they are not yet.
  19. Stuie
    Everything was on the table hey, still is but yeah fun.
  20. Stuie
    From what I have seen, the met warning may be modified tomorrow. Whether overnight and 6z`s change the extent of the LP reach for Monday night, has to be altered.
  21. Stuie
    It`s still a big Q, LP in the North sea is key.
  22. Stuie
    That`s only 5pm Mark, it`s the overnight that is the interest.
  23. Stuie
    Wednesday morning, wet bulb level is zero. Depending on the front coming from the North (position of LP to the East and what`s left in the tank), anything will be snow.
  24. Stuie
    and the channel LP too
  25. Stuie
    Worth keeping an eye on the DP`s tomorrow as the 528 DAM for midnight Monday is pretty South, especially for London North.
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