Gordon Webb

shower just to my west doesn't look too bad so far

well your general area was one highlighted for more activity than yesterday according to most forecasts

looking at all the forecast for today nothing really bad looking anywhere no forecast of anything more then scattered showers and if you storm lovers catch a storm I'd consider you have done very well well as I think most will have a dry day which has it's downsides as I have a lawn that needs attention choices hope for a heavy showers or mow the lawn and the lawn has it

for those who are unsure I expect that's the storm and not the bikers

WED 13 APR 2016: A SLIGHT chance of thunderstorms: Similar setup on Wednesday to Tuesday, with a large W-E elongated upper trough sitting across eastern Atlantic and British Isles. The associated cold mid-levels combined with diurnal heating will generate 300-500J/kg CAPE (locally higher in Ireland). Forecast profiles are quite dry, and convective initiation will be heavily reliant on low-level wind convergence (from sea breeze and topographical effects), hence even within the broad SLGT there will be a good deal of dry weather still in many places with showers generally well-scattered and focussed over small areas - particularly near or just inland from coastal areas. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will develop, particularly from late morning and moreso through the afternoon and into the evening, capable of producing hail locally bigger than 1.5cm in diameter in any stronger cells. DLS is rather weak and hence showers/storms will generally be rather lacking in organisation, but slow storm motion will likely produce 10-15mm rain accumulations in just 1-2 hours, with elements of shower training also - and hence there is a risk of some local surface water flooding issues. It is hard to ascertain any particular areas where showers/storms are most likely to occur, hence the broad SLGT, although most NWP are at least in agreement for north Devon and parts of East Anglia, along with Kent/Sussex and SE Wales. Coverage of showers/storms will gradually decrease through the evening hours as nocturnal cooling takes over. A few funnel clouds or a weak tornado are possible close to convergence zones.

i think it dpends on the situation i think sometimes it's a help and some it's a hinderance I'm sure some one with more knowledge could give you a more details , on a cheerier note radar echos seem less intense

that radar return looks quite heavy , hope it does'nt turn thundery

wouldn't ruled out a shower thunder is probably less likely but you never know but I hope not

I would be surprised if they did

well it's looks like the BBC graphics this morning were right well done them and ther latest forecast how this line moving East Anglia so thos in those areas might see some otherwise I'm not sure temps for me only 12 degress so not sure how much more I'll get out of that of course saying latest radar has something just to my south not sure if I'm in firing line but I suspect I'll just miss it

It's bright spells rather than sunny here still a lot of cloud around

Yep same convectiveweather site seems to have gone down

Still cloudy where I am sun not making appearance yet

does look focused on m4 corridor as all forcasts says bbc shows most of the shoers there from early afternoon convectiveweather.co.uk has focus there Metcheck (BOOOOOOOOOOO) has it slightly further north but what do they know lol

most models and forecasts I think focus on the M4 corridor and perhaps maybe the south midlands and s wales as well and really not until mid late afternoon so seems a shortish window and today seems to have the most potential of the next few days (guess)

what no thread about been happy about lack of storms it's a conspiracy I tell you lol

would condier myself VERY UNLUCKY if I got something tomorrow anyway plan to do quantum break on xbox one and consdier myself luck I didn't purchase PC version

think it caught a shot at goal at villa park and blew a fuse

there were showers like that i think before midday in that part of the midlands this morning me I'm waiting for light rain

well in my case cloudy until 10:30am the blue skies appeared then by midday cloud had built again and has just fleeting bright spells from then on and now waiting for the rain band just to my south which is moving like a train on leaves

looks like some parts there are in for a soaking , thankfully I'm looking at less of a soaking which is just as well as the grass is almost 2ft high

is that the line of showers going SW from birmingham ?

Think we'll be seeing that band of rain to our south within the next 90 minutes of so but apart from that there isn't much I agree and that band doesn't look heavy all the way through either

it appears the next rain I'm going to get is that band of rain just south of gloucester unless showers form ahead of it

got away with it so far , now I hope I haven't just jinxed it